Toronto FC vs Portland Timbers: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Toronto FC - Portland Timbers
28/06/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Toronto FC - Portland Timbers - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.510.23
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
145
Shots on target
80
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
93
Passes
80% (245/306)83% (353/425)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
1.510.23
xG on target (xGOT)
3.130.00
Total shots
145
Shots on target
80
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
83
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
2215
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1416
Passes
80% (245/306)83% (353/425)
Long passes
36% (17/47)53% (26/49)
Passes in final third
64% (62/97)72% (73/102)
Crosses
19% (4/21)12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.060.49
Throw-ins
1619
Fouls
1614
Tackles
48% (11/23)58% (11/19)
Duels won
5254
Clearances
2524
Interceptions
125
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
05
xGOT faced
0.003.13
Goals prevented
0.00-0.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Coello A. ,
  • 43', Zuparic D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 54', Fernandez O. , Moreno S. ,
  • 56', 2 - 0, Spicer T. , Brynhildsen O. (A),
  • 68', Fory J. 🟨,
  • 69', Spicer T. , Etienne D. ,
  • 73', Mora F. , Guerra G. ,
  • 73', Chara D. , Paredes C. ,
  • 74', Fory J. , Smith I. ,
  • 77', Ayala D. 🟨,
  • 85', Brynhildsen O. , Kerr D. ,
  • 86', Longstaff M. , Sullivan M. ,
  • 90', Kelsy K. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 3 - 0, Kerr D. , Etienne D. (A),
  • 90+5', Dominguez M. , Sharp C. ,
  • 90+5', Thompson K. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Toronto FC
32.4%
Draw
28%
Portland Timbers
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.4% 27.5% 49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3% 27.4% 49.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Toronto FC's performance.
  • Portland Timbers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Portland Timbers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Toronto FC that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portland Timbers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Toronto FC - Portland Timbers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.96
    (4)
    3.38
    (3.4)
    2.38
    (1.91)
    5.4%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Toronto FC - Portland Timbers?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Portland will win (votes: 12 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Portland: 53.8%96.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Portland (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 2.
    • Toronto is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Portland has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Portland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.4:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 2:1).
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    Latest results of Portland Timbers
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC20123541:251639
    2Vancouver Whitecaps19115335:191638
    3Minnesota United2097433:231034
    4Portland Timbers1986528:27130
    5Seattle Sounders1985627:25229
    6San Jose Earthquakes2076740:32827
    7Los Angeles FC1775530:24626
    8Colorado Rapids2075823:28-526
    9Austin FC2075815:23-826
    10Houston Dynamo2065925:31-623
    11FC Dallas1956826:35-921
    12Sporting Kansas City20551031:37-620
    13Real Salt Lake19541019:26-719
    14St. Louis City20361119:31-1215
    15Los Angeles Galaxy20161319:42-239


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union20124435:201540
    2FC Cincinnati20123531:26539
    3Nashville SC20115436:231338
    4Columbus Crew20107333:26737
    5Orlando City2096537:261133
    6New York City2094727:22531
    7Inter Miami1685336:27929
    8New York Red Bulls2085732:24829
    9Chicago Fire1984738:34428
    10Charlotte20811132:34-225
    11New England Revolution1866624:21324
    12DC United20461017:39-2218
    13Toronto FC20451123:28-517
    14Atlanta Utd19451022:37-1517
    15CF Montreal20351217:36-1914

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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