Tombense vs Caxias – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie C Tombense - Caxias
Result
0:0
18/08/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - First stage - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Sky+, Zapping

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1715
Shots on target
25
Corner Kicks
115
Yellow Cards
23
Total shots
1715
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
1510
Corner Kicks
115
Goalkeeper Saves
52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 9', Dudu Mandai 🟨,
  • 31', Douglas 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 66', Julio Henrique 🟨,
  • 68', Douglas Skilo , Gustavo Nescau ,
  • 74', Rafhael Lucas , Ze Eduardo ,
  • 79', 🟨,
  • 90+5', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Tombense
34.3%
Draw
32.7%
Caxias
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.6% 30.3% 32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 31.3% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tombense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Caxias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Tombense - Caxias Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.67
    (2.4)
    2.81
    (2.98)
    2.79
    (2.82)
    8.9%
    (10.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Tombense - Caxias?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Caxias will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Caxias (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).
    • Caxias is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
    • Tombense has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Caxias is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tombense won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tombense won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tombense - Caxias were as follows:
    26.06.2024 Tombense - Caxias 2:1
    Latest results of Tombense
    10.08.2025 Floresta - Tombense 1:0
    03.08.2025 São Bernardo - Tombense 2:0
    28.07.2025 Tombense - Maringá 1:1
    20.07.2025 Confiança - Tombense 3:2
    12.07.2025 Tombense - ABC 1:2
    Latest results of Caxias
    09.08.2025 Caxias - ABC 1:0
    03.08.2025 Ypiranga - Caxias 0:1
    27.07.2025 Caxias - Ponte Preta 2:1
    13.07.2025 Caxias - Anápolis 1:0
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    Second stage

    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Londrina30303:303
    2Sao Bernardo30302:203
    3SER Caxias30301:103
    4Floresta EC30300:003


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ponte Preta43104:1310
    2Guarani42025:416
    3Nautico41122:4-24
    4Brusque41033:5-23

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