Ajaccio vs Toulouse – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1 Ajaccio - Toulouse
Result
0:0
07/05/2023 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: LIGUE 1 - ROUND 34
  • Referee: Batta F. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport

Chances of winning


Ajaccio
24.3%
Draw
27.8%
Toulouse
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.3% 27.8% 43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3% 27.8% 43.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • Ajaccio - Toulouse Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.93
    (3.35)
    3.41
    (3.4)
    1.99
    (2.16)
    4.9%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Ajaccio - Toulouse?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Ajaccio will win (votes: 2 - 6.7%). Toulouse will win (votes: 22 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Toulouse: 57.5%89.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 13).
    • Ajaccio has the most likely position - 19 (55.14%), project points - 26, currently - 22, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
    • Toulouse has the most likely position - 13 (53.89%), project points - 48, currently - 41, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
    • This event has quality 51, very small importance 0, small match rating 26. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 1.
    • Ajaccio has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Toulouse is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Ajaccio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Toulouse will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Ajaccio: Barreto M. (Injury) Cimignani Y. (Injury) Touzghar Y. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Toulouse: Healey R. (Knee Injury) Nicolaisen R. (Injury)
    • Last 16 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 14-26.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ajaccio won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-11.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ajaccio - Toulouse were as follows:
    21.01.2023 Toulouse - Ajaccio 2:0
    01.01.2023 Toulouse - Ajaccio 2:0
    Latest results of Ajaccio
    23.04.2023 Ajaccio - Brest 0:0
    16.04.2023 Strasbourg - Ajaccio 3:1
    09.04.2023 Ajaccio - Auxerre 0:3
    02.04.2023 Clermont - Ajaccio 2:1
    19.03.2023 Ajaccio - Monaco 0:2
    Latest results of Toulouse
    02.05.2023 Toulouse - Lens 0:1
    23.04.2023 Lorient - Toulouse 0:1
    14.04.2023 Toulouse - Lyon 1:2
    09.04.2023 Montpellier - Toulouse 1:2
    06.04.2023 Annecy - Toulouse 1:2
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auxerre00000:000
    2Le Havre00000:000
    3Lille00000:000
    4Lorient00000:000
    5Metz00000:000
    6Monaco00000:000
    7Nantes00000:000
    8Nice00000:000
    9PSG00000:000
    10Strasbourg00000:000
    11Angers00000:000
    12Brest00000:000
    13Paris FC00000:000
    14Marseille00000:000
    15Toulouse00000:000
    16Lens00000:000
    17Rennes00000:000
    18Lyon00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2