Result
2:0
24/08/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 2
- Referee: Millot B. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4 |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belarus | Okko Sport |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 2 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.97 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (307/383) | 82% (341/417) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.97 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (307/383) | 82% (341/417) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (20/42) | 41% (24/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (48/80) | 63% (70/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 41% (9/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 1.09 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 62% (16/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.29 | 1.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.29 | -0.73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 52', 1 - 0, Magri F. ⚽,
- 60', Sauer M. ↓, Kamanzi W. ↑,
- 63', Chardonnet B. 🟨,
- 65', 2 - 0, Magri F. ⚽,
- 70', Sidibe D. ↓, Nicolaisen R. ↑,
- 71', Gboho Y. ↓, Edjouma N. ↑,
- 72', Magnetti H. ↓, Chotard J. ↑,
- 72', Chardonnet B. ↓, Diaz Jr. M. ↑,
- 72', Del Castillo R. ↓, Makalou H. ↑,
- 79', Doumbia K. ↓, Camblan A. ↑,
- 83', Magri F. ↓, Hidalgo S. ↑,
- 83', Methalie D. ↓, Saka M. ↑,
- 84', Balde M. ↓, Diop S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Toulouse
42.9% | Draw
27.8% | Brest
29.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Brest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brest than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Toulouse - Brest Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↑
(2.08) |
3.44 ↑
(3.35) |
3.25 ↓
(3.45) |
4.8%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Toulouse - Brest?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Toulouse (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Brest (votes: 7 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 0.
- Toulouse is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Brest is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Toulouse may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Toulouse has had a series of away games.
- Toulouse is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Toulouse: Azizi I.
(Knee Injury)
Francis A.
(Injury)
Messali R.
(Inactive)
Schmidt N.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Brest: Chotard J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:21. (average 1.1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toulouse won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 1.6:2.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Toulouse won against Brest?
Toulouse has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brest won against Toulouse?
Brest has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toulouse - Brest were as follows:
30.03.2025
Toulouse
-
Brest
2:4
22.09.2024
Brest
-
Toulouse
2:0
19.05.2024
Toulouse
-
Brest
0:3
08.10.2023
Brest
-
Toulouse
1:1
02.04.2023
Brest
-
Toulouse
3:1
Latest results of Toulouse
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Lyon | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Lille | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 7 |
| 4 | Monaco | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Lens | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Strasbourg | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Toulouse | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Angers | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Rennes | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 10 | Marseille | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Le Havre | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | Nice | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | Nantes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 15 | Lorient | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 | Paris FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 3 |
| 17 | Brest | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 1 |
| 18 | Metz | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
