Result
0:0
22/10/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 14
- Referee: Garcia O. M. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN App, TUDN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.34 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (280/346) | 86% (467/545) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (280/346) | 86% (467/545) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (32/64) | 38% (20/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (56/84) | 64% (87/136) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.53 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 43', Barbosa D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 61', El Ghezouani M. ↓, Nicholson S. ↑,
- 65', Barbosa D. ↓, Simon S. ↑,
- 65', Angulo J. ↓, Virgen O. ↑,
- 74', Castaneda K. ↓, Preciado A. ↑,
- 76', Inzunza R. 🟨,
- 81', Tona I. 🟨,
- 85', Mora G. ↓, Blanco D. ↑,
- 87', Morales R. ↓, Bruno Mendez ↑,
- 90', Castro N. ↓, Herrera H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Tijuana
29.2% | Draw
25.5% | Toluca
45.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Tijuana - Toluca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.26 ↑
(3.18) |
3.74 ↑
(3.55) |
2.09
(2.09) |
5.3%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Tijuana - Toluca?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Tijuana will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Toluca will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Toluca: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tijuana (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - Tijuana (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tijuana (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 1.
- In recent matches, Tijuana has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Toluca is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Toluca could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Toluca: Luan
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 28:39. (average 1.4:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tijuana won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:14. (average 2:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Tijuana won against Toluca?
Tijuana has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toluca won against Tijuana?
Toluca has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tijuana - Toluca were as follows:
10.01.2025
Tijuana
-
Toluca
2:4
14.09.2024
Toluca
-
Tijuana
4:0
25.02.2024
Toluca
-
Tijuana
2:0
15.09.2023
Tijuana
-
Toluca
2:1
17.03.2023
Tijuana
-
Toluca
3:3
Latest results of Tijuana
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guadalajara Chivas | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Atlas | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 9 |
| 4 | UNAM Pumas | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 8 |
| 5 | Toluca | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 8 |
| 6 | Monterrey | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 7 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Club Tijuana | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
| 9 | Club America | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Pachuca | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 | Atl. San Luis | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Juarez | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 4 |
| 13 | Club Leon | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
| 14 | Puebla | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 | Queretaro | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 2 |
| 17 | Santos Laguna | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:12 | -8 | 1 |
| 18 | Mazatlan FC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:10 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
