Tomas Machac vs Alex De Minaur – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Monte Carlo Tomas Machac - Alex De Minaur
Result
1:2
09/04/2025 at 08:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
53
Double Faults
32
1st Serve Percentage
63%54%
1st Serve Points Won
70% (33/47)80% (35/44)
2nd Serve Points Won
36% (10/28)53% (20/38)
Break Points Saved
20% (1/5)80% (4/5)
1st Return Points Won
23% (10/44)30% (14/47)
2nd Return Points Won
47% (18/38)64% (18/28)
Break Points Converted
20% (1/5)80% (4/5)
Winners
2428
Unforced Errors
4024
Net Points Won
83% (10/12)71% (5/7)
Service Points Won
57% (43/75)66% (53/80)
Return Points Won
34% (27/80)43% (32/75)
Total Points Won
45% (70/155)55% (85/155)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
67% (8/12)92% (11/12)
Return Games Won
8% (1/12)33% (4/12)
Total Games Won
38% (9/24)63% (15/24)

Chances of winning


Tomas Machac
45.2%
Alex De Minaur
54.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.6% 47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1% 46.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tomas Machac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tomas Machac's form might have worsened.
  • Alex De Minaur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alex De Minaur's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tomas Machac, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alex De Minaur, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Tomas Machac - Alex De Minaur Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (1.8)

    1.74
    (2)
    5.3%
    (5.7%)
    What is the prediction for Tomas Machac - Alex De Minaur?
  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Machac will win (votes: 17 - 60.7%). De Minaur will win (votes: 11 - 39.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Machac: 42.6%78.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Machac (votes: 3 - 50%). De Minaur (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Machac is ranked ATP: 21. De Minaur is ranked ATP: 10.
    • Machac in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Recent matches De Minaur is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • De Minaur could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Tomas Machac
    25.03.2025 Tomas Machac - Jakub Mensik Mensik J. walkover
    07.03.2025 Tomas Machac - Yosuke Watanuki Machac T. retired
    Latest results of Alex De Minaur
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Bye
    2Navone M. (Q)Berrettini M.0 : 2
    3Lehecka J.Korda S.2 : 0
    4Bu Y. (Q)Musetti L. (13)1 : 2
    5Rune H. (RET.) (10)Borges N.0 : 1
    6Sonego L.Martinez P.1 : 2
    7Thompson J.Mpetshi Perricard G.2 : 0
    8ByeTsitsipas S. (6)
    9Djokovic N. (3)Bye
    10Wawrinka S. (WC)Tabilo A.1 : 2
    11Struff J-L.Vacherot V. (WC)0 : 2
    12Jarry N.Dimitrov G. (15)0 : 2
    13Medvedev D. (9)Khachanov K.2 : 1
    14Muller A.Ugo Carabelli C. (Q)2 : 0
    15Machac T.Baez S.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (8)
    17Draper J. (5)Bye
    18Giron M.Shapovalov D.2 : 0
    19Etcheverry T. M.Moutet C. (Q)2 : 1
    20Davidovich Fokina A.Shelton B. (11)2 : 1
    21Tiafoe F. (14)Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    22Popyrin A.Humbert U.2 : 1
    23Bautista-Agut R.Nakashima B.2 : 0
    24ByeRuud C. (4)
    25Rublev A. (7)Bye
    26Monfils G.Marozsan F. (Q)2 : 1
    27Lajovic D. (Q)Cobolli F.0 : 2
    28Griekspoor T.Fils A. (12)1 : 2
    29Auger-Aliassime F. (16)Altmaier D. (Q)0 : 2
    30Arnaldi M.Gasquet R. (WC)1 : 2
    31Fognini F. (WC)Cerundolo F.0 : 2
    32ByeAlcaraz C. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Berrettini M.1 : 2
    2Lehecka J.Musetti L. (13)1 : 2
    3Borges N.Martinez P.2 : 1
    4Thompson J.Tsitsipas S. (6)1 : 2
    5Djokovic N. (3)Tabilo A.0 : 2
    6Vacherot V.Dimitrov G. (15)1 : 2
    7Medvedev D. (9)Muller A.2 : 1
    8Machac T.De Minaur A. (8)1 : 2
    9Draper J. (5)Giron M.2 : 0
    10Etcheverry T. M.Davidovich Fokina A.0 : 2
    11Tiafoe F. (14)Popyrin A.1 : 2
    12Bautista-Agut R.Ruud C. (4)0 : 2
    13Rublev A. (7)Monfils G.2 : 0
    14Cobolli F.Fils A. (12)0 : 2
    15Altmaier D.Gasquet R.2 : 1
    16Cerundolo F.Alcaraz C. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Berrettini M.Musetti L. (13)0 : 2
    2Borges N.Tsitsipas S. (6)0 : 2
    3Tabilo A.Dimitrov G. (15)1 : 2
    4Medvedev D. (9)De Minaur A. (8)0 : 2
    5Draper J. (5)Davidovich Fokina A.1 : 2
    6Popyrin A.Ruud C. (4)2 : 1
    7Rublev A. (7)Fils A. (12)0 : 2
    8Altmaier D.Alcaraz C. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Musetti L. (13)Tsitsipas S. (6)2 : 1
    2Dimitrov G. (15)De Minaur A. (8)0 : 2
    3Davidovich Fokina A.Popyrin A.2 : 0
    4Fils A. (12)Alcaraz C. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Musetti L. (13)De Minaur A. (8)2 : 1
    2Davidovich Fokina A.Alcaraz C. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Musetti L. (13)Alcaraz C. (2)1 : 2