Manitoba Moose vs Toronto Marlies – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
08/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaFlohockey

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2831
Shooting PCT
3.57% (1/28)0% (0/31)
Goalkeeper Saves
3127
Saves PCT
100% (31/31)96.43% (27/28)
Penalties
22
PIM
44
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/2)0% (0/2)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (2/2)100% (2/2)
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Period (0 - 0)
  • 3rd Period (1 - 0)
  • 10:50, 1 - 0, Ford P. (G), Shaw M. (A), Di Giuseppe P. (A2)

Chances of winning


Manitoba Moose
34.7%
Draw
23.1%
Toronto Marlies
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.3% 24.4% 38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5% 27.2% 34.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manitoba Moose has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Toronto Marlies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manitoba Moose than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manitoba Moose, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto Marlies than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toronto Marlies, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Manitoba Moose - Toronto Marlies Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.66
    (2.45)
    4.01
    (3.75)
    2.22
    (2.38)
    7.6%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manitoba won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Toronto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Manitoba won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 54:56. (average 2.7:2.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Manitoba won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:22. (average 2.3:2.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Manitoba Moose - Toronto Marlies were as follows:
    06.03.2026 Manitoba Moose - Toronto Marlies 3:2
    01.03.2025 Toronto Marlies - Manitoba Moose 2:1
    23.02.2025 Toronto Marlies - Manitoba Moose 1:2
    19.01.2025 Manitoba Moose - Toronto Marlies 0:5
    17.01.2025 Manitoba Moose - Toronto Marlies 0:3
    Latest results of Manitoba Moose
    Latest results of Toronto Marlies
    AHL Table
    2025/26

    Atlantic Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Providence Bruins553211111182:11887
    2Wilkes-Barre/Scranton57315714189:15079
    3Charlotte Checkers56267518188:15771
    4Hershey Bears57206823164:17760
    5Bridgeport Islanders57204825170:17856
    6Lehigh Valley Phantoms56168626166:18854
    7Springfield Thunderbirds56193727151:19651
    8Hartford Wolf Pack55184627149:18550


    Central Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Grand Rapids Griffins5636749196:11190
    2Chicago Wolves532171213172:16768
    3Manitoba Moose51224619132:14358
    4Texas Stars54189423162:17158
    5Milwaukee Admirals54148725152:16551
    6Rockford IceHogs56155432152:19444
    7Iowa Wild54136530126:17043


    Pacific Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Ontario Reign56299216190:15178
    2Colorado Eagles55267814178:13974
    3San Jose Barracuda54259416188:16472
    4Bakersfield Condors572281017192:17870
    5Coachella Valley Firebirds55219520184:17065
    6San Diego Gulls552051218164:16162
    7Henderson Silver Knights532131019174:16858
    8Tucson Roadrunners551312822171:18258
    9Calgary Wranglers571091424152:20852
    10Abbotsford Canucks57138630132:19148


    North Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Laval Rocket592610518192:15777
    2Syracuse Crunch56323417184:13674
    3Cleveland Monsters561713719164:16767
    4Toronto Marlies56207920176:18063
    5Rochester Americans54195921166:16857
    6Belleville Senators58166828181:21452
    7Utica Comets56173927144:17949

          Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )