Result
3:1
04/03/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- MEXICO: Liga MX Women - Clausura - Round 10
- Referee: Hernandez I. F. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | ViX Gratis, VIX+ |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 25', Valadez N. 🟨,
- 25', Casarez J. A. 🟨,
- 27', Peraza C. 🟨,
- 28', Mejia A. 🟨,
- 45+1', Asantewaa G. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Rodriguez M. ↓, Singano J. ↑,
- 49', 0 - 1, Asantewaa G. ⚽,
- 56', Valadez N. ↓, van de Sanden S. ↑,
- 59', Asantewaa G. ↓, Zuazua M. ↑,
- 59', Kaci A. ↓, Gonzalez E. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 1, Henry A. ⚽,
- 68', Ramirez M. ↓, Fernandez L. ↑,
- 77', 2 - 1, Peraza C. ⚽,
- 83', 3 - 1, Vazquez S. ⚽,
- 85', Casarez J. A. ↓, Soto H. ↑,
- 85', Mejia A. ↓, Duarte N. ↑,
- 90', Roman M. ↓, Sanchez M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Toluca
35.5% | Draw
27.4% | Juárez
37.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Toluca's performance.Juárez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juárez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (-13.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Toluca that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (+20.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juárez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Toluca - Juárez Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.59 ↓
(4) |
3.35 ↓
(4) |
2.48 ↑
(1.6) |
8.7%
(12.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Toluca - Juárez?
Users Predictions:
Toluca will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Toluca won 0.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Toluca could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
- Last 10 head-to-head matches Toluca won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:10 (average 0.9:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Toluca won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 0.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Toluca won against Juárez?
Toluca has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Juárez won against Toluca?
Juárez has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toluca - Juárez were as follows:
05.10.2024
Juárez
-
Toluca
2:1
30.03.2024
Juárez
-
Toluca
0:0
13.08.2023
Toluca
-
Juárez
1:1
23.04.2023
Juárez
-
Toluca
1:1
22.08.2022
Toluca
-
Juárez
1:2
Mexican Liga MX Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tigres UANL W | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12:1 | 11 | 10 |
| 2 | Club America W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 9 |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | Pachuca W | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15:2 | 13 | 7 |
| 5 | UNAM Pumas W | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 7 |
| 6 | Toluca W | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 7 |
| 7 | Monterrey W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Club Leon W | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 9 | Atlas W | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 10 | Juarez W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Necaxa W | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 4 |
| 12 | Cruz Azul W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:3 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | Atl. San Luis W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 3 |
| 14 | Club Tijuana W | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 2 |
| 15 | Queretaro W | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
| 16 | Santos Laguna W | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 17 | Puebla W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:9 | -8 | 0 |
| 18 | Mazatlan FC W | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:19 | -17 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
