Orlando City vs Portland Timbers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
24/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Marrufo J. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.510.32
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
14
Passes
85% (342/401)90% (528/585)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.510.32
xG on target (xGOT)
1.790.22
Total shots
147
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
93
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
14
Touches in opposition box
2312
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
814
Passes
85% (342/401)90% (528/585)
Long passes
44% (16/36)57% (26/46)
Passes in final third
77% (98/128)86% (160/185)
Crosses
0% (0/5)12% (3/26)
Expected assists (xA)
1.090.59
Throw-ins
811
Fouls
148
Tackles
47% (9/19)57% (12/21)
Duels won
4146
Clearances
3224
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.221.79
Goals prevented
0.220.79

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 39', 1 - 0, McGuire D. , Atuesta E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Moreno S. , Antony ,
  • 66', Antony 🟨,
  • 67', Fernandez O. , Lassiter A. ,
  • 67', Fory J. , Bravo C. ,
  • 67', Muriel L. , Ojeda M. ,
  • 68', McGuire D. , Enrique R. ,
  • 74', Angulo I. 🟨,
  • 74', Kelsy K. , Mora F. ,
  • 78', Araujo C. , Gerbet J. ,
  • 78', Angulo I. , Smith K. ,
  • 86', Pasalic M. , Thorhallsson D. ,
  • 90+3', Zuparic D. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Schlegel R. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Jansson R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Orlando City
59%
Draw
21.7%
Portland Timbers
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.4% 25.9% 32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1% 25.5% 32.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orlando City's performance.
  • Portland Timbers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Portland Timbers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (-16.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orlando City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (+12.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portland Timbers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Orlando City - Portland Timbers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (2.28)
    4.36
    (3.64)
    4.84
    (2.89)
    5.6%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Orlando City - Portland Timbers?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1 - Orlando City (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Orlando City will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Orlando City will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Orlando City (votes: 7 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 1.
    • Orlando City is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Portland has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Portland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Orlando City is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Orlando City: Atuesta E. (Thigh Injury) Cartagena W. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Rodriguez N. (Injury) Tsukada Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Portland: Kelsy K. (Inactive) McGraw Z. (Back Injury) Pantemis J. (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Portland: Chara D. (Inactive)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.7:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orlando City won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 3.5:1.5).
    Latest results of Orlando City
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Jose Earthquakes1191126:71928
    2Vancouver Whitecaps1081126:62025
    3Los Angeles FC1163219:81121
    4Seattle Sounders962113:5820
    5Minnesota United1162314:16-220
    6Real Salt Lake1061319:14519
    7FC Dallas1144320:15516
    8Houston Dynamo1050513:18-515
    9Colorado Rapids1141622:19313
    10Los Angeles Galaxy1134416:17-113
    11Austin FC1134416:19-313
    12San Diego FC1133519:19012
    13Portland Timbers1031613:21-810
    14St. Louis City101369:18-96
    15Sporting Kansas City101278:26-185


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC1072121:61523
    2New England Revolution1061318:12619
    3Inter Miami1154222:19319
    4Chicago Fire1052319:11817
    5DC United1143413:15-215
    6FC Cincinnati1143422:25-315
    7Charlotte1142518:19-114
    8Toronto FC1135318:20-214
    9New York City1133519:18112
    10Columbus Crew1133516:16012
    11New York Red Bulls1133516:27-1112
    12Atlanta Utd1131712:18-610
    13Orlando City1131716:32-1610
    14CF Montreal1030714:23-99
    15Philadelphia Union111379:17-86

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)