Result
0:0
18/08/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - First stage - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Sky+, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 9', Dudu Mandai 🟨,
- 31', Douglas 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 66', Julio Henrique 🟨,
- 68', Douglas Skilo ↓, Gustavo Nescau ↑,
- 74', Rafhael Lucas ↓, Ze Eduardo ↑,
- 79', 🟨,
- 90+5', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tombense
34.3% | Draw
32.7% | Caxias
32.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tombense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Caxias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Tombense - Caxias Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.67 ↑
(2.4) |
2.81 ↓
(2.98) |
2.79 ↓
(2.82) |
8.9%
(10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Tombense - Caxias?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Caxias will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Caxias (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.5 - Caxias (2.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Tombense (1.49) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Tombense (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Caxias (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).
- Caxias is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
- Tombense has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Caxias is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tombense won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tombense won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Tombense won against Caxias?
Tombense has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caxias won against Tombense?
Caxias has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tombense - Caxias were as follows:
26.06.2024
Tombense
-
Caxias
2:1
Latest results of Tombense
Brazilian Serie C Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Amazonas | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 7 | 12 |
| 2 | Brusque | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Guarani | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Paysandu PA | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 8 |
| 5 | Floresta EC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Inter de Limeira | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | Ypiranga FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | Ituano | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 | Botafogo PB | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
| 10 | SER Caxias | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Maringa FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Barra FC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 5 |
| 13 | Santa Cruz | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:4 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Figueirense | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Maranhao | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Volta Redonda | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 17 | Confianca | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 18 | Anapolis | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
| 19 | Ferroviaria | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 | Itabaiana | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie D
