Bakersfield Condors vs Toronto Marlies – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey AHL Bakersfield Condors - Toronto Marlies
Result
3:2 penalties
01/02/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • USA: AHL

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3531
Shooting PCT
5.71% (2/35)6.45% (2/31)
Goalkeeper Saves
2933
Saves PCT
93.55% (29/31)94.29% (33/35)
Penalties
42
PIM
84
Power-play Goals
01
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/2)25% (1/4)
Pen. Killing PCT
75% (3/4)100% (2/2)
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Period (2 - 0)
  • 04:40, 1 - 0, Ryan D. (G), Wright C. (A), Griffith S. (A2)
  • 13:18, 2 - 0, Griffith S. (G), Wright C. (A),
  • 3rd Period (0 - 2)
  • 06:46, 2 - 1, Pare C. (G), Quillan J. (A), Benning M. (A2)
  • 07:18, 2 - 2, Steeves A. (G), Abruzzese N. (A), Shaw L. (A2)
  • Overtime (0 - 0)
  • Penalties (1 - 0)
  • 1, Steeves A. (Penalty Shot),
  • 1, Perreault J. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Shaw L. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Savoie M. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, Nylander A. (Penalty Shot),

Chances of winning


Bakersfield Condors
37.8%
Draw
21.8%
Toronto Marlies
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.9% 22% 40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9% 21.4% 41.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bakersfield Condors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Toronto Marlies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bakersfield Condors than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Marlies than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • Bakersfield Condors - Toronto Marlies Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.45
    (2.44)
    4.23
    (4.2)
    2.3
    (2.31)
    8%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 7 and 3).
    • Recent matches Bakersfield is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Toronto is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Toronto could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Toronto have a series of guest games.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Bakersfield won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:11 (average 3:3.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Bakersfield won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bakersfield Condors - Toronto Marlies were as follows:
    22.01.2025 Bakersfield Condors - Toronto Marlies 1:3
    15.12.2024 Toronto Marlies - Bakersfield Condors 2:3
    14.12.2024 Toronto Marlies - Bakersfield Condors 6:5
    Latest results of Toronto Marlies
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Laval Rocket (1)Bye
    2Toronto Marlies (4)Cleveland Monsters (5)0 : 2
    3Rochester Americans (2)Bye
    4ByeSyracuse Crunch (3)
    5Hershey Bears (1)Bye
    6Wilkes-Barre/Scranton (4)Lehigh Valley Phantoms (5)0 : 2
    7Charlotte Checkers (2)Bye
    8Providence Bruins (3)Springfield Thunderbirds (6)2 : 1
    9Colorado Eagles (1)Bye
    10Ontario Reign (3)San Jose Barracuda (6)0 : 2
    11Abbotsford Canucks (2)Tucson Roadrunners (7)2 : 1
    12Coachella Valley Firebirds (4)Calgary Wranglers (5)2 : 0
    13Milwaukee Admirals (1)Bye
    14Chicago Wolves (4)Rockford IceHogs (5)0 : 2
    15Texas Stars (2)Bye
    16ByeGrand Rapids Griffins (3)

    1/8-finals
    1Laval Rocket (1)Cleveland Monsters (5)3 : 1
    2Rochester Americans (2)Syracuse Crunch (3)3 : 0
    3Hershey Bears (1)Lehigh Valley Phantoms (5)3 : 2
    4Charlotte Checkers (2)Providence Bruins (3)3 : 2
    5Colorado Eagles (1)San Jose Barracuda (6)3 : 1
    6Abbotsford Canucks (2)Coachella Valley Firebirds (4)3 : 1
    7Milwaukee Admirals (1)Rockford IceHogs (5)3 : 2
    8Texas Stars (2)Grand Rapids Griffins (3)3 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Laval Rocket (1)Rochester Americans (2)3 : 2
    2Hershey Bears (1)Charlotte Checkers (2)0 : 3
    3Colorado Eagles (1)Abbotsford Canucks (2)2 : 3
    4Milwaukee Admirals (1)Texas Stars (2)2 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1Laval Rocket (1)Charlotte Checkers (2)0 : 4
    2Abbotsford Canucks (2)Texas Stars (2)4 : 2

    Final
    1Charlotte Checkers (2)Abbotsford Canucks (2)2 : 4