Result
5:4
02/02/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 1)
- 03:08, 0 - 1, Degtyarev M. (G), Kireyev R. (A),
- 13:04, 1 - 1, Kurichev N. (G), Maier V. (A), Golnik R. (A2)
- 2nd Period (0 - 1)
- 17:53, 1 - 2, Buzdyganov V. (G), Khabibullin A. (A),
- 3rd Period (4 - 2)
- 01:44, 2 - 2, Serazetdinov D. (G), Rubin A. (A), Gushchin M. (A2)
- 02:34, 3 - 2, Gushchin M. (G), Golnik R. (A), Serazetdinov D. (A2)
- 04:10, 4 - 2, Mukhranov Y. (G), Alshevsky A. (A), Sysoyev D. (A2)
- 08:36, 5 - 2, Kurichev N. (G), Mukhranov Y. (A), Golnik R. (A2)
- 17:03, 5 - 3, Khabibullin A. (G),
- 19:23, 5 - 4, Khabibullin A. (G), Zagrebin M. (A), Akhsyanov B. (A2)
Chances of winning
Stalnye Lisy
37.1% | Draw
24.2% | Tolpar
38.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stalnye Lisy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stalnye Lisy's form might have worsened.Tolpar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tolpar's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stalnye Lisy than the current prediction. (+13.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stalnye Lisy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tolpar than the current prediction. (-12.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tolpar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Stalnye Lisy - Tolpar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.47 ↑
(1.68) |
3.79 ↓
(4.33) |
2.37 ↓
(3.8) |
9.1%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stalnye Lisy won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Stalnye Lisy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Tolpar has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stalnye Lisy won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 63:62. (average 3.2:3.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Stalnye Lisy won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:19. (average 2.9:2.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Stalnye Lisy won against Tolpar?
Stalnye Lisy has won 10 of their last 21 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tolpar won against Stalnye Lisy?
Tolpar has won 11 of their last 21 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stalnye Lisy - Tolpar were as follows:
24.12.2025
Tolpar
-
Stalnye Lisy
4:5
16.12.2025
Stalnye Lisy
-
Tolpar
2:3
15.09.2025
Tolpar
-
Stalnye Lisy
2:3
28.08.2025
Tolpar
-
Stalnye Lisy
5:4
25.02.2025
Stalnye Lisy
-
Tolpar
2:1
Latest results of Stalnye Lisy
MHL Table
2025/26Western Conference - Gold Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Loko | 51 | 37 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 229:89 | 88 |
| 2 | Dyn. Moscow | 50 | 29 | 8 | 2 | 11 | 188:112 | 76 |
| 3 | SKA-1946 | 50 | 31 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 203:113 | 73 |
| 4 | Krasnaya Armiya | 49 | 27 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 168:110 | 73 |
| 5 | MHC Spartak | 48 | 29 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 186:120 | 71 |
| 6 | Mikhaylov Academy U20 | 48 | 27 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 158:108 | 65 |
| 7 | Dinamo-Shinnik | 49 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 144:113 | 63 |
| 8 | Almaz | 51 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 161:149 | 61 |
| 9 | Din. St. Petersburg | 49 | 26 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 160:140 | 58 |
Western Conference - Silver Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Krylya Sovetov | 52 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 132:149 | 57 |
| 2 | Tayfun | 51 | 20 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 132:134 | 56 |
| 3 | SKA-Akademiya | 51 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 144:170 | 54 |
| 4 | MHC Spartak MAX | 50 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 153:159 | 51 |
| 5 | AKM-Junior | 51 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 135:151 | 48 |
| 6 | Amurskie Tigry | 51 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 118:163 | 46 |
| 7 | Kapitan | 53 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 29 | 133:163 | 45 |
| 8 | Atlant | 50 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 136:161 | 43 |
| 9 | Sakhalinskie Akuly | 48 | 13 | 7 | 0 | 28 | 110:139 | 40 |
| 10 | Dinamo Karelia | 50 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 36 | 122:240 | 25 |
| 11 | Red Mashine | 50 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 46 | 81:262 | 7 |
Eastern Conference - Gold Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Omskie Yastreby | 52 | 30 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 194:106 | 74 |
| 2 | Irbis | 48 | 29 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 161:99 | 71 |
| 3 | Stalnye Lisy | 47 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 161:115 | 64 |
| 4 | Chaika | 49 | 24 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 143:139 | 61 |
| 5 | Mamonty Yugry | 48 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 128:115 | 61 |
| 6 | Tolpar | 48 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 170:133 | 60 |
| 7 | Avto | 48 | 27 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 154:147 | 59 |
| 8 | Belye Medvedi | 47 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 20 | 140:136 | 53 |
| 9 | Kuznetskie Medvedi | 51 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 126:167 | 46 |
Eastern Conference - Silver Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Ladya | 51 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 16 | 146:110 | 69 |
| 2 | Loko-76 | 48 | 22 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 139:102 | 64 |
| 3 | Sibirskie Snaipery | 49 | 28 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 166:106 | 63 |
| 4 | Reaktor | 49 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 158:143 | 57 |
| 5 | Sputnik Almetievsk | 52 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 168:201 | 49 |
| 6 | Krasnoyarskie Rysi | 50 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 117:154 | 42 |
| 7 | Molot Perm | 49 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 128:180 | 38 |
| 8 | AKM-Novomoskovsk | 50 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 103:197 | 32 |
| 9 | Tyumensky Legion | 48 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 99:196 | 24 |
| 10 | Snezhnye Barsy | 46 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 35 | 98:201 | 19 |
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