Tomas Machac vs Sho Shimabukuro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Tokyo Tomas Machac - Sho Shimabukuro
Result
0:2
25/09/2025 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
65
Double Faults
30
1st Serve Percentage
64%63%
1st Serve Points Won
64% (34/53)71% (29/41)
2nd Serve Points Won
53% (16/30)75% (18/24)
Break Points Saved
83% (10/12)0% (0/1)
1st Return Points Won
29% (12/41)38% (20/53)
2nd Return Points Won
25% (6/24)47% (14/30)
Break Points Converted
100% (1/1)17% (2/12)
Service Points Won
60% (50/83)73% (47/64)
Return Points Won
27% (17/64)40% (33/83)
Total Points Won
46% (67/147)54% (80/147)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
80% (8/10)91% (10/11)
Return Games Won
9% (1/11)20% (2/10)
Total Games Won
43% (9/21)57% (12/21)

Chances of winning


Tomas Machac
73.3%
Sho Shimabukuro
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.2% 30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.2% 29.8%

Tomas Machac - Sho Shimabukuro Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.3
(1.32)

3.59
(2.97)
4.7%
(9.4%)
Preview Facts
  • Machac is ranked ATP: 22. Shimabukuro is ranked ATP: 271.
  • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
  • Shimabukuro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • In this match, Machac is a strong favorite.
  • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
Latest results of Tomas Machac
Latest results of Sho Shimabukuro
Draw
Singles - Main

1/16-finals
1Alcaraz C. (1)Baez S.2 : 0
2Bergs Z.Tabilo A.2 : 1
3Thompson J.Nakashima B.1 : 2
4Fucsovics M. (Q)Tiafoe F. (8)2 : 1
5Ruud C. (4)Mochizuki S. (WC)2 : 1
6Munar J.Berrettini M.0 : 2
7Dzumhur D.Vukic A. (Q)1 : 2
8Altmaier D.Shapovalov D. (7)2 : 0
9Humbert U. (6)Brooksby J. (PR)0 : 2
10Nishioka Y. (WC)Darderi L.0 : 2
11Michelsen A.Quinn E. (Q)0 : 2
12Medjedovic H.Rune H. (3)0 : 2
13Machac T. (5)Shimabukuro S. (Q)0 : 2
14Giron M.Korda S.1 : 2
15Watanuki Y. (WC)Borges N.1 : 2
16Diallo G.Fritz T. (2)1 : 2

1/8-finals
1Alcaraz C. (1)Bergs Z.2 : 0
2Nakashima B.Fucsovics M.2 : 0
3Ruud C. (4)Berrettini M.2 : 0
4Vukic A.Altmaier D.2 : 0
5Brooksby J.Darderi L.2 : 0
6Quinn E.Rune H. (3)0 : 2
7Shimabukuro S.Korda S.0 : 2
8Borges N.Fritz T. (2)0 : 2

Quarter-finals
1Alcaraz C. (1)Nakashima B.2 : 0
2Ruud C. (4)Vukic A.2 : 0
3Brooksby J.Rune H. (3)2 : 0
4Korda S.Fritz T. (2)1 : 2

Semi-finals
1Alcaraz C. (1)Ruud C. (4)2 : 1
2Brooksby J.Fritz T. (2)0 : 2

Final
1Alcaraz C. (1)Fritz T. (2)2 : 0