Toronto FC vs CF Montréal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Toronto FC - CF Montréal
Result
1:1
30/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Fischer D. (Can)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, RDS App, RDS, TSN 5
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.251.33
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
86
Passes
82% (211/258)81% (303/372)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.251.33
xG on target (xGOT)
1.970.94
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
104
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
159
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
86
Touches in opposition box
3422
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1416
Passes
82% (211/258)81% (303/372)
Long passes
41% (12/29)47% (22/47)
Passes in final third
70% (62/89)57% (49/86)
Crosses
25% (6/24)42% (5/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.040.83
Throw-ins
2215
Fouls
1614
Tackles
56% (10/18)70% (7/10)
Duels won
4637
Clearances
1323
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.941.97
Goals prevented
-0.060.97

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 10', Synchuk G. 🟨,
  • 32', Petrasso L. 🟨,
  • 36', Dominguez M. 🟨,
  • 40', Owusu P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 50', Long K. 🟨,
  • 61', Petrasso L. , Guboglo Y. ,
  • 61', Synchuk G. , Ivan Jaime ,
  • 70', Bugaj D. , Alvarez F. ,
  • 74', Brynhildsen O. , Kerr D. ,
  • 74', Dominguez M. , Cifuentes J. ,
  • 82', Escobar O. , Duke B. ,
  • 82', Craig B. , Hidalgo B. ,
  • 84', 0 - 1, Sealy D. , Duke B. (A),
  • 85', Coello A. , Vilsaint J. ,
  • 86', Vilsaint J. 🟨,
  • 86', Gillier T. 🟨,
  • 88', Franklin K. , Etienne D. ,
  • 89', 1 - 1, Osorio J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Toronto FC
48.1%
Draw
25.7%
CF Montréal
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.6% 23.3% 30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2% 22.6% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • Toronto FC - CF Montréal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.97
    (2)
    3.66
    (4)
    3.59
    (3.1)
    6%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Toronto FC - CF Montréal?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 3.
    • Recent form of Toronto has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Montreal has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Toronto has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Montreal has had a series of home games.
    • Toronto will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Toronto: Gomis N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Monlouis Z. (Lower-Body Injury) Wingo H. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Montreal: Herbers F. (Injury) Neal J. (Illness) Opoku K. (Lower-Body Injury) Piette S. (Upper-Body Injury) Vrioni G. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 36:33. (average 1.8:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 2.1:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC - CF Montréal were as follows:
    17.05.2025 CF Montréal - Toronto FC 1:6
    30.04.2025 Toronto FC - CF Montréal 2:3
    20.07.2024 CF Montréal - Toronto FC 0:1
    18.05.2024 Toronto FC - CF Montréal 5:1
    20.08.2023 Toronto FC - CF Montréal 2:3
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    Latest results of CF Montréal
    23.08.2025 CF Montréal - Austin FC 3:2
    16.08.2025 CF Montréal - DC United 1:1
    05.08.2025 CF Montréal - Puebla 1:2
    01.08.2025 Toluca - CF Montréal 2:1
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 32176956:391757
    2Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 31169659:342557
    3Minnesota United ✔ 321510752:371555
    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 30158760:372353
    5Seattle Sounders311210954:47746
    6Austin FC311281134:40-644
    7Portland Timbers3211111041:43-244
    8Colorado Rapids321171442:53-1140
    9San Jose Earthquakes321081457:58-138
    10FC Dallas319111147:51-438
    11Real Salt Lake311141635:46-1137
    12Houston Dynamo32991441:52-1136
    13St. Louis City32771839:55-1628
    14Sporting Kansas City32761946:67-2127
    15Los Angeles Galaxy31591741:62-2124


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 32196756:332363
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 31184947:39858
    3New York City ✔ 321751049:41856
    4Inter Miami ✔ 30168665:471856
    5Charlotte ✔ 321721352:46653
    6Nashville SC321651155:391653
    7Orlando City30149758:431551
    8Columbus Crew321311851:49250
    9Chicago Fire311461159:53648
    10New York Red Bulls321271347:43443
    11New England Revolution32981541:45-435
    12Toronto FC315131331:38-728
    13CF Montreal32691733:56-2327
    14Atlanta Utd315121437:57-2027
    15DC United325101729:64-3525

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)