Toulon vs Munster – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

13/01/2024 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

.

EUROPE: EUROPEAN RUGBY CHAMPIONS CUP - ROUND 3
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	beIN Sports
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV6
Sweden	Viaplay

Highlights

Chances of winning

Toulon
66%

Draw
3.8%

Munster
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.5%

3%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

3.5%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toulon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Munster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulon than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Toulon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Munster than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Toulon - Munster Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.33)	24.75 ↓ (31.33)	3.04 ↓ (3.37)	8.6% (7.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 45.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

Preview Facts

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
Toulon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Toulon is a favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Toulon won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 43-36.
Including matches at home between the teams Toulon won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 24-16.

How many head-to-head matches has Toulon won against Munster?

Toulon has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Munster won against Toulon?

Munster has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Toulon - Munster were as follows:

Latest results of Toulon

07.01.2024 Montpellier - Toulon 27:17 ✺

30.12.2023 Toulon - Stade Français 19:5 ✺

23.12.2023 Toulouse - Toulon 25:17 ✺

15.12.2023 Northampton Saints - Toulon 22:19 ✺

09.12.2023 Toulon - Exeter Chiefs 18:19 ✺

Latest results of Munster

01.01.2024 Connacht - Munster 22:9 ✺

26.12.2023 Munster - Leinster 3:9 ✺

17.12.2023 Exeter Chiefs - Munster 32:24 ✺

09.12.2023 Munster - Aviron Bayonnais 17:17 ✺

01.12.2023 Munster - Glasgow Warriors 40:29 ✺

Draw

Play Offs

1/8-finals

1	Leinster	Harlequins	62 : 0
2	Glasgow Warriors	Leicester Tigers	43 : 19
3	Northampton Saints	Clermont	46 : 24
4	Castres Olympique	Benetton	39 : 37
5	Bordeaux Begles	Ulster	43 : 31
6	Stade Rochelais	Munster	24 : 25
7	RC Toulonnais	Saracens	72 : 42
8	Stade Toulousain	Sale Sharks	38 : 15

Quarter-finals

1	Leinster	Glasgow Warriors	52 : 0
2	Northampton Saints	Castres Olympique	51 : 16
3	Bordeaux Begles	Munster	47 : 29
4	RC Toulonnais	Stade Toulousain	18 : 21

Semi-finals

1	Leinster	Northampton Saints	34 : 37
2	Bordeaux Begles	Stade Toulousain	35 : 18

Final

1

Northampton Saints

Bordeaux Begles

20 : 28