Toulon vs Bath – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
45:34
14/12/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • European Rugby Champions Cup - Round 2
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport Rugby
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, France 2
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Rugby
portugalPortugalSport TV7
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Rugby
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomFloRugby.com, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player

Match Stats

Tries
54
Conversion Goals
44
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
42
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (18 - 13)
  • 8', Russell F. (Penalty Goal),
  • 12', Alainu'uese B. (Try),
  • 13', Garcia M. (Conversion Goal),
  • 15', Russell F. (Penalty Goal),
  • 18', Garcia M. (Penalty Goal),
  • 20', Hill T. (Try),
  • 21', Russell F. (Conversion Goal),
  • 24', Garcia M. (Penalty Goal),
  • 34', Brex N. (Try),
  • 2nd Half (27 - 21)
  • 46', Garcia M. (Penalty Goal),
  • 50', Carreras S. (Try),
  • 51', Russell F. (Conversion Goal),
  • 54', Drean G. (Try),
  • 55', Garcia M. (Conversion Goal),
  • 59', Green A. (Try),
  • 59', Russell F. (Conversion Goal),
  • 65', Ludlam L. (Try),
  • 66', Garcia M. (Conversion Goal),
  • 73', Garcia M. (Penalty Goal),
  • 74', Hennessey-Booth L. (Try),
  • 75', Russell F. (Conversion Goal),
  • 80', Baubigny T. (Try),
  • 80+1', Garcia M. (Conversion Goal),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Toulon
50.3%
Draw
4.1%
Bath
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.7% 4.5% 37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4% 4.5% 38%

Toulon - Bath Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.85
(1.6)
22.69
(20.32)
2
(2.44)
8.6%
(8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 55.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
What is the prediction for Toulon - Bath?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Bath (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Bath will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 29:27.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulon won 4.
    • In recent matches, Toulon has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Bath is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Toulon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • We predict that Toulon will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Toulon won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 137:99. (average 22.8:16.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toulon won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 65:36. (average 21.7:12).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toulon - Bath were as follows:
    15.01.2023 Bath - Toulon 23:35
    17.12.2022 Toulon - Bath 29:7
    Latest results of Toulon
    07.12.2025 Edinburgh - Toulon 33:20
    29.11.2025 Toulon - Montauban 54:28
    23.11.2025 Stade Français - Toulon 51:24
    08.11.2025 Toulon - La Rochelle 39:14
    01.11.2025 Toulon - Lyon 54:21
    Latest results of Bath
    06.12.2025 Bath - Munster 40:14
    30.11.2025 Saracens - Bath 29:36
    22.11.2025 Bath - Sale Sharks 20:0
    14.11.2025 Gloucester - Bath 19:17
    31.10.2025 Bristol Rugby - Bath 19:49
    European Rugby Champions Cup Table
    Main

    Group 1
    PlWDLPts
    1Glasgow Warriors4400115:6620
    2Stade Toulousain4202168:7412
    3Sale Sharks420289:12711
    4Saracens420293:8010
    5Sharks4202107:11710
    6Clermont400457:1650


    Group 2
    PlWDLPts
    1Bath4301180:8916
    2RC Toulonnais4301123:10614
    3Castres Olympique420298:10610
    4Edinburgh420269:14010
    5Munster410399:1018
    6Gloucester410375:1026


    Group 3
    PlWDLPts
    1Leinster4400115:8018
    2Harlequins4301184:8615
    3Stormers4301117:12514
    4Leicester Tigers4103118:1156
    5Stade Rochelais4103101:1146
    6Aviron Bayonnais400458:1730


    Group 4
    PlWDLPts
    1Bordeaux Begles4400173:9720
    2Northampton Saints4301156:11016
    3Bristol4301154:10414
    4Bulls4103113:1817
    5Section Paloise4103110:1606
    6Scarlets4004103:1573

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