Result
1:1
30/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Fischer D. (Can)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, RDS App, RDS, TSN 5 |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (211/258) | 81% (303/372) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 0.94 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (211/258) | 81% (303/372) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (12/29) | 47% (22/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (62/89) | 57% (49/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (6/24) | 42% (5/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.83 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (10/18) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.06 | 0.97 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 10', Synchuk G. 🟨,
- 32', Petrasso L. 🟨,
- 36', Dominguez M. 🟨,
- 40', Owusu P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 50', Long K. 🟨,
- 61', Petrasso L. ↓, Guboglo Y. ↑,
- 61', Synchuk G. ↓, Ivan Jaime ↑,
- 70', Bugaj D. ↓, Alvarez F. ↑,
- 74', Brynhildsen O. ↓, Kerr D. ↑,
- 74', Dominguez M. ↓, Cifuentes J. ↑,
- 82', Escobar O. ↓, Duke B. ↑,
- 82', Craig B. ↓, Hidalgo B. ↑,
- 84', 0 - 1, Sealy D. ⚽, Duke B. (A),
- 85', Coello A. ↓, Vilsaint J. ↑,
- 86', Vilsaint J. 🟨,
- 86', Gillier T. 🟨,
- 88', Franklin K. ↓, Etienne D. ↑,
- 89', 1 - 1, Osorio J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Toronto FC
48.1% | Draw
25.7% | CF Montréal
26.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Toronto FC - CF Montréal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97 ↓
(2) |
3.66 ↓
(4) |
3.59 ↑
(3.1) |
6%
(7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Toronto FC - CF Montréal?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 4 - 100%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 3.
- Recent form of Toronto has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Montreal has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Toronto has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Montreal has had a series of home games.
- Toronto will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Toronto: Gomis N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Monlouis Z.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Wingo H.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There will not play in Montreal: Herbers F.
(Injury)
Neal J.
(Illness)
Opoku K.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Piette S.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Vrioni G.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 36:33. (average 1.8:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 2.1:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Toronto FC won against CF Montréal?
Toronto FC has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has CF Montréal won against Toronto FC?
CF Montréal has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC - CF Montréal were as follows:
17.05.2025
CF Montréal
-
Toronto FC
1:6
30.04.2025
Toronto FC
-
CF Montréal
2:3
20.07.2024
CF Montréal
-
Toronto FC
0:1
18.05.2024
Toronto FC
-
CF Montréal
5:1
20.08.2023
Toronto FC
-
CF Montréal
2:3
Latest results of Toronto FC
Latest results of CF Montréal
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Diego FC | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 54:34 | 20 | 56 |
| 2 | Minnesota United | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 48:32 | 16 | 51 |
| 3 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 47:31 | 16 | 49 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 48:38 | 10 | 44 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45:33 | 12 | 41 |
| 6 | Portland Timbers | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 36:38 | -2 | 39 |
| 7 | Austin FC | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 29:33 | -4 | 38 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 38:48 | -10 | 36 |
| 9 | San Jose Earthquakes | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 53:51 | 2 | 35 |
| 10 | Houston Dynamo | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 38:47 | -9 | 33 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 28:36 | -8 | 31 |
| 12 | FC Dallas | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 40:48 | -8 | 31 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 43:57 | -14 | 27 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 34:51 | -17 | 22 |
| 15 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 33:56 | -23 | 20 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 49:26 | 23 | 57 |
| 2 | FC Cincinnati | 29 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 42:36 | 6 | 52 |
| 3 | Charlotte | 29 | 16 | 2 | 11 | 48:40 | 8 | 50 |
| 4 | Nashville SC | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 49:33 | 16 | 50 |
| 5 | Orlando City | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 54:40 | 14 | 47 |
| 6 | Inter Miami | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 54:40 | 14 | 46 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43:39 | 4 | 46 |
| 8 | New York City | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 38:32 | 6 | 44 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 53:50 | 3 | 42 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 42:38 | 4 | 40 |
| 11 | New England Revolution | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 38:43 | -5 | 31 |
| 12 | Atlanta Utd | 28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 32:49 | -17 | 26 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 28 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 28:35 | -7 | 25 |
| 14 | CF Montreal | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 29:51 | -22 | 24 |
| 15 | DC United | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 26:54 | -28 | 24 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
