Result
1:3
29/03/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 27
- Referee: Torres M. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 21', 0 - 1, Alves R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 62', Miro ↓, Roberto ↑,
- 62', Bebeto ↓, Pedro Maranhao ↑,
- 67', Silva J. ↓, Dju M. ↑,
- 67', Santos A. ↓, Sabino ↑,
- 67', Ze Manuel ↓, Monteiro M. ↑,
- 71', Ramos R. ↓, Maviram E. ↑,
- 83', Manso T. 🟨,
- 84', 1 - 1, Dju M. ⚽, Monteiro M. (A),
- 86', Sabino 🟨,
- 89', 1 - 2, Costinha (Pen),
- 90+2', Manso T. ↓, Joao Cesco ↑,
- 90+2', Cunha N. ↓, Cicero ↑,
- 90+2', Casimiro 🟨,
- 90+8', 1 - 3, Pedro Maranhao ⚽, Maviram E. (A),
Chances of winning
Oliveirense
24.8% | Draw
27.5% | Tondela
47.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oliveirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Tondela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tondela than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Oliveirense - Tondela Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.74 ↓
(3.82) |
3.35 ↓
(3.39) |
1.95 ↑
(1.91) |
8%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Oliveirense - Tondela?
Users Predictions:
Tondela will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Oliveirense won 1.
- Recent matches Oliveirense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Tondela is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Tondela will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Oliveirense won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12:14 (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Oliveirense won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:9 (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Oliveirense won against Tondela?
Oliveirense has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tondela won against Oliveirense?
Tondela has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Oliveirense - Tondela were as follows:
04.11.2024
Tondela
-
Oliveirense
2:0
04.05.2024
Oliveirense
-
Tondela
2:1
30.12.2023
Tondela
-
Oliveirense
1:0
18.07.2023
Oliveirense
-
Tondela
2:3
01.04.2023
Oliveirense
-
Tondela
0:0
Latest results of Oliveirense
Latest results of Tondela
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting CP B | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15:3 | 12 | 18 |
| 2 | Vizela | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 15 |
| 3 | Torreense | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | Maritimo | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 14 |
| 5 | Chaves | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 13 |
| 6 | Leiria | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 7 | Felgueiras | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 11 |
| 8 | Feirense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | Portimonense | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:16 | -4 | 11 |
| 10 | SC Farense | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Leixoes | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 10 |
| 12 | Academico Viseu | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | Lusitania FC | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 9 |
| 14 | Oliveirense | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 15 | Penafiel | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 16 | Pacos Ferreira | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 |
| 17 | Benfica B | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 7 |
| 18 | FC Porto B | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:15 | -9 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
