Puebla vs Toluca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga MX Women Puebla - Toluca
Result
1:3
13/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga MX Women - Clausura - Round 16
  • Referee: Ortiz A. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Fox Sports

Match Stats

Total shots
913
Shots on target
310
Corner Kicks
37
Yellow Cards
10
Total shots
913
Shots on target
310
Shots off target
63
Corner Kicks
37
Goalkeeper Saves
72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, van de Sanden S. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 49', 0 - 2, ,
  • 60', 🟨,
  • 61', Rodriguez C. , Gonzalez J. ,
  • 61', Solis J. , Morin A. ,
  • 62', Guatemala D. , Sahagun Molina V. M. ,
  • 62', Vazquez S. , Peraza C. ,
  • 77', 1 - 2, ,
  • 79', Santos E. , Moron V. ,
  • 85', 1 - 3, ,

Chances of winning


Puebla
12.7%
Draw
17.4%
Toluca
69.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
13.2% 19.8% 67%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.7% 19% 69.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Puebla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Puebla aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Puebla - Toluca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.26
    (6.75)
    5.3
    (4.5)
    1.32
    (1.33)
    8.3%
    (12.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • Preview Facts
    • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 and 13).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Puebla won 0.
    • Puebla is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Toluca is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Toluca is indisputable favorite.
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Puebla won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 14:20 (average 0.9:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Puebla won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7:12 (average 1:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Puebla - Toluca were as follows:
    07.09.2024 Toluca - Puebla 1:0
    03.05.2024 Puebla - Toluca 1:2
    05.10.2023 Toluca - Puebla 3:0
    26.02.2023 Puebla - Toluca 0:2
    17.10.2022 Toluca - Puebla 1:1
    Latest results of Puebla
    23.03.2025 Puebla - Santos Laguna 2:1
    12.03.2025 Club America - Puebla 7:0
    09.03.2025 Puebla - Tijuana 2:2
    02.03.2025 Mazatlan - Puebla 3:0
    Latest results of Toluca
    30.03.2025 Toluca - Monterrey 2:2
    20.03.2025 Pachuca - Toluca 2:3
    13.03.2025 Cruz Azul - Toluca 2:1
    04.03.2025 Toluca - Juárez 3:1
    Mexican Liga MX Women Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tigres UANL W431012:11110
    2Club America W33007:169
    3Guadalajara Chivas W33004:049
    4Pachuca W321015:2137
    5UNAM Pumas W32106:157
    6Toluca W32105:237
    7Monterrey W32017:616
    8Club Leon W41215:6-15
    9Atlas W41215:7-25
    10Juarez W31113:214
    11Necaxa W41123:7-44
    12Cruz Azul W31025:323
    13Atl. San Luis W31021:5-43
    14Club Tijuana W40224:8-42
    15Queretaro W30123:6-31
    16Santos Laguna W30121:4-31
    17Puebla W30031:9-80
    18Mazatlan FC W40042:19-170

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