Result
33:21
12/01/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: European Rugby Champions Cup - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | ESPN 3 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Poland | Polsat Sport Premium 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV7 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
 World | FloSports app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (26 - 0)
- 2', Lucchesi G. (Try),
- 3', Serin B. (Conversion Goal),
- 25', Serin B. (Try),
- 26', Serin B. (Conversion Goal),
- 37', Chisholm J. 🟨,
- 39', Abadie E. (Try),
- 40+2', Wainiqolo J. (Try),
- 40+3', Serin B. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (7 - 21)
- 51', Porter W. (Try),
- 51', Smith M. (Conversion Goal),
- 55', Walker J. (Try),
- 55', Smith M. (Conversion Goal),
- 57', Drean G. (Try),
- 58', Serin B. (Conversion Goal),
- 80+1', David N. (Try),
- 80+1', Smith M. (Conversion Goal),
Chances of winning
Toulon
71.6% | Draw
3.6% | Harlequins
24.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toulon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Harlequins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulon than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harlequins than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Toulon - Harlequins Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.29 ↓
(1.31) |
25.32 ↑
(21.68) |
3.75 ↑
(3.69) |
8%
(8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 56.50The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)
What is the prediction for Toulon - Harlequins?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Toulon will win (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 33:23.
Preview Facts
- Toulon is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Harlequins is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match Toulon is a favorite.
- Recently, the teams did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Toulon won against Harlequins?
Toulon has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Harlequins won against Toulon?
Harlequins has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toulon - Harlequins were as follows:
Latest results of Harlequins
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Leinster | Harlequins | 62 : 0 |
| 2 | Glasgow Warriors | Leicester Tigers | 43 : 19 |
| 3 | Northampton Saints | Clermont | 46 : 24 |
| 4 | Castres Olympique | Benetton | 39 : 37 |
| 5 | Bordeaux Begles | Ulster | 43 : 31 |
| 6 | Stade Rochelais | Munster | 24 : 25 |
| 7 | RC Toulonnais | Saracens | 72 : 42 |
| 8 | Stade Toulousain | Sale Sharks | 38 : 15 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Leinster | Glasgow Warriors | 52 : 0 |
| 2 | Northampton Saints | Castres Olympique | 51 : 16 |
| 3 | Bordeaux Begles | Munster | 47 : 29 |
| 4 | RC Toulonnais | Stade Toulousain | 18 : 21 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Leinster | Northampton Saints | 34 : 37 |
| 2 | Bordeaux Begles | Stade Toulousain | 35 : 18 |
Final| 1 | Northampton Saints | Bordeaux Begles | 20 : 28 |
