Result
2:1
19/10/2023 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 33
Chances of winning
Tombense
30.2% | Draw
31.3% | Vila Nova
38.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tombense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tombense's form might have worsened.Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vila Nova's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tombense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vila Nova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Tombense - Vila Nova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.09 ↑
(2.6) |
2.99 ↑
(2.92) |
2.43 ↓
(2.84) |
7%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Tombense - Vila Nova?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Tombense will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Vila Nova will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 64.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 39.2% – 89.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 9).
- Tombense is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Vila Nova is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Tombense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- There will not play in Tombense: Wesley
(Injury)
- There will not play in Vila Nova: Ralf
(Injury)
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Tombense won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
- Including matches at home between the teams Tombense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.
How many head-to-head matches has Tombense won against Vila Nova?
Tombense has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vila Nova won against Tombense?
Vila Nova has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tombense - Vila Nova were as follows:
27.06.2023
Vila Nova
-
Tombense
1:0
Latest results of Tombense
Latest results of Vila Nova
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 35:21 | 14 | 60 |
| 2 | Remo | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 45:33 | 12 | 57 |
| 3 | Goias | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 39:33 | 6 | 55 |
| 4 | Novorizontino | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 37:28 | 9 | 55 |
| 5 | Chapecoense-SC | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 47:32 | 15 | 54 |
| 6 | Criciuma | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 44:32 | 12 | 54 |
| 7 | CRB | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 41:35 | 6 | 51 |
| 8 | Athletico-PR | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 45:42 | 3 | 50 |
| 9 | Cuiaba | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 41:40 | 1 | 50 |
| 10 | Avai | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 43:36 | 7 | 48 |
| 11 | Atletico GO | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 37:35 | 2 | 48 |
| 12 | Vila Nova FC | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 32:34 | -2 | 43 |
| 13 | Operario-PR | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 34:37 | -3 | 42 |
| 14 | America MG | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37:40 | -3 | 41 |
| 15 | Ferroviaria | 33 | 8 | 14 | 11 | 38:44 | -6 | 38 |
| 16 | Athletic Club | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 38:49 | -11 | 37 |
| 17 | Botafogo SP | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 30:50 | -20 | 35 |
| 18 | Volta Redonda | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 23:37 | -14 | 34 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 32 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 31:44 | -13 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
