Result
3:2
30/01/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX Women - Clausura - Round 6
- Referee: Lomeli D. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | ViX Gratis, VIX+ |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 10', 0 - 1, Martin D. ⚽,
- 25', Lopez Y. 🟨,
- 33', 0 - 2, Lopez Y. ⚽,
- 39', Henry A. 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 2, Lopez V. ⚽,
- 45', 2 - 2, Fernandez L. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 49', Cadena M. 🟨,
- 50', Diaz B. ↓, Peraza C. ↑,
- 60', 3 - 2, Erceg A. ⚽,
- 61', Erceg A. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
- 61', Pavi M. ↓, Roman M. ↑,
- 63', Lopez Y. ↓, Singano J. ↑,
- 63', Granados N. ↓, Arreola A. ↑,
- 63', Cadena M. ↓, Mora Bianca ↑,
- 73', 🟨,
- 74', Ramirez M. 🟥,
- 77', Sanchez Stickel E. R. ↓, Kaci A. ↑,
- 77', Blackwood D. ↓, Rodriguez Perez Y. ↑,
- 78', Abud K. 🟨,
- 82', Singano J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Toluca
67.9% | Draw
20.3% | Juárez
11.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Toluca's performance.Juárez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juárez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (-13.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Toluca that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (+11%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juárez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Toluca - Juárez Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.35 ↓
(1.74) |
4.53 ↑
(3.77) |
7.76 ↑
(3.86) |
9%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Toluca - Juárez?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - Toluca (1.51) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Toluca will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Toluca (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 1.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- In this match, Toluca is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Toluca will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toluca won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Toluca won against Juárez?
Toluca has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Juárez won against Toluca?
Juárez has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toluca - Juárez were as follows:
17.08.2025
Juárez
-
Toluca
0:0
04.03.2025
Toluca
-
Juárez
3:1
05.10.2024
Juárez
-
Toluca
2:1
30.03.2024
Juárez
-
Toluca
0:0
13.08.2023
Toluca
-
Juárez
1:1
Mexican Liga MX Women Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Monterrey W ✔ | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 39:5 | 34 | 40 |
| 2 | Club America W ✔ | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 41:11 | 30 | 39 |
| 3 | Pachuca W ✔ | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 44:12 | 32 | 36 |
| 4 | Tigres UANL W ✔ | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 38:13 | 25 | 34 |
| 5 | Guadalajara Chivas W ✔ | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 25:11 | 14 | 32 |
| 6 | Toluca W ✔ | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 37:25 | 12 | 32 |
| 7 | Cruz Azul W ✔ | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 37:18 | 19 | 30 |
| 8 | Juarez W | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 24:16 | 8 | 25 |
| 9 | Club Tijuana W | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 29:23 | 6 | 25 |
| 10 | UNAM Pumas W | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 22:28 | -6 | 21 |
| 11 | Mazatlan FC W | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 18 |
| 12 | Atl. San Luis W | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18:31 | -13 | 18 |
| 13 | Club Leon W | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 31:33 | -2 | 16 |
| 14 | Atlas W | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 21:38 | -17 | 12 |
| 15 | Puebla W | 16 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 8:44 | -36 | 8 |
| 16 | Santos Laguna W | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 11:29 | -18 | 6 |
| 17 | Queretaro W | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11:43 | -32 | 5 |
| 18 | Necaxa W | 16 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9:59 | -50 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Monterrey W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Club America W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Pachuca W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Tigres UANL W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Guadalajara Chivas W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Toluca W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Cruz Azul W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
