Tombense vs Caxias – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie C Tombense - Caxias
Result
2:1
26/06/2024 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 6
  • Referee: Martins M. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Goal Attempts
812
Shots on Goal
64
Shots off Goal
28
Corner Kicks
67
Goalkeeper Saves
34
Yellow Cards
54
Attacks
118133
Dangerous Attacks
6477

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Kaio Mendes , Felipinho ,
  • 47', 1 - 0, Igor Bahia ,
  • 52', Cezar 🟨,
  • 53', Emerson Martins 🟨,
  • 54', 2 - 0, Igor Bahia (Pen),
  • 62', Cezar , Lucas Ryan ,
  • 62', Pedro Cuiaba , Elyeser ,
  • 64', Rony Fernandes 🟨,
  • 68', Mikael 🟨,
  • 69', 2 - 1, Tomas Bastos ,
  • 76', Augusto Galvan , Robinho ,
  • 76', Emerson Martins , David Lustosa ,
  • 80', Pedro , Iury ,
  • 80', Igor Bahia , Diego Fernandes ,
  • 82', Roger Carvalho 🟨,
  • 83', Vitor Feijao 🟨,
  • 83', Yuri Ferraz , Emerson Souza ,
  • 84', Felipinho 🟨,
  • 87', Pierre , Joao Vitor ,
  • 87', Joao Vitor 🟨,
  • 90+4', Rafinha , Ednei ,
  • 90+11', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Tombense
55.8%
Draw
26.8%
Caxias
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46% 31% 23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 30.1% 23.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tombense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tombense's performance.
  • Caxias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Caxias might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (-11.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tombense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caxias could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Tombense - Caxias Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.99)
    3.4
    (2.95)
    5.22
    (3.97)
    9.9%
    (9.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Tombense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Tombense is a favorite.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Tombense won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Tombense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
    Latest results of Tombense
    22.06.2024 Tombense - Floresta 3:0
    15.06.2024 Aparecidense - Tombense 2:1
    10.06.2024 Ypiranga - Tombense 1:0
    01.06.2024 Tombense - Ferroviária 0:0
    19.05.2024 Remo - Tombense 0:0
    Latest results of Caxias
    23.06.2024 Volta Redonda - Caxias 1:0
    16.06.2024 Caxias - Ferroviária 0:0
    12.06.2024 Sampaio Corrêa - Caxias 2:1
    02.06.2024 Caxias - Figueirense 2:1
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1SER Caxias1390422:16627
    2Ponte Preta1382313:10326
    3Londrina1365221:12923
    4Sao Bernardo1364314:8622
    5Ypiranga FC1362512:14-220
    6Nautico1355314:6820
    7Floresta EC1354410:11-119
    8Brusque1353512:12018
    9CSA1346315:12318
    10Ituano1345412:13-117
    11Botafogo PB1344515:11416
    12Guarani1344510:12-216
    13Figueirense1336415:14115
    14Maringa FC1336417:19-215
    15ABC1329215:17-215
    16Confianca1334614:19-513
    17Anapolis132749:13-413
    18Retro133376:15-912
    19Itabaiana133289:16-711
    20Tombense1325611:16-511

          Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie D