Result
45:34
14/12/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- European Rugby Champions Cup - Round 2
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SuperSport Rugby |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, France 2 |
 Nigeria | SuperSport Rugby |
 Portugal | Sport TV7 |
 South-africa | SuperSport Rugby |
 United-kingdom | FloRugby.com, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (18 - 13)
- 8', Russell F. (Penalty Goal),
- 12', Alainu'uese B. (Try),
- 13', Garcia M. (Conversion Goal),
- 15', Russell F. (Penalty Goal),
- 18', Garcia M. (Penalty Goal),
- 20', Hill T. (Try),
- 21', Russell F. (Conversion Goal),
- 24', Garcia M. (Penalty Goal),
- 34', Brex N. (Try),
- 2nd Half (27 - 21)
- 46', Garcia M. (Penalty Goal),
- 50', Carreras S. (Try),
- 51', Russell F. (Conversion Goal),
- 54', Drean G. (Try),
- 55', Garcia M. (Conversion Goal),
- 59', Green A. (Try),
- 59', Russell F. (Conversion Goal),
- 65', Ludlam L. (Try),
- 66', Garcia M. (Conversion Goal),
- 73', Garcia M. (Penalty Goal),
- 74', Hennessey-Booth L. (Try),
- 75', Russell F. (Conversion Goal),
- 80', Baubigny T. (Try),
- 80+1', Garcia M. (Conversion Goal),
Chances of winning
Toulon
50.3% | Draw
4.1% | Bath
45.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Toulon - Bath Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85 ↑
(1.6) |
22.69 ↑
(20.32) |
2 ↓
(2.44) |
8.6%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 55.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
What is the prediction for Toulon - Bath?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Bath (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Bath will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 29:27.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulon won 4.
- In recent matches, Toulon has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Bath is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Toulon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- We predict that Toulon will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Toulon won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 137:99. (average 22.8:16.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toulon won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 65:36. (average 21.7:12).
How many head-to-head matches has Toulon won against Bath?
Toulon has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bath won against Toulon?
Bath has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toulon - Bath were as follows:
15.01.2023
Bath
-
Toulon
23:35
17.12.2022
Toulon
-
Bath
29:7
European Rugby Champions Cup Table
2025/26Group 1 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Glasgow Warriors | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 54:42 | 10 |
| 2 | Saracens | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 70:38 | 6 |
| 3 | Stade Toulousain | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 77:47 | 6 |
| 4 | Sale Sharks | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 56:40 | 6 |
| 5 | Sharks | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 47:79 | 5 |
| 6 | Clermont | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24:82 | 0 |
Group 2 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Bath | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 74:59 | 6 |
| 2 | Castres Olympique | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 47:34 | 5 |
| 3 | Munster | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 45:43 | 5 |
| 4 | RC Toulonnais | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 65:67 | 5 |
| 5 | Gloucester | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 37:45 | 5 |
| 6 | Edinburgh | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 33:53 | 5 |
Group 3 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Stormers | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 68:38 | 9 |
| 2 | Leinster | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 68:43 | 9 |
| 3 | Harlequins | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 96:59 | 6 |
| 4 | Stade Rochelais | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 60:62 | 5 |
| 5 | Leicester Tigers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 35:62 | 0 |
| 6 | Aviron Bayonnais | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 31:94 | 0 |
Group 4 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Northampton Saints | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 85:32 | 10 |
| 2 | Bordeaux Begles | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 96:54 | 10 |
| 3 | Bristol | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 78:28 | 9 |
| 4 | Scarlets | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 37:67 | 1 |
| 5 | Bulls | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 38:96 | 1 |
| 6 | Section Paloise | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 39:96 | 0 |
Promotion ~ European Rugby Champions Cup (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Challenge Cup (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
