Result
1:2
27/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 7
- Referee: Nogueira M. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 0.70 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (295/378) | 75% (256/340) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 0.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 1.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 25 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (295/378) | 75% (256/340) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (21/52) | 45% (32/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (61/105) | 57% (39/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (6/20) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.42 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 25 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 71% (15/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.81 | 1.65 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.19 | 0.65 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
- 35', Marques C. 🟨,
- 41', Carter A. ↓, Wendell ↑,
- 41', Diogo Calila ↓, Vinicius Lopes ↑,
- 45', Rony Lopes 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 50', Pedro Maranhao (Pen),
- 53', MT 🟨,
- 53', Luquinhas ↓, Gabriel Silva ↑,
- 61', 0 - 1, Pedro Maranhao ⚽, Rony Lopes (A),
- 64', 0 - 2, Sithole S. ⚽, Rony Lopes (A),
- 67', Serginho ↓, Ferreira P. ↑,
- 67', Lima S. ↓, Tavares J. ↑,
- 67', Rony Lopes ↓, Cicero ↑,
- 67', Rodriguez J. ↓, Hodge J. ↑,
- 73', Cicero 🟨,
- 76', 1 - 2, Wendell (Pen),
- 79', Siebatcheu J. ↓, Maviram E. ↑,
- 79', Manso T. ↓, Rodriguez Y. ↑,
- 85', Sithole S. 🟨,
- 86', Cavaleiro I. ↓, Yarlen ↑,
- 89', Pedro Maranhao 🟨,
- 90+4', Bebeto 🟨,
- 90+5', Matheus Pereira 🟨,
Chances of winning
Santa Clara
54% | Draw
28.1% | Tondela
18% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Clara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Tondela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tondela than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Santa Clara - Tondela Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↑
(1.71) |
3.38 ↓
(3.45) |
5.21 ↑
(4.98) |
4.5%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Santa Clara - Tondela?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Santa Clara (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Santa Clara will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Clara won 2.
- Santa Clara is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Tondela has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Santa Clara is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Santa Clara: Pacheco P.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Tondela: Tavares H.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Tondela: Cicero
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santa Clara won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:25. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santa Clara won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Santa Clara won against Tondela?
Santa Clara has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tondela won against Santa Clara?
Tondela has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santa Clara - Tondela were as follows:
20.04.2024
Santa Clara
-
Tondela
1:0
09.12.2023
Tondela
-
Santa Clara
2:3
29.07.2023
Santa Clara
-
Tondela
0:1
15.10.2022
Tondela
-
Santa Clara
2:0
Latest results of Santa Clara
Latest results of Tondela
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19:1 | 18 | 22 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20:5 | 15 | 19 |
| 3 | Benfica | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 13:4 | 9 | 18 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 |
| 5 | Moreirense | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
| 8 | Braga | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Alverca | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | Nacional | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 11 | Arouca | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:19 | -9 | 9 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11:13 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Casa Pia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Estrela | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Estoril | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Tondela | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:14 | -10 | 5 |
| 18 | AFS | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:20 | -15 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
