Result
1:6
17/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 2.19 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (337/395) | 90% (482/538) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 2.19 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 2.90 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (337/395) | 90% (482/538) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (24/47) | 57% (31/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (59/95) | 83% (119/143) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 43% (3/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.83 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 57% (12/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.90 | 1.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -3.10 | 0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 9', Thompson K. 🟨,
- 14', 0 - 1, Spicer T. ⚽, Brynhildsen O. (A),
- 21', Waterman J. 🟥,
- 30', 0 - 2, Bernardeschi F. ⚽, Flores D. (A),
- 33', 0 - 3, Brynhildsen O. ⚽, Dominguez M. (A), Bernardeschi F. (A2)
- 34', Pearce T. ↓, Alvarez F. ↑,
- 34', Clark C. ↓, Loturi V. ↑,
- 45+4', Alvarez F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', Saliba N. ↓, Guboglo Y. ↑,
- 46', Long K. ↓, Monlouis Z. ↑,
- 55', 0 - 4, Bernardeschi F. ⚽, Insigne L. (A),
- 57', Neal J. 🟨,
- 58', Neal J. ↓, Craig B. ↑,
- 62', Spicer T. ↓, Corbeanu T. ↑,
- 62', Brynhildsen O. ↓, Etienne D. ↑,
- 64', 1 - 4, Vrioni G. ⚽, Petrasso L. (A),
- 66', 1 - 5, Corbeanu T. ⚽,
- 70', Insigne L. ↓, Longstaff M. ↑,
- 76', Petrasso L. ↓, Owusu P. ↑,
- 80', Thompson K. ↓, Wingo H. ↑,
- 89', Sealy D. 🟨,
- 90+1', 1 - 6, Corbeanu T. ⚽, Bernardeschi F. (A),
Chances of winning
CF Montréal
51.5% | Draw
26.1% | Toronto FC
22.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CF Montréal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CF Montréal's performance.Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toronto FC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (-11.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CF Montréal that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+9.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toronto FC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
CF Montréal - Toronto FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↓
(2.35) |
3.65 ↑
(3.35) |
4.26 ↑
(2.94) |
4.7%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for CF Montréal - Toronto FC?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Montreal (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
CF Montréal will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 3.
- Montreal has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Toronto is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
- Montreal could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Montreal: Campbell G.
(Injury)
Duke B.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Synchuk G.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Yankov D.
(Groin Injury)
- There will not play in Toronto: Gomis N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Kerr D.
(Ankle Injury)
Laryea R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Osorio J.
(Shoulder Injury)
Wingo H.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There are questionable in Toronto: Franklin K.
(Injury)
Petretta R.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 33:32. (average 1.7:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has CF Montréal won against Toronto FC?
CF Montréal has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toronto FC won against CF Montréal?
Toronto FC has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between CF Montréal - Toronto FC were as follows:
30.04.2025
Toronto FC
-
CF Montréal
2:3
20.07.2024
CF Montréal
-
Toronto FC
0:1
18.05.2024
Toronto FC
-
CF Montréal
5:1
20.08.2023
Toronto FC
-
CF Montréal
2:3
13.05.2023
CF Montréal
-
Toronto FC
2:0
Latest results of CF Montréal
Latest results of Toronto FC
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Diego FC | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 50:32 | 18 | 49 |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 43:28 | 15 | 45 |
| 3 | Minnesota United | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 43:30 | 13 | 44 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 43:35 | 8 | 41 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 41:30 | 11 | 37 |
| 6 | Portland Timbers | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 33:34 | -1 | 37 |
| 7 | Austin FC | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 34 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 33:40 | -7 | 33 |
| 9 | San Jose Earthquakes | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 49:45 | 4 | 32 |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 27:32 | -5 | 31 |
| 11 | FC Dallas | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 37:45 | -8 | 28 |
| 12 | Houston Dynamo | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 32:41 | -9 | 28 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 36:47 | -11 | 24 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 27:41 | -14 | 21 |
| 15 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 25 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 28:52 | -24 | 16 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 44:25 | 19 | 51 |
| 2 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 39:32 | 7 | 49 |
| 3 | Nashville SC | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 43:29 | 14 | 47 |
| 4 | Orlando City | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 50:34 | 16 | 44 |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 41:36 | 5 | 44 |
| 6 | Inter Miami | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 50:38 | 12 | 42 |
| 7 | Charlotte | 26 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 44:39 | 5 | 41 |
| 8 | New York City | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 34:29 | 5 | 38 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 47:42 | 5 | 36 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 41:37 | 4 | 36 |
| 11 | New England Revolution | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 28 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 26:33 | -7 | 22 |
| 13 | Atlanta Utd | 25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 30:46 | -16 | 22 |
| 14 | CF Montreal | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24:47 | -23 | 19 |
| 15 | DC United | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 22:51 | -29 | 19 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
