Montpellier vs Toulon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union French Top 14 Montpellier - Toulon
Result
30:38
15/02/2025 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: Top 14 - Round 16
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFranceCANAL+ France
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Match Stats

Tries
34
Conversion Goals
33
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
33
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
01
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00
Yellow Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (10 - 17)
  • 9', Herve E. (Penalty Goal),
  • 14', Uelese J. (Try),
  • 14', Hogg S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 15', Serin B. (Try),
  • 16', Herve E. (Conversion Goal),
  • 39', Hogg S. (Penalty Goal),
  • 40', Sinzelle J. (Try),
  • 40+1', Herve E. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (20 - 21)
  • 43', Hogg S. (Penalty Goal),
  • 45', Herve E. (Penalty Goal),
  • 46', Hogg S. (Penalty Goal),
  • 49', Le Corvec M. (Try),
  • 50', Herve E. (Conversion Goal),
  • 54', Gigashvili B. (Try),
  • 60', Vunipola V. (Try),
  • 60', Uelese J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 64', Serfontein J. 🟨,
  • 68', Herve E. (Penalty Goal),
  • 72', Tambwe M. (Try),
  • 73', Reus H. (Conversion Goal),
  • 78', Biggar D. (Drop Goal),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Montpellier
56.5%
Draw
4.4%
Toulon
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.4% 4.5% 35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62% 4.4% 34.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montpellier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Toulon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montpellier, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulon than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • Montpellier - Toulon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.52)
    20.94
    (20.37)
    2.36
    (2.61)
    9%
    (9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 44.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Montpellier won 2.
    • Montpellier is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Toulon is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Montpellier will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Our prediction for today's Montpellier to win the game is with odds 1.65.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Montpellier won 10 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 471:474 (average 23.6:23.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Montpellier won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 267:163 (average 29.7:18.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Montpellier - Toulon were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Toulon - Montpellier 30:17
    23.03.2024 Toulon - Montpellier 54:7
    07.01.2024 Montpellier - Toulon 27:17
    04.02.2023 Montpellier - Toulon 18:20
    06.11.2022 Toulon - Montpellier 16:26
    Latest results of Montpellier
    25.01.2025 Toulouse - Montpellier 27:17
    11.01.2025 Montpellier - Lions 28:5
    28.12.2024 Clermont - Montpellier 18:22
    Latest results of Toulon
    26.01.2025 Toulon - La Rochelle 45:26
    19.01.2025 Sale Sharks - Toulon 33:7
    12.01.2025 Toulon - Harlequins 33:21
    04.01.2025 Toulon - Racing Métro 36:24
    28.12.2024 Bordeaux Bègles - Toulon 21:17
    French Top 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLPts
    1Aviron Bayonnais00000:00
    2Castres Olympique00000:00
    3Clermont00000:00
    4Montauban00000:00
    5Montpellier00000:00
    6Stade Francais Paris00000:00
    7USA Perpignan00000:00
    8RC Toulonnais00000:00
    9Stade Toulousain00000:00
    10Racing 9200000:00
    11Stade Rochelais00000:00
    12Bordeaux Begles00000:00
    13Lyon00000:00
    14Section Paloise00000:00

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          Top 14 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Pro D2