Fenix Toulouse vs Montpellier HB – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
27:33
07/12/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Starligue - Round 13
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Sports 3

Chances of winning


Fenix Toulouse
26.1%
Draw
10%
Montpellier HB
63.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.2% 9.9% 67%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22% 9.4% 70.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fenix Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Montpellier HB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fenix Toulouse than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montpellier HB than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montpellier HB could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Fenix Toulouse - Montpellier HB Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.49
    (3.93)
    9.32
    (9.23)
    1.43
    (1.36)
    9.4%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 61.25
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Montpellier is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 13 matches, and goals 582:644. (average 29.1:32.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toulouse won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 324:340. (average 29.5:30.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fenix Toulouse - Montpellier HB were as follows:
    02.05.2025 Fenix Toulouse - Montpellier HB 31:29
    14.12.2024 Montpellier HB - Fenix Toulouse 28:28
    31.05.2024 Montpellier HB - Fenix Toulouse 33:25
    16.12.2023 Fenix Toulouse - Montpellier HB 33:29
    10.02.2023 Montpellier HB - Fenix Toulouse 34:29
    Latest results of Fenix Toulouse
    02.12.2025 Vardar - Fenix Toulouse 37:35
    28.11.2025 Limoges - Fenix Toulouse 30:35
    25.11.2025 Kristianstad - Fenix Toulouse 34:26
    21.11.2025 Fenix Toulouse - Dunkerque 36:27
    18.11.2025 Fenix Toulouse - Sesvete 32:37
    Latest results of Montpellier HB
    French Starligue Handball Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLPts
    1PSG201910693:55739
    2Nantes201730732:60037
    3Montpellier201514674:59031
    4Limoges201325658:63228
    5St. Raphael201118623:63723
    6Toulouse201118599:58923
    7Chambery Savoie20947633:63322
    8Tremblay20929641:63820
    9Provence Aix20839587:58519
    10Cesson Rennes-Metropole208111626:63617
    11Nimes208111583:60917
    12Selestat204214609:65410
    13Dunkerque204214539:61410
    14Chartres204214567:63510
    15Dijon203116582:6497
    16Istres203116555:6437

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