Result
0:2
17/04/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona, clay - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 65% | 52% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 51% (22/43) | 63% (20/32) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 39% (9/23) | 48% (14/29) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 7/13 | 4/7 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 38% (12/32) | 49% (21/43) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 52% (15/29) | 61% (14/23) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 3/7 | 6/13 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 24 | 27 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 31 | 18 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 63% (5/8) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 47% (31/66) | 57% (34/60) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 43% (26/60) | 53% (35/66) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 45% (57/126) | 55% (69/126) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 67% (6/9) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 60% (6/10) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 37% (7/19) | 63% (12/19) |
Chances of winning
Tomas Machac
42.6% | Andrey Rublev
57.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tomas Machac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tomas Machac's performance.Andrey Rublev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andrey Rublev might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Tomas Machac - Andrey Rublev Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.24 ↓
(2.53) |
|
1.68 ↑
(1.51) |
4.1%
(5.8%) | |
What is the prediction for Tomas Machac - Andrey Rublev?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Machac will win (votes: 9 - 45%). Rublev will win (votes: 11 - 55%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rublev: 33.2% – 76.8%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Machac (votes: 2 - 50%). Rublev (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Played indoor on hard. Played with special rules.
- Machac is ranked ATP: 47. Rublev is ranked ATP: 15.
- Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Rublev is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Machac won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Tomas Machac won against Andrey Rublev?
Tomas Machac has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Andrey Rublev won against Tomas Machac?
Andrey Rublev has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tomas Machac - Andrey Rublev were as follows:
05.12.2025
Andrey Rublev
-
Tomas Machac
3:0
22.03.2024
Andrey Rublev
-
Tomas Machac
0:2
Latest results of Tomas Machac
Latest results of Andrey Rublev
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Virtanen O. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Machac T. | Baez S. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Martinez P. (Q) | Sonego L. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Navone M. | Rublev A. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | De Minaur A. (3) | Ofner S. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Trungelliti M. (LL) | Medjedovic H. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Borges N. | Mannarino A. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Etcheverry T. M. | Draper J. (RET.) (8) | 1 : 1 |
| 9 | Norrie C. (7) | Wawrinka S. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Opelka R. | Quinn E. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Munar J. | Jodar R. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Ugo Carabelli C. | Khachanov K. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Fils A. (9) | Atmane T. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Nakashima B. | Cerundolo J. M. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Buse I. | Moutet C. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Landaluce M. (WC) | Musetti L. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Machac T. (WO.) | |
| 2 | Sonego L. | Rublev A. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | De Minaur A. (3) | Medjedovic H. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Borges N. | Etcheverry T. M. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Norrie C. (7) | Quinn E. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Jodar R. | Ugo Carabelli C. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Fils A. (9) | Nakashima B. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Moutet C. | Musetti L. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Machac T. | Rublev A. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Medjedovic H. | Borges N. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Norrie C. (7) | Jodar R. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Fils A. (9) | Musetti L. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Rublev A. (5) | Medjedovic H. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Jodar R. | Fils A. (9) | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Rublev A. (5) | Fils A. (9) | 0 : 2 |
