Toronto Marlies vs Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:4
22/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaFlohockey

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2017
Shooting PCT
15% (3/20)23.53% (4/17)
Goalkeeper Saves
1317
Saves PCT
76.47% (13/17)85% (17/20)
Penalties
35
PIM
913
Power-play Goals
11
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
20% (1/5)33.33% (1/3)
Pen. Killing PCT
66.67% (2/3)80% (4/5)
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 3)
  • 05:09, 0 - 1, Hayes A. (G), McGroarty R. (A), McDonough A. (A2)
  • 15:17, 0 - 2, Harvey-Pinard R. (G), Hayes A. (A),
  • 16:54, 0 - 3, McDonough A. (G), Alexeyev A. (A),
  • 2nd Period (1 - 1)
  • 08:17, 0 - 4, Harvey-Pinard R. (G),
  • 09:03, 1 - 4, King Ben (G), Buhr B. (A), Kirwan R. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (2 - 0)
  • 10:18, 2 - 4, Nylander A. (G), Haymes L. (A), Villeneuve W. (A2)
  • 13:46, 3 - 4, Nylander A. (G), Tverberg R. (A), Shaw L. (A2)

Chances of winning


Toronto Marlies
37.5%
Draw
23%
Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.2% 24.1% 40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5% 25.3% 42.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto Marlies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto Marlies than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Toronto Marlies - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.5
    (2.6)
    4
    (3.8)
    2.31
    (2.25)
    8.3%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
    Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 3.
    • Toronto is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Wilkes-Barre has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Wilkes-Barre may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • We predict that Toronto will win today's game, with odds of 2.44.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 65:55. (average 3.3:2.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:31. (average 3.6:3.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto Marlies - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins were as follows:
    05.11.2025 Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Toronto Marlies 3:4
    08.01.2025 Toronto Marlies - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins 3:6
    18.12.2024 Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Toronto Marlies 0:3
    14.02.2024 Toronto Marlies - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins 1:6
    31.01.2024 Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Toronto Marlies 1:4
    AHL Table
    2025/26

    Atlantic Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Providence Bruins ✔ 653713114220:146101
    2Wilkes-Barre/Scranton ✔ 65356816212:17090
    3Charlotte Checkers ✔ 66319521219:17885
    4Bridgeport Islanders65236828194:20066
    5Hershey Bears65226928186:21165
    6Springfield Thunderbirds64243829179:21962
    7Lehigh Valley Phantoms65199631192:22162
    8Hartford Wolf Pack64204832170:21856


    Central Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Grand Rapids Griffins ✔ 65398513222:13799
    2Chicago Wolves642381419200:20176
    3Texas Stars64249427195:20570
    4Manitoba Moose63274626157:17968
    5Milwaukee Admirals631712727181:18565
    6Rockford IceHogs65188534178:21757
    7Iowa Wild63166932152:20053


    Pacific Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Ontario Reign ✔ 66339519218:17789
    2Colorado Eagles653181016217:16988
    3San Jose Barracuda64299422219:19380
    4Coachella Valley Firebirds642512522214:19779
    5Bakersfield Condors642681020215:20378
    6Henderson Silver Knights642941120230:20177
    7San Diego Gulls652461223197:20072
    8Tucson Roadrunners641812925202:21469
    9Abbotsford Canucks66168636156:22354
    10Calgary Wranglers661191432179:24754


    North Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Laval Rocket ✔ 662811720211:17585
    2Syracuse Crunch ✔ 65363620216:16784
    3Toronto Marlies652571023207:20574
    4Cleveland Monsters652013725190:20273
    5Rochester Americans63217926194:20065
    6Utica Comets652141030174:20560
    7Belleville Senators65196931203:23459

          Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Providence Bruins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Wilkes-Barre/Scranton is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Charlotte Checkers is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Grand Rapids Griffins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Ontario Reign is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Laval Rocket is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Syracuse Crunch is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )