Toulon vs Montpellier – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
30:27
25/01/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Top 14 - Round 15
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
franceFranceCANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 4
peruPeruDisney+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomFloSports app, Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Tries
33
Conversion goals
33
Conversion goal attempts
00
Penalty goals
32
Penalty goal attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped goals
00
Total runs
00
Metres run with ball
00
Yellow cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (16 - 17)
  • 4', Domon M. (Penalty Goal),
  • 10', Hounkpatin W. (Try),
  • 10', Miotti H. (Conversion Goal),
  • 18', Ludlam L. 🟨,
  • 22', Domon M. (Penalty Goal),
  • 26', Hounkpatin W. (Try),
  • 26', Miotti H. (Conversion Goal),
  • 32', Domon M. (Penalty Goal),
  • 32', Becognee A. 🟨,
  • 39', Miotti H. (Penalty Goal),
  • 40', Drean G. (Try),
  • 40', Domon M. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (14 - 10)
  • 49', Domon M. (Try),
  • 49', Domon M. (Conversion Goal),
  • 55', Miotti H. (Penalty Goal),
  • 65', Gigashvili B. (Try),
  • 65', Domon M. (Conversion Goal),
  • 70', Uelese J. (Try),
  • 70', Miotti H. (Conversion Goal),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Toulon
73.6%
Draw
3.9%
Montpellier
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
81.6% 3.7% 14.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toulon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toulon's form might have worsened.
  • Montpellier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Montpellier's recent form is better than expected.
  • Toulon - Montpellier Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.26
    (1.15)
    24.18
    (25.06)
    4.09
    (6.41)
    8.2%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 52.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)
    What is the prediction for Toulon - Montpellier?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 53.5 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • O/U 50.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 31:22.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulon won 4.
    • Recent performances by Toulon have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Montpellier is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, Toulon is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toulon won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 491:464. (average 24.6:23.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toulon won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 284:186. (average 28.4:18.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toulon - Montpellier were as follows:
    06.09.2025 Montpellier - Toulon 17:27
    15.02.2025 Montpellier - Toulon 30:38
    19.10.2024 Toulon - Montpellier 30:17
    23.03.2024 Toulon - Montpellier 54:7
    07.01.2024 Montpellier - Toulon 27:17
    Latest results of Toulon
    17.01.2026 Gloucester - Toulon 14:31
    11.01.2026 Toulon - Munster 27:25
    04.01.2026 La Rochelle - Toulon 66:0
    28.12.2025 Toulon - Perpignan 31:16
    21.12.2025 Bordeaux Bègles - Toulon 46:7
    Latest results of Montpellier
    17.01.2026 Ospreys - Montpellier 26:31
    11.01.2026 Montpellier - Connacht 33:31
    28.12.2025 Section Paloise - Montpellier 35:33
    20.12.2025 Montpellier - Castres 33:31
    French Top 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLPts
    1Stade Toulousain181404730:36567
    2Section Paloise181206558:47755
    3Montpellier181017561:39053
    4Clermont181107596:46751
    5Bordeaux Begles181008591:48350
    6Stade Francais Paris18918513:44849
    7RC Toulonnais18918465:53645
    8Racing 92181017514:55845
    9Castres Olympique18909431:50142
    10Stade Rochelais188010551:48741
    11Lyon18819521:50239
    12Aviron Bayonnais188010467:59536
    13USA Perpignan184014344:51118
    14Montauban181116338:8607

          Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Top 14 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Pro D2