Result
03/03/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
UNAM
21.8% | Draw
26.7% | Toluca
51.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UNAM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Toluca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
UNAM - Toluca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.18 ↓
(4.25) |
3.45 ↑
(3.35) |
1.81 ↑
(1.76) |
8.3%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 0.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- In this match, Toluca is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:23. (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, UNAM won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:8. (average 1.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has UNAM won against Toluca?
UNAM has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toluca won against UNAM?
Toluca has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between UNAM - Toluca were as follows:
16.08.2025
Toluca
-
UNAM
1:1
29.01.2025
UNAM
-
Toluca
1:1
05.10.2024
Toluca
-
UNAM
1:1
17.03.2024
Toluca
-
UNAM
3:0
18.08.2023
UNAM
-
Toluca
1:1
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guadalajara Chivas | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 18 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:8 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | UNAM Pumas | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14:6 | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Toluca | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:2 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Pachuca | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Atlas | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 13 |
| 7 | Club America | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:3 | 4 | 11 |
| 8 | Tigres UANL | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 10 |
| 9 | Monterrey | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 10 |
| 10 | Necaxa | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
| 11 | Club Tijuana | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Atl. San Luis | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 | Club Leon | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
| 14 | Queretaro | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Puebla | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:10 | -6 | 5 |
| 16 | Juarez | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Mazatlan FC | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:14 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7:21 | -14 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
