Result
0:0
18/08/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - First stage - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Sky+, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 9', Dudu Mandai 🟨,
- 31', Douglas 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 66', Julio Henrique 🟨,
- 68', Douglas Skilo ↓, Gustavo Nescau ↑,
- 74', Rafhael Lucas ↓, Ze Eduardo ↑,
- 79', 🟨,
- 90+5', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tombense
34.3% | Draw
32.7% | Caxias
32.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tombense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Caxias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Tombense - Caxias Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.67 ↑
(2.4) |
2.81 ↓
(2.98) |
2.79 ↓
(2.82) |
8.9%
(10.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Tombense - Caxias?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Caxias will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Caxias (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).
- Caxias is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
- Tombense has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Caxias is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tombense won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tombense won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Tombense won against Caxias?
Tombense has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caxias won against Tombense?
Caxias has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tombense - Caxias were as follows:
26.06.2024
Tombense
-
Caxias
2:1
Latest results of Tombense
Brazilian Serie C Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | SER Caxias ✔ | 17 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 26:17 | 9 | 37 |
| 2 | Nautico ✔ | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 21:6 | 15 | 32 |
| 3 | Ponte Preta ✔ | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 30 |
| 4 | Londrina | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 26:17 | 9 | 29 |
| 5 | Sao Bernardo | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 18:12 | 6 | 29 |
| 6 | Floresta EC | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 13:14 | -1 | 24 |
| 7 | Confianca | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 20:21 | -1 | 23 |
| 8 | Guarani | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 17:18 | -1 | 23 |
| 9 | Brusque | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 22 |
| 10 | Ypiranga FC | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 22 |
| 11 | CSA | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 20:19 | 1 | 22 |
| 12 | Ituano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
| 13 | Maringa FC | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
| 14 | Botafogo PB | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 21:19 | 2 | 20 |
| 15 | Figueirense | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 20:17 | 3 | 20 |
| 16 | Anapolis | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 13:18 | -5 | 19 |
| 17 | Itabaiana | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 13:18 | -5 | 18 |
| 18 | ABC | 17 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 19:23 | -4 | 17 |
| 19 | Retro | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 6:20 | -14 | 13 |
| 20 | Tombense | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 12:20 | -8 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie D
Clinched Spots for Teams
SER Caxias is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Nautico is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Ponte Preta is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
