Result
1:1
30/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Fischer D. (Can)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, RDS App, RDS, TSN 5 |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (211/258) | 81% (303/372) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 0.94 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (211/258) | 81% (303/372) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (12/29) | 47% (22/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (62/89) | 57% (49/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (6/24) | 42% (5/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.83 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (10/18) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.06 | 0.97 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 10', Synchuk G. 🟨,
- 32', Petrasso L. 🟨,
- 36', Dominguez M. 🟨,
- 40', Owusu P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 50', Long K. 🟨,
- 61', Petrasso L. ↓, Guboglo Y. ↑,
- 61', Synchuk G. ↓, Ivan Jaime ↑,
- 70', Bugaj D. ↓, Alvarez F. ↑,
- 74', Brynhildsen O. ↓, Kerr D. ↑,
- 74', Dominguez M. ↓, Cifuentes J. ↑,
- 82', Escobar O. ↓, Duke B. ↑,
- 82', Craig B. ↓, Hidalgo B. ↑,
- 84', 0 - 1, Sealy D. ⚽, Duke B. (A),
- 85', Coello A. ↓, Vilsaint J. ↑,
- 86', Vilsaint J. 🟨,
- 86', Gillier T. 🟨,
- 88', Franklin K. ↓, Etienne D. ↑,
- 89', 1 - 1, Osorio J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Toronto FC
48.1% | Draw
25.7% | CF Montréal
26.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Toronto FC - CF Montréal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97 ↓
(2) |
3.66 ↓
(4) |
3.59 ↑
(3.1) |
6%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Toronto FC - CF Montréal?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 4 - 100%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 3.
- Recent form of Toronto has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Montreal has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Toronto has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Montreal has had a series of home games.
- Toronto will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Toronto: Gomis N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Monlouis Z.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Wingo H.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There will not play in Montreal: Herbers F.
(Injury)
Neal J.
(Illness)
Opoku K.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Piette S.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Vrioni G.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 36:33. (average 1.8:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 2.1:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Toronto FC won against CF Montréal?
Toronto FC has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has CF Montréal won against Toronto FC?
CF Montréal has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC - CF Montréal were as follows:
17.05.2025
CF Montréal
-
Toronto FC
1:6
30.04.2025
Toronto FC
-
CF Montréal
2:3
20.07.2024
CF Montréal
-
Toronto FC
0:1
18.05.2024
Toronto FC
-
CF Montréal
5:1
20.08.2023
Toronto FC
-
CF Montréal
2:3
Latest results of Toronto FC
Latest results of CF Montréal
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14:1 | 13 | 12 |
| 2 | Los Angeles FC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:0 | 8 | 12 |
| 3 | San Diego FC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 10 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:1 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Seattle Sounders | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | Real Salt Lake | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Houston Dynamo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | FC Dallas | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | Austin FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
| 12 | Sporting Kansas City | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 13 | Minnesota United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:11 | -7 | 4 |
| 14 | Portland Timbers | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 |
| 15 | St. Louis City | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 1 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | New York City | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 10 |
| 2 | Nashville SC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 10 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 4 | New York Red Bulls | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
| 5 | DC United | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | Charlotte | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
| 7 | Chicago Fire | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Toronto FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 9 | New England Revolution | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Atlanta Utd | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 3 |
| 11 | FC Cincinnati | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
| 12 | CF Montreal | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | -6 | 3 |
| 13 | Orlando City | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:12 | -7 | 3 |
| 14 | Columbus Crew | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 2 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
