Tombense vs Vila Nova – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Tombense - Vila Nova
Result
2:1
19/10/2023 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 33

Chances of winning


Tombense
30.2%
Draw
31.3%
Vila Nova
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.6% 31.7% 32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5% 31.6% 32.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tombense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tombense's form might have worsened.
  • Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vila Nova's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tombense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vila Nova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Tombense - Vila Nova Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.09
    (2.6)
    2.99
    (2.92)
    2.43
    (2.84)
    7%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Tombense - Vila Nova?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Tombense will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Vila Nova will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 64.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 39.2%89.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 9).
    • Tombense is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Vila Nova is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Tombense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Tombense: Wesley (Injury)
    • There will not play in Vila Nova: Ralf (Injury)
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Tombense won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Tombense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tombense - Vila Nova were as follows:
    27.06.2023 Vila Nova - Tombense 1:0
    Latest results of Tombense
    07.10.2023 Tombense - Juventude 1:1
    23.09.2023 Tombense - Botafogo SP 0:0
    17.09.2023 Guarani - Tombense 3:0
    Latest results of Vila Nova
    11.10.2023 Vila Nova - Botafogo SP 3:1
    07.10.2023 Guarani - Vila Nova 1:1
    01.10.2023 Vila Nova - Chapecoense 0:0
    15.09.2023 Vila Nova - Ponte Preta 1:1
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias19114424:15937
    2Coritiba19105420:13735
    3Novorizontino1997323:16734
    4Chapecoense-SC1993725:18730
    5Remo1979322:17530
    6Criciuma1985623:17629
    7Cuiaba1984722:22028
    8Avai1977526:20628
    9Vila Nova FC1983818:18027
    10CRB1974820:18225
    11Athletico-PR1974824:26-225
    12Athletic Club19721022:26-423
    13Operario-PR1965821:20123
    14Atletico GO1958618:20-223
    15America MG19631020:26-621
    16Volta Redonda1956814:21-721
    17Paysandu PA1948718:21-320
    18Ferroviaria1948718:22-420
    19Amazonas1947818:25-719
    20Botafogo SP1946912:27-1518

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )