Result
2:1
19/10/2023 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 33
Chances of winning
Tombense
30.2% | Draw
31.3% | Vila Nova
38.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tombense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tombense's form might have worsened.Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vila Nova's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tombense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vila Nova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Tombense - Vila Nova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.09 ↑
(2.6) |
2.99 ↑
(2.92) |
2.43 ↓
(2.84) |
7%
(8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Tombense - Vila Nova?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Tombense will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Vila Nova will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 64.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 39.2% – 89.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 9).
- Tombense is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Vila Nova is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Tombense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- There will not play in Tombense: Wesley
(Injury)
- There will not play in Vila Nova: Ralf
(Injury)
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Tombense won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
- Including matches at home between the teams Tombense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.
How many head-to-head matches has Tombense won against Vila Nova?
Tombense has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vila Nova won against Tombense?
Vila Nova has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tombense - Vila Nova were as follows:
27.06.2023
Vila Nova
-
Tombense
1:0
Latest results of Tombense
Latest results of Vila Nova
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 28:16 | 12 | 47 |
| 2 | Goias | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 32:25 | 7 | 45 |
| 3 | Criciuma | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 33:21 | 12 | 43 |
| 4 | Chapecoense-SC | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 41 |
| 5 | Remo | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 39 |
| 6 | Cuiaba | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 31:30 | 1 | 38 |
| 7 | Novorizontino | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 37 |
| 8 | Athletico-PR | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 34:34 | 0 | 36 |
| 9 | Vila Nova FC | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 26:26 | 0 | 36 |
| 10 | Avai | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 32:26 | 6 | 36 |
| 11 | Operario-PR | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 28:25 | 3 | 35 |
| 12 | CRB | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 26:23 | 3 | 34 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 29:34 | -5 | 32 |
| 14 | Atletico GO | 25 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 27:27 | 0 | 32 |
| 15 | Ferroviaria | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 27:30 | -3 | 31 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 21:38 | -17 | 28 |
| 17 | America MG | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 26:33 | -7 | 27 |
| 18 | Volta Redonda | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 16:27 | -11 | 27 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 26:37 | -11 | 24 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 21:31 | -10 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
