Result
0:2
25/01/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 19
- Referee: Paradis G. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 4 |
 Mexico | FOX One, Fox Sports |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Extra |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.36 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (399/498) | 80% (342/425) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 1.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (399/498) | 80% (342/425) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (27/67) | 49% (27/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (71/119) | 62% (52/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 33% (2/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.44 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.87 | 0.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 15', Ajorque L. 🟨,
- 27', 0 - 1, Demba P. ⚽, McKenzie M. (A),
- 43', 0 - 2, Gboho Y. ⚽, Demba P. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Tousart L. ↓, Mboup P. ↑,
- 54', Guindo D. 🟨,
- 56', Gboho Y. 🟨,
- 73', Magnetti H. ↓, Dina Ebimbe J. ↑,
- 80', Hidalgo S. ↓, Vignolo J. ↑,
- 83', McKenzie M. 🟨,
- 83', Labeau Lascary R. ↓, Makalou H. ↑,
- 90', Demba P. ↓, Vossah A. ↑,
- 90+2', Cresswell C. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/bddxmzzk
Chances of winning
Brest
31.6% | Draw
32.4% | Toulouse
36% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brest than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brest, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Brest - Toulouse Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.02 ↑
(2.77) |
2.93 ↓
(2.97) |
2.64 ↓
(2.77) |
5.2%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Brest - Toulouse?
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Brest will win (votes: 14 - 56%). Toulouse will win (votes: 5 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 24%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brest: 36.5% – 75.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Brest (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Toulouse (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Toulouse (1.83) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -1 - Toulouse (1.13) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Toulouse (1.55) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Toulouse (1.41) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Toulouse (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 18 high ROI users predict this event. Brest (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Toulouse (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brest won 3.
- Recent performances by Brest have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Toulouse is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Toulouse may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Brest: Balde M.
(Injury)
Del Castillo R.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Toulouse: Azizi I.
(Knee Injury)
Dominguez A.
(Inactive)
Emersonn
(Red Card)
Francis A.
(Broken Leg)
Magri F.
(Knee Injury)
Methalie D.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Brest won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:14. (average 1.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Brest won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Brest won against Toulouse?
Brest has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toulouse won against Brest?
Toulouse has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brest - Toulouse were as follows:
24.08.2025
Toulouse
-
Brest
2:0
30.03.2025
Toulouse
-
Brest
2:4
22.09.2024
Brest
-
Toulouse
2:0
19.05.2024
Toulouse
-
Brest
0:3
08.10.2023
Brest
-
Toulouse
1:1
Latest results of Toulouse
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 52:19 | 33 | 54 |
| 2 | Lens | 23 | 17 | 1 | 5 | 44:20 | 24 | 52 |
| 3 | Lyon | 23 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 37:23 | 14 | 45 |
| 4 | Marseille | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 48:31 | 17 | 40 |
| 5 | Lille | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 36:31 | 5 | 37 |
| 6 | Rennes | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 37:35 | 2 | 37 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 39:30 | 9 | 34 |
| 8 | Monaco | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 38:36 | 2 | 34 |
| 9 | Lorient | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 32:36 | -4 | 32 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 33:27 | 6 | 31 |
| 11 | Brest | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 31:34 | -3 | 30 |
| 12 | Angers | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 22:28 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Le Havre | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 20:29 | -9 | 26 |
| 14 | Nice | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 30:43 | -13 | 24 |
| 15 | Paris FC | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 27:40 | -13 | 23 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17:33 | -16 | 17 |
| 17 | Nantes | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 22:40 | -18 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 23 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 22:52 | -30 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
