Floresta vs Tombense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie C Floresta - Tombense
Result
1:0
10/08/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - First stage - Round 16
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping

Match Stats

Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
66
Shots on target
21
Corner Kicks
63
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
66
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
45
Corner Kicks
63
Goalkeeper Saves
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', Kaike 🟨,
  • 18', Rafhael Lucas 🟨,
  • 24', Pablo 🟨,
  • 37', 1 - 0, Icaro ,
  • 38', Guilherme Nunes 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 58', Gustavo Xuxa , Thiaguinho ,
  • 70', Jeam 🟨,
  • 73', Romarinho , Marco Antonio ,
  • 73', Jeam , Rubens ,
  • 76', Rafhael Lucas , Vasconcelos H. ,
  • 81', Claudinei , Cleiton ,
  • 85', Pablo , Guilherme Martineli ,
  • 85', Mateus Ludke , Igor Dutra ,

Chances of winning


Floresta
46.2%
Draw
31.3%
Tombense
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.7% 28.6% 24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8% 27.4% 23.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Floresta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Tombense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Floresta than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Floresta - Tombense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.98
    (1.96)
    2.92
    (3.2)
    4.06
    (3.7)
    9.4%
    (9.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Floresta - Tombense?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Floresta will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).
    • In recent matches, Floresta has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Tombense is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Tombense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Floresta might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Floresta won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Floresta won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Floresta - Tombense were as follows:
    22.06.2024 Tombense - Floresta 3:0
    Latest results of Floresta
    03.08.2025 Maringá - Floresta 1:1
    26.07.2025 Floresta - ABC 1:1
    19.07.2025 Ponte Preta - Floresta 2:1
    12.07.2025 Floresta - Ypiranga 2:1
    Latest results of Tombense
    03.08.2025 São Bernardo - Tombense 2:0
    28.07.2025 Tombense - Maringá 1:1
    20.07.2025 Confiança - Tombense 3:2
    12.07.2025 Tombense - ABC 1:2
    07.07.2025 Ponte Preta - Tombense 1:0
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1SER Caxias ✔ 16120426:17936
    2Nautico1795321:61532
    3Ponte Preta ✔ 1793517:15230
    4Londrina1785426:17929
    5Sao Bernardo1785418:12629
    6Floresta EC1766513:14-124
    7Confianca1765620:21-123
    8Guarani1765617:18-123
    9Brusque1764717:17022
    10CSA1757520:19122
    11Ypiranga FC1663713:17-421
    12Ituano1756617:20-321
    13Maringa FC1749421:22-121
    14Figueirense1748520:17320
    15Botafogo PB1654719:17219
    16Anapolis1747613:18-519
    17Itabaiana1753913:18-518
    18ABC17211419:23-417
    19Retro1734106:20-1413
    20Tombense1626812:20-812

          Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie D

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    SER Caxias is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
    Ponte Preta is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )