Toronto Maple Leafs vs Dallas Stars – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:6
13/04/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
germanyGermanyNHL.tv
icelandIcelandViaplay
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Sky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Extra
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaVictory+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldAmazon Prime Video, NHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2732
Shots off target
1314
Shooting PCT
18.52% (5/27)18.75% (6/32)
Blocked shots
1112
Goalkeeper Saves
2622
Saves PCT
81.25% (26/32)81.48% (22/27)
Penalties
32
PIM
64
Power-play Goals
11
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
50% (1/2)33.33% (1/3)
Pen. Killing PCT
66.67% (2/3)50% (1/2)
Hits
2711
Faceoffs Won
2132
Faceoffs %
39.6260.38
Giveaways
1318
Takeaways
37
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (3 - 0)
  • 01:09, Hyry A. (2 min),
  • 02:14, 1 - 0, Tavares J. (G), Nylander W. (A),
  • 08:45, Rielly M. (2 min),
  • 14:35, 2 - 0, Quillan J. (G), Lorentz S. (A),
  • 15:51, 3 - 0, Nylander W. (G), McCabe J. (A), Benoit S. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (0 - 3)
  • 00:52, 3 - 1, Bourque M. (G),
  • 05:31, 3 - 2, Bourque M. (G), Robertson J. (A), Duchene M. (A2)
  • 05:39, Benn Ja. (2 min),
  • 09:29, 3 - 3, Robertson J. (G), Duchene M. (A), Bourque M. (A2)
  • 18:01, Tverberg R. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (2 - 3)
  • 01:40, 4 - 3, Domi M. (G), Nylander W. (A), Knies M. (A2)
  • 04:19, 5 - 3, Robertson N. (G), Stecher T. (A), Knies M. (A2)
  • 06:37, Lorentz S. (2 min),
  • 08:18, 5 - 4, Johnston W. (G), Rantanen M. (A), Harley T. (A2)
  • 09:38, 5 - 5, Hyry A. (G),
  • 14:52, 5 - 6, Bourque M. (G), Duchene M. (A), Petrovic A. (A2)

Chances of winning


Toronto Maple Leafs
26.9%
Draw
20.9%
Dallas Stars
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.7% 22.1% 51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28% 23.1% 48.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto Maple Leafs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Dallas Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dallas Stars than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Toronto Maple Leafs - Dallas Stars Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.49
    (3.54)
    4.52
    (4.28)
    1.81
    (1.85)
    6%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.25
    What is the prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs - Dallas Stars?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Dallas will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Dallas: 19%81%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:4.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
    • Dallas is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 3.
    • Toronto is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Dallas is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Recently, Dallas has had a series of home games.
    • Dallas could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Toronto: Carlo B. (Lower-Body Injury) Joshua D. (Upper-Body Injury) Matthews A. (Knee Injury) Stolarz A. (Lower-Body Injury) Tanev C. (Abdominal strain)
    • There will not play in Dallas: Bastian N. (Hand Injury) Faksa R. (Lower-Body Injury) Heiskanen M. (Lower-Body Injury) Hintz R. (Lower-Body Injury) Seguin T. (Knee Injury) Steel S. (Hip Injury)
    • There are questionable in Dallas: Bunting M. (Lower-Body Injury) Lundkvist N. (Illness)
    • We predict that Dallas will win today's game, with odds of 1.97.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 73:50. (average 3.7:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 29:22. (average 3.2:2.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto Maple Leafs - Dallas Stars were as follows:
    21.12.2025 Dallas Stars - Toronto Maple Leafs 5:1
    14.01.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - Dallas Stars 1:4
    18.12.2024 Dallas Stars - Toronto Maple Leafs 3:5
    07.02.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - Dallas Stars 5:4
    26.10.2023 Dallas Stars - Toronto Maple Leafs 1:4
    Latest results of Dallas Stars
    NHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Colorado Avalanche ✔ 814771116300:203119
    2Dallas Stars ✔ 8238121220279:226112
    3Minnesota Wild ✔ 8231151224272:240104
    4Vegas Golden Knights ✔ 823091726265:25095
    5Utah Mammoth ✔ 813310632265:23592
    6Edmonton Oilers ✔ 813191130276:26891
    7Anaheim Ducks ✔ 812517633268:28490
    8Los Angeles Kings ✔ 8122132026224:24490
    9Nashville Predators8128101033243:26486
    10San Jose Sharks812612835245:29184
    11St. Louis Blues813241233226:25584
    12Winnipeg Jets812871234230:25482
    13Seattle Kraken812681136226:26179
    14Calgary Flames81267939209:25875
    15Chicago Blackhawks822271439213:27572
    16Vancouver Canucks811510848215:31058


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Carolina Hurricanes ✔ 823914722296:240113
    2Buffalo Sabres ✔ 82428923288:241109
    3Tampa Bay Lightning ✔ 824010626290:231106
    4Montreal Canadiens ✔ 8234141024283:256106
    5Boston Bruins ✔ 8233121027272:250100
    6Ottawa Senators ✔ 823861127278:24699
    7Pittsburgh Penguins ✔ 823471625293:26898
    8Philadelphia Flyers ✔ 8227161227250:24398
    9Washington Capitals82376930263:24495
    10Detroit Red Wings8230111031241:25892
    11Columbus Blue Jackets8228121230253:25392
    12New York Islanders822914534233:24191
    13New Jersey Devils822913337230:25487
    14Florida Panthers82328438251:27684
    15Toronto Maple Leafs822391436253:29978
    16New York Rangers82259939238:25077

          Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Colorado Avalanche is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Dallas Stars is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Minnesota Wild is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Vegas Golden Knights is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Utah Mammoth is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Edmonton Oilers is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Anaheim Ducks is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Los Angeles Kings is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Carolina Hurricanes is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Buffalo Sabres is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Tampa Bay Lightning is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Montreal Canadiens is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Boston Bruins is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Ottawa Senators is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Pittsburgh Penguins is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Philadelphia Flyers is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )