Toronto Marlies vs Manitoba Moose – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey AHL Toronto Marlies - Manitoba Moose
Result
2:1 penalties
01/03/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • USA: AHL

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2731
Shooting PCT
3.7% (1/27)3.23% (1/31)
Goalkeeper Saves
3026
Saves PCT
96.77% (30/31)96.3% (26/27)
Penalties
1411
PIM
5246
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/11)0% (0/14)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (14/14)100% (11/11)
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 1)
  • 12:14, 0 - 1, Shaw M. (G), Toninato D. (A), Sautner A. (A2)
  • 13:53, 1 - 1, Tverberg R. (G), Pare C. (A), Villeneuve W. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (0 - 0)
  • 3rd Period (0 - 0)
  • Overtime (0 - 0)
  • Penalties (2 - 0)
  • 1, Abruzzese N. (Penalty Shot),
  • 1, King Ben (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Shaw L. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Lambert B. (Penalty Shot),

Chances of winning


Toronto Marlies
48.5%
Draw
21.3%
Manitoba Moose
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.6% 23.7% 42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4% 22.8% 44.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto Marlies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Toronto Marlies's performance.
  • Manitoba Moose has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Manitoba Moose might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto Marlies than the current prediction. (-16.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Toronto Marlies that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manitoba Moose than the current prediction. (+14.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Manitoba Moose could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Toronto Marlies - Manitoba Moose Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (2.75)
    4.34
    (3.9)
    3.07
    (2.16)
    8.3%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
  • What is the prediction for Toronto Marlies - Manitoba Moose?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Toronto: 50.6%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 4 and 7).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Toronto won 3.
    • Toronto is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Manitoba is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Manitoba could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Manitoba have a series of guest games.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Toronto won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 60:54 (average 3:2.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Toronto won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 40:36 (average 3.3:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto Marlies - Manitoba Moose were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Toronto Marlies - Manitoba Moose 1:2
    19.01.2025 Manitoba Moose - Toronto Marlies 0:5
    17.01.2025 Manitoba Moose - Toronto Marlies 0:3
    29.03.2024 Manitoba Moose - Toronto Marlies 4:3
    27.03.2024 Manitoba Moose - Toronto Marlies 1:2
    Latest results of Toronto Marlies
    Latest results of Manitoba Moose
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Laval Rocket (1)Bye
    2Toronto Marlies (4)Cleveland Monsters (5)0 : 2
    3Rochester Americans (2)Bye
    4ByeSyracuse Crunch (3)
    5Hershey Bears (1)Bye
    6Wilkes-Barre/Scranton (4)Lehigh Valley Phantoms (5)0 : 2
    7Charlotte Checkers (2)Bye
    8Providence Bruins (3)Springfield Thunderbirds (6)2 : 1
    9Colorado Eagles (1)Bye
    10Ontario Reign (3)San Jose Barracuda (6)0 : 2
    11Abbotsford Canucks (2)Tucson Roadrunners (7)2 : 1
    12Coachella Valley Firebirds (4)Calgary Wranglers (5)2 : 0
    13Milwaukee Admirals (1)Bye
    14Chicago Wolves (4)Rockford IceHogs (5)0 : 2
    15Texas Stars (2)Bye
    16ByeGrand Rapids Griffins (3)

    1/8-finals
    1Laval Rocket (1)Cleveland Monsters (5)3 : 1
    2Rochester Americans (2)Syracuse Crunch (3)3 : 0
    3Hershey Bears (1)Lehigh Valley Phantoms (5)3 : 2
    4Charlotte Checkers (2)Providence Bruins (3)3 : 2
    5Colorado Eagles (1)San Jose Barracuda (6)3 : 1
    6Abbotsford Canucks (2)Coachella Valley Firebirds (4)3 : 1
    7Milwaukee Admirals (1)Rockford IceHogs (5)3 : 2
    8Texas Stars (2)Grand Rapids Griffins (3)3 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Laval Rocket (1)Rochester Americans (2)3 : 2
    2Hershey Bears (1)Charlotte Checkers (2)0 : 3
    3Colorado Eagles (1)Abbotsford Canucks (2)2 : 3
    4Milwaukee Admirals (1)Texas Stars (2)2 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1Laval Rocket (1)Charlotte Checkers (2)0 : 4
    2Abbotsford Canucks (2)Texas Stars (2)4 : 2

    Final
    1Charlotte Checkers (2)Abbotsford Canucks (2)2 : 4