Result
1:2
09/04/2025 at 08:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/16-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 63% | 54% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 70% (33/47) | 80% (35/44) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 36% (10/28) | 53% (20/38) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 20% (1/5) | 80% (4/5) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 23% (10/44) | 30% (14/47) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 47% (18/38) | 64% (18/28) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 20% (1/5) | 80% (4/5) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 24 | 28 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 40 | 24 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 71% (5/7) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (43/75) | 66% (53/80) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 34% (27/80) | 43% (32/75) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 45% (70/155) | 55% (85/155) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 92% (11/12) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 8% (1/12) | 33% (4/12) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 38% (9/24) | 63% (15/24) |
Chances of winning
Tomas Machac
45.2% | Alex De Minaur
54.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tomas Machac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tomas Machac's form might have worsened.Alex De Minaur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alex De Minaur's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tomas Machac, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alex De Minaur, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Tomas Machac - Alex De Minaur Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↑
(1.8) |
|
1.74 ↓
(2) |
5.3%
(5.7%) | |
What is the prediction for Tomas Machac - Alex De Minaur?
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Machac will win (votes: 17 - 60.7%). De Minaur will win (votes: 11 - 39.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machac: 42.6% – 78.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Machac (votes: 3 - 50%). De Minaur (votes: 3 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Machac is ranked ATP: 21. De Minaur is ranked ATP: 10.
- Machac in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- Recent matches De Minaur is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- De Minaur could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.
- Recently, the players did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Tomas Machac won against Alex De Minaur?
Tomas Machac has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alex De Minaur won against Tomas Machac?
Alex De Minaur has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tomas Machac - Alex De Minaur were as follows:
Latest results of Tomas Machac
Latest results of Alex De Minaur
Draw
Singles - Main1/32-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Navone M. (Q) | Berrettini M. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Lehecka J. | Korda S. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Bu Y. (Q) | Musetti L. (13) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Rune H. (RET.) (10) | Borges N. | 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Sonego L. | Martinez P. | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Thompson J. | Mpetshi Perricard G. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Tsitsipas S. (6) | |
| 9 | Djokovic N. (3) | Bye | |
| 10 | Wawrinka S. (WC) | Tabilo A. | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Struff J-L. | Vacherot V. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Jarry N. | Dimitrov G. (15) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Medvedev D. (9) | Khachanov K. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Muller A. | Ugo Carabelli C. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Machac T. | Baez S. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | De Minaur A. (8) | |
| 17 | Draper J. (5) | Bye | |
| 18 | Giron M. | Shapovalov D. | 2 : 0 |
| 19 | Etcheverry T. M. | Moutet C. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 20 | Davidovich Fokina A. | Shelton B. (11) | 2 : 1 |
| 21 | Tiafoe F. (14) | Kecmanovic M. | 2 : 1 |
| 22 | Popyrin A. | Humbert U. | 2 : 1 |
| 23 | Bautista-Agut R. | Nakashima B. | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Bye | Ruud C. (4) | |
| 25 | Rublev A. (7) | Bye | |
| 26 | Monfils G. | Marozsan F. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 27 | Lajovic D. (Q) | Cobolli F. | 0 : 2 |
| 28 | Griekspoor T. | Fils A. (12) | 1 : 2 |
| 29 | Auger-Aliassime F. (16) | Altmaier D. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 30 | Arnaldi M. | Gasquet R. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 31 | Fognini F. (WC) | Cerundolo F. | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Bye | Alcaraz C. (2) | |
1/16-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Berrettini M. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Lehecka J. | Musetti L. (13) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Borges N. | Martinez P. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Thompson J. | Tsitsipas S. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Djokovic N. (3) | Tabilo A. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Vacherot V. | Dimitrov G. (15) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Medvedev D. (9) | Muller A. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Machac T. | De Minaur A. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Draper J. (5) | Giron M. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Etcheverry T. M. | Davidovich Fokina A. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Tiafoe F. (14) | Popyrin A. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Bautista-Agut R. | Ruud C. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Rublev A. (7) | Monfils G. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Cobolli F. | Fils A. (12) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Altmaier D. | Gasquet R. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Cerundolo F. | Alcaraz C. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Berrettini M. | Musetti L. (13) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Borges N. | Tsitsipas S. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Tabilo A. | Dimitrov G. (15) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Medvedev D. (9) | De Minaur A. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Draper J. (5) | Davidovich Fokina A. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Popyrin A. | Ruud C. (4) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Rublev A. (7) | Fils A. (12) | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Altmaier D. | Alcaraz C. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Musetti L. (13) | Tsitsipas S. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Dimitrov G. (15) | De Minaur A. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Davidovich Fokina A. | Popyrin A. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Fils A. (12) | Alcaraz C. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Musetti L. (13) | De Minaur A. (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Davidovich Fokina A. | Alcaraz C. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Musetti L. (13) | Alcaraz C. (2) | 1 : 2 |
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