Toulouse vs Brest – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Football French Ligue 1 Toulouse - Brest
Result
2:4
30/03/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 27
  • Referee: Ben El Hadj Salem H. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
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belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
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canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport Ultra
franceFranceDAZN 1, DAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
indiaIndiaGXR World
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1x2
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainbeIN Sports
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.061.29
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1710
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
44
Corner Kicks
103
Passes
84% (354/421)79% (297/378)
Yellow Cards
05
Expected Goals (xG)
2.061.29
xG on target (xGOT)
1.272.72
Total shots
1710
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
82
Shots inside the Box
158
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
44
Corner Kicks
103
Touches in opposition box
4216
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
1810
Passes
84% (354/421)79% (297/378)
Long passes
47% (16/34)33% (21/63)
Passes in final third
70% (93/133)54% (32/59)
Crosses
37% (11/30)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.870.53
Fouls
1018
Tackles
58% (7/12)63% (15/24)
Duels won
5755
Clearances Total
1632
Interceptions
93
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
54
xGOT faced
2.721.27
Goals prevented
-1.28-0.73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 22', 0 - 1, Bourgault J. ⚽,
  • 24', Lala K. 🟨,
  • 26', 0 - 2, Pereira Lage M. ⚽, Doumbia K. (A),
  • 28', Lees-Melou P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Bourgault J. ↓, Zogbe L. ↑,
  • 46', Messali R. ↓, Babicka S. ↑,
  • 62', 0 - 3, Doumbia K. ⚽,
  • 64', Balde M. ↓, Del Castillo R. ↑,
  • 65', 1 - 3, Sierro V. ⚽, Gboho Y. (A),
  • 68', Pereira Lage M. 🟨,
  • 71', Suazo G. ↓, Edjouma N. ↑,
  • 74', Doumbia K. ↓, Fernandes E. ↑,
  • 78', Casseres C. ↓, Zajc M. ↑,
  • 78', 2 - 3, King J. ⚽, Cresswell C. (A),
  • 86', Bizot M. 🟨,
  • 87', Zogbe L. 🟨,
  • 90', 2 - 4, Camara M. ⚽, Pereira Lage M. (A),
  • 90+4', Sidibe D. ↓, Kamanzi W. ↑,
  • 90+4', Donnum A. ↓, Canvot J. ↑,

Chances of winning


Toulouse
46.8%		Draw
28.3%		Brest
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.9% 28.6% 24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2% 27.8% 23.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Brest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brest than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
    •

    Toulouse - Brest Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.04 ↑
    (2.04)    		 3.36 ↑
    (3.34)    		 3.82 ↓
    (3.9)    		 4.9%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

  • Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : beIN SPORTS
    •
    What is the prediction for Toulouse - Brest?
  • Users Predictions: 99 users predict this event. Toulouse will win (votes: 77 - 77.8%). Brest will win (votes: 7 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 15.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Toulouse: 69.6% – 86%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 10 and 9).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Toulouse won 0.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Toulouse will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Toulouse: Magri F. (Yellow Cards) Nicolaisen R. (Calf Injury) Schmidt N. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Brest: Balde M. (Injury) Chardonnet B. (Chest Injury) Coulibaly S. (Injury) Del Castillo R. (Knee Injury) Haidara M. (Red Card) Locko B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Magnetti H. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Toulouse: Aboukhlal Z. (Hamstring Injury) Restes G. (Thigh Injury)
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Toulouse won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:17 (average 1:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Toulouse won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:10 (average 1.5:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toulouse - Brest were as follows:
    22.09.2024 Brest - Toulouse 2:0
    19.05.2024 Toulouse - Brest 0:3
    08.10.2023 Brest - Toulouse 1:1
    02.04.2023 Brest - Toulouse 3:1
    15.01.2023 Toulouse - Brest 1:1
    Latest results of Toulouse
    07.03.2025 Toulouse - Monaco 1:1 ✺
    02.03.2025 Angers - Toulouse 0:4 ✺
    23.02.2025 Le Havre - Toulouse 1:4 ✺
    15.02.2025 Toulouse - Paris Saint-Germain 0:1 ✺
    09.02.2025 Auxerre - Toulouse 2:2 ✺
    Latest results of Brest
    09.03.2025 Brest - Angers 2:0 ✺
    02.03.2025 Lyon - Brest 2:1 ✺
    26.02.2025 Brest - Dunkerque 2:3 ✺
    23.02.2025 Strasbourg - Brest 0:0 ✺
    19.02.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Brest 7:0 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auxerre00000:000
    2Le Havre00000:000
    3Lille00000:000
    4Lorient00000:000
    5Metz00000:000
    6Monaco00000:000
    7Nantes00000:000
    8Nice00000:000
    9PSG00000:000
    10Strasbourg00000:000
    11Angers00000:000
    12Brest00000:000
    13Paris FC00000:000
    14Marseille00000:000
    15Toulouse00000:000
    16Lens00000:000
    17Rennes00000:000
    18Lyon00000:000

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