Bath vs Toulon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union Challenge Cup Rugby Bath - Toulon
15/01/2023 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Highlights

Chances of winning


Bath
44.9%
Draw
4.3%
Toulon
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.9% 4% 42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8% 4.1% 40.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bath has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bath's form might have worsened.
  • Toulon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toulon's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bath than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bath, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulon than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toulon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Bath - Toulon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (1.7)
    22
    (23)
    1.84
    (2.18)
    8.3%
    (9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 47.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
  • What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bath - Toulon were as follows:
    17.12.2022 Toulon - Bath 29:7
    Latest results of Bath
    04.01.2023 London Irish - Bath 26:7
    31.12.2022 Bath - Newcastle Falcons 24:16
    24.12.2022 Exeter Chiefs - Bath 20:15
    17.12.2022 Toulon - Bath 29:7
    10.12.2022 Bath - Glasgow Warriors 19:22
    Latest results of Toulon
    07.01.2023 Brive - Toulon 26:17
    31.12.2022 Aviron Bayonnais - Toulon 23:18
    22.12.2022 Toulon - Lyon 21:3
    17.12.2022 Toulon - Bath 29:7
    10.12.2022 Zebre - Toulon 21:24
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1EdinburghLions24 : 12
    2Aviron BayonnaisBulls22 : 32
    3Section PaloiseBath24 : 49
    4MontpellierGloucester17 : 24
    5OspreysScarlets36 : 14
    6LyonSharks34 : 21
    7ConnachtCardiff Rugby35 : 20
    8USA PerpignanRacing 9218 : 24

    Quarter-finals
    1EdinburghBulls34 : 28
    2BathGloucester61 : 26
    3OspreysLyon18 : 20
    4ConnachtRacing 9240 : 43

    Semi-finals
    1EdinburghBath24 : 39
    2LyonRacing 9229 : 15

    Final
    1BathLyon37 : 12