Result
0:2
25/01/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 19
- Referee: Paradis G. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | Disney+ |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
Austria | DAZN |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6, Oneplay |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay |
France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
Italy | Ligue 1+ |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 4 |
Mexico | FOX One, Fox Sports |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
Norway | Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+ |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Extra |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Turkey | beIN Connect |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine |
United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.36 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (399/498) | 80% (342/425) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 1.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (399/498) | 80% (342/425) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (27/67) | 49% (27/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (71/119) | 62% (52/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 33% (2/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.44 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.87 | 0.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 15', Ajorque L. 🟨,
- 27', 0 - 1, Demba P. ⚽, McKenzie M. (A),
- 43', 0 - 2, Gboho Y. ⚽, Demba P. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Tousart L. ↓, Mboup P. ↑,
- 54', Guindo D. 🟨,
- 56', Gboho Y. 🟨,
- 73', Magnetti H. ↓, Dina Ebimbe J. ↑,
- 80', Hidalgo S. ↓, Vignolo J. ↑,
- 83', McKenzie M. 🟨,
- 83', Labeau Lascary R. ↓, Makalou H. ↑,
- 90', Demba P. ↓, Vossah A. ↑,
- 90+2', Cresswell C. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/bddxmzzk
Chances of winning
Brest 31.6% | Draw 32.4% | Toulouse 36% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Brest - Toulouse Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.02 ↑ (2.77) |
2.93 ↓ (2.97) |
2.64 ↓ (2.77) |
5.2% (5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Brest - Toulouse?
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Brest will win (votes: 14 - 56%). Toulouse will win (votes: 5 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 24%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brest: 36.5% – 75.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Brest (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Toulouse (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Toulouse (1.83) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -1 - Toulouse (1.13) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Toulouse (1.55) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Toulouse (1.41) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Toulouse (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 18 high ROI users predict this event. Brest (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Toulouse (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brest won 3.
- Recent performances by Brest have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Toulouse is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Toulouse may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Brest: Balde M.
(Injury)
Del Castillo R.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Toulouse: Azizi I.
(Knee Injury)
Dominguez A.
(Inactive)
Emersonn
(Red Card)
Francis A.
(Broken Leg)
Magri F.
(Knee Injury)
Methalie D.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Brest won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:14. (average 1.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Brest won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Brest won against Toulouse?
Brest has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toulouse won against Brest?
Toulouse has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brest - Toulouse were as follows:
24.08.2025
Toulouse
-
Brest
2:0
30.03.2025
Toulouse
-
Brest
2:4
22.09.2024
Brest
-
Toulouse
2:0
19.05.2024
Toulouse
-
Brest
0:3
08.10.2023
Brest
-
Toulouse
1:1
Latest results of Toulouse
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 20 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 43:16 | 27 | 48 |
| 2 | Lens | 20 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 34:16 | 18 | 46 |
| 3 | Marseille | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 46:22 | 24 | 39 |
| 4 | Lyon | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 33:20 | 13 | 39 |
| 5 | Lille | 20 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 34:30 | 4 | 32 |
| 6 | Rennes | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 30:31 | -1 | 31 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 33:25 | 8 | 30 |
| 8 | Toulouse | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 31:23 | 8 | 30 |
| 9 | Lorient | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 27:31 | -4 | 28 |
| 10 | Monaco | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 32:33 | -1 | 27 |
| 11 | Angers | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 21:25 | -4 | 26 |
| 12 | Brest | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 26:33 | -7 | 23 |
| 13 | Nice | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 27:38 | -11 | 22 |
| 14 | Paris FC | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 26:34 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | Le Havre | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 16:25 | -9 | 20 |
| 16 | Nantes | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19:36 | -17 | 14 |
| 17 | Auxerre | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 14:29 | -15 | 13 |
| 18 | Metz | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 21:46 | -25 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2