Result
3:4 penalties
14/02/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 10:29, 1 - 0, Shamov I. (G), Shchipanov A. (A), Shchagin A. (A2)
- 2nd Period (2 - 2)
- 06:10, 1 - 1, Zagrebin M. (G), Akhsyanov B. (A), Koltsov N. (A2)
- 10:17, 1 - 2, Petrenko D. (G), Shebyakin M. (A), Khafzetdinov A. (A2)
- 12:15, 2 - 2, Sokolov D. (G), Shchagin A. (A), Margarit S. (A2)
- 19:34, 3 - 2, Grzheletsky M. (G), Voronin D. (A),
- 3rd Period (0 - 1)
- 13:40, 3 - 3, Fogelnest M. (G), Zagrebin M. (A), Akhsyanov B. (A2)
- Overtime (0 - 0)
- Penalties (0 - 1)
- 1, Grzheletsky M. (Penalty Shot),
- 1, Akhsyanov B. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Margarit S. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Petrenko D. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Shamov I. (Penalty Shot),
Chances of winning
Kuznetskie Medvedi
22.9% | Draw
20.3% | Tolpar
56.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kuznetskie Medvedi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kuznetskie Medvedi's form might have worsened.Tolpar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tolpar's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kuznetskie Medvedi than the current prediction. (+12.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kuznetskie Medvedi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tolpar than the current prediction. (-12.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tolpar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Kuznetskie Medvedi - Tolpar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.01 ↑
(2.75) |
4.52 ↓
(4.9) |
1.62 ↓
(1.98) |
8.8%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kuznetskie Medvedi won 4.
- Kuznetskie Medvedi has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Tolpar has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Kuznetskie Medvedi has had a series of home games.
- Recently, Tolpar has had a series of away games.
- Tolpar will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kuznetskie Medvedi won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 48:95. (average 2.4:4.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kuznetskie Medvedi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:44. (average 2.2:4.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Kuznetskie Medvedi won against Tolpar?
Kuznetskie Medvedi has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tolpar won against Kuznetskie Medvedi?
Tolpar has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kuznetskie Medvedi - Tolpar were as follows:
13.02.2026
Kuznetskie Medvedi
-
Tolpar
3:4
14.10.2025
Tolpar
-
Kuznetskie Medvedi
3:4
13.10.2025
Tolpar
-
Kuznetskie Medvedi
3:5
28.03.2025
Kuznetskie Medvedi
-
Tolpar
6:3
25.03.2025
Tolpar
-
Kuznetskie Medvedi
2:3
Latest results of Kuznetskie Medvedi
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Loko | Bye | |
| 2 | Din. St. Petersburg | Tayfun | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Dyn. Moscow | Bye | |
| 4 | Dinamo-Shinnik | Krylya Sovetov | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Omskie Yastreby | Bye | |
| 6 | Mamonty Yugry | Sibirskie Snaipery | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Irbis | Bye | |
| 8 | Chaika | Ladya | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | MHC Spartak | Bye | |
| 10 | Mikhaylov Academy U20 | SKA-Akademiya | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | SKA-1946 | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Krasnaya Armiya | |
| 13 | Stalnye Lisy | Bye | |
| 14 | Belye Medvedi | Loko-76 | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Tolpar | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | Avto | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Loko | Din. St. Petersburg | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Dyn. Moscow | Dinamo-Shinnik | 1 : 3 |
| 3 | Omskie Yastreby | Sibirskie Snaipery | 3 : 2 |
| 4 | Irbis | Chaika | 2 : 3 |
| 5 | MHC Spartak | Mikhaylov Academy U20 | 3 : 1 |
| 6 | SKA-1946 | Krasnaya Armiya | 2 : 3 |
| 7 | Stalnye Lisy | Belye Medvedi | 3 : 1 |
| 8 | Tolpar | Avto | 1 : 3 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Loko | Dinamo-Shinnik | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Omskie Yastreby | Chaika | 1 : 3 |
| 3 | MHC Spartak | Krasnaya Armiya | 3 : 1 |
| 4 | Stalnye Lisy | Avto | 1 : 3 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Loko | Chaika | |
| 2 | MHC Spartak | Avto | |
