Result
2:1
26/06/2024 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 6
- Referee: Martins M. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 118 | 133 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 64 | 77 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Kaio Mendes ↓, Felipinho ↑,
- 47', 1 - 0, Igor Bahia ⚽,
- 52', Cezar 🟨,
- 53', Emerson Martins 🟨,
- 54', 2 - 0, Igor Bahia (Pen),
- 62', Cezar ↓, Lucas Ryan ↑,
- 62', Pedro Cuiaba ↓, Elyeser ↑,
- 64', Rony Fernandes 🟨,
- 68', Mikael 🟨,
- 69', 2 - 1, Tomas Bastos ⚽,
- 76', Augusto Galvan ↓, Robinho ↑,
- 76', Emerson Martins ↓, David Lustosa ↑,
- 80', Pedro ↓, Iury ↑,
- 80', Igor Bahia ↓, Diego Fernandes ↑,
- 82', Roger Carvalho 🟨,
- 83', Vitor Feijao 🟨,
- 83', Yuri Ferraz ↓, Emerson Souza ↑,
- 84', Felipinho 🟨,
- 87', Pierre ↓, Joao Vitor ↑,
- 87', Joao Vitor 🟨,
- 90+4', Rafinha ↓, Ednei ↑,
- 90+11', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tombense
55.8% | Draw
26.8% | Caxias
17.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tombense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tombense's performance.Caxias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Caxias might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (-11.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tombense that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caxias could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tombense - Caxias Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↓
(1.99) |
3.4 ↑
(2.95) |
5.22 ↑
(3.97) |
9.9%
(9.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- Tombense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Tombense is a favorite.
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Tombense won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.
- Including matches at home between the teams Tombense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
How many head-to-head matches has Tombense won against Caxias?
Tombense has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caxias won against Tombense?
Caxias has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tombense - Caxias were as follows:
Latest results of Tombense
Brazilian Serie C Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | SER Caxias | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 22:16 | 6 | 27 |
| 2 | Ponte Preta | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 26 |
| 3 | Londrina | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 21:12 | 9 | 23 |
| 4 | Sao Bernardo | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 14:8 | 6 | 22 |
| 5 | Ypiranga FC | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 20 |
| 6 | Nautico | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14:6 | 8 | 20 |
| 7 | Floresta EC | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 19 |
| 8 | Brusque | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 12:12 | 0 | 18 |
| 9 | CSA | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 18 |
| 10 | Ituano | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Botafogo PB | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15:11 | 4 | 16 |
| 12 | Guarani | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 16 |
| 13 | Figueirense | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15:14 | 1 | 15 |
| 14 | Maringa FC | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 17:19 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 | ABC | 13 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 15:17 | -2 | 15 |
| 16 | Confianca | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14:19 | -5 | 13 |
| 17 | Anapolis | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 13 |
| 18 | Retro | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 6:15 | -9 | 12 |
| 19 | Itabaiana | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9:16 | -7 | 11 |
| 20 | Tombense | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie D
