Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins vs Toronto Marlies – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:4 OT
05/11/2025 at 19:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AHL

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2923
Shooting PCT
10.34% (3/29)17.39% (4/23)
Goalkeeper Saves
1926
Saves PCT
82.61% (19/23)89.66% (26/29)
Penalties
31
PIM
62
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/1)0% (0/3)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (3/3)100% (1/1)
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 0)
  • 00:15, 1 - 0, Broz T. (G), McDonough A. (A), Kemp P. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (2 - 0)
  • 01:41, 2 - 0, Calvert A. (G), Laatsch D. (A), Harding F. (A2)
  • 09:33, 3 - 0, Imama B. (G),
  • 3rd Period (0 - 3)
  • 01:57, 3 - 1, Valis B. (G), Tverberg R. (A),
  • 10:37, 3 - 2, Shaw L. (G), Boyd T. (A), Villeneuve W. (A2)
  • 12:54, 3 - 3, Groulx B. (G), Quillan J. (A), Sharpe C. (A2)
  • Overtime (0 - 1)
  • 04:18, 3 - 4, Boyd T. (G), Quillan J. (A),

Chances of winning


Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins
43.5%
Draw
23.1%
Toronto Marlies
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.4% 22.9% 33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8% 22.2% 32.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Toronto Marlies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto Marlies than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Toronto Marlies Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (2.12)
    3.96
    (4.02)
    2.75
    (2.73)
    8.6%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
    What is the prediction for Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Toronto Marlies?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wilkes-Barre won 2.
    • In recent matches, Wilkes-Barre has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Toronto is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Toronto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • We predict that Wilkes-Barre will win today's game, with odds of 2.12.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wilkes-Barre won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 56:64. (average 2.8:3.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wilkes-Barre won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:29. (average 2.1:2.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Toronto Marlies were as follows:
    08.01.2025 Toronto Marlies - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins 3:6
    18.12.2024 Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Toronto Marlies 0:3
    14.02.2024 Toronto Marlies - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins 1:6
    31.01.2024 Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Toronto Marlies 1:4
    08.03.2023 Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Toronto Marlies 1:3
    Latest results of Toronto Marlies
    AHL Table
    2025/26

    Atlantic Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Providence Bruins553211111182:11887
    2Wilkes-Barre/Scranton57315714189:15079
    3Charlotte Checkers56267518188:15771
    4Hershey Bears57206823164:17760
    5Bridgeport Islanders57204825170:17856
    6Lehigh Valley Phantoms56168626166:18854
    7Springfield Thunderbirds56193727151:19651
    8Hartford Wolf Pack55184627149:18550


    Central Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Grand Rapids Griffins5636749196:11190
    2Chicago Wolves532171213172:16768
    3Manitoba Moose52234619136:14360
    4Texas Stars54189423162:17158
    5Milwaukee Admirals54148725152:16551
    6Rockford IceHogs56155432152:19444
    7Iowa Wild54136530126:17043


    Pacific Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Ontario Reign56299216190:15178
    2Colorado Eagles55267814178:13974
    3San Jose Barracuda54259416188:16472
    4Bakersfield Condors572281017192:17870
    5Coachella Valley Firebirds55219520184:17065
    6San Diego Gulls552051218164:16162
    7Henderson Silver Knights542231019179:16860
    8Tucson Roadrunners561312823171:18758
    9Calgary Wranglers571091424152:20852
    10Abbotsford Canucks58138631132:19548


    North Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Laval Rocket592610518192:15777
    2Syracuse Crunch56323417184:13674
    3Cleveland Monsters561713719164:16767
    4Toronto Marlies56207920176:18063
    5Rochester Americans54195921166:16857
    6Belleville Senators58166828181:21452
    7Utica Comets56173927144:17949

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