Toulouse vs La Rochelle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
60:14
28/12/2025 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Top 14 - Round 13
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport
franceFranceCANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1
italyItalySky Sport Arena
peruPeruDisney+
spainSpainM+ Deportes 2, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomFloSports app, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Tries
92
Conversion Goals
62
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
10
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00
Yellow Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (36 - 7)
  • 5', Niniashvili D. (Try),
  • 5', Hastoy A. (Conversion Goal),
  • 14', Marchand J. (Try),
  • 16', Capuozzo A. (Try),
  • 16', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
  • 21', Ramos T. (Penalty Goal),
  • 25', Ntamack R. (Try),
  • 25', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
  • 34', Dupont A. (Try),
  • 34', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
  • 37', Alldritt G. 🟨,
  • 38', Dupont A. (Try),
  • 38', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (24 - 7)
  • 45', Roumat A. (Try),
  • 45', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
  • 59', Thomas T. (Try),
  • 59', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
  • 67', Le Garrec N. (Try),
  • 67', Hastoy A. (Conversion Goal),
  • 68', Thomas T. (Try),
  • 76', Banos L. (Try),

Chances of winning


Toulouse
89.2%
Draw
2.1%
La Rochelle
8.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
89.2% 2.7% 8.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Toulouse have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • La Rochelle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Toulouse - La Rochelle Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.04
    (1.05)
    42.89
    (34.22)
    10.62
    (11.63)
    7.7%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 62.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-23)
    What is the prediction for Toulouse - La Rochelle?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Toulouse will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). La Rochelle will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. La Rochelle (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -13.5 - Toulouse (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -21.5 - La Rochelle (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Toulouse (votes: 1 - 33.3%). La Rochelle (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 43:20.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 2.
    • Toulouse is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • La Rochelle has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Toulouse is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 15 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 471:417. (average 23.6:20.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toulouse won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 345:245. (average 28.8:20.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toulouse - La Rochelle were as follows:
    04.01.2025 La Rochelle - Toulouse 22:19
    15.09.2024 Toulouse - La Rochelle 35:27
    21.06.2024 Toulouse - La Rochelle 39:23
    02.06.2024 Toulouse - La Rochelle 31:31
    30.12.2023 La Rochelle - Toulouse 29:8
    Latest results of Toulouse
    20.12.2025 Lyon - Toulouse 19:41
    13.12.2025 Glasgow Warriors - Toulouse 28:21
    07.12.2025 Toulouse - Sharks 56:19
    29.11.2025 Toulouse - Racing Métro 48:24
    22.11.2025 Montauban - Toulouse 7:49
    Latest results of La Rochelle
    13.12.2025 Stormers - La Rochelle 42:21
    30.11.2025 Section Paloise - La Rochelle 53:33
    22.11.2025 La Rochelle - Castres 17:19
    French Top 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLPts
    1Stade Toulousain181404730:36567
    2Section Paloise181206558:47755
    3Montpellier181017561:39053
    4Clermont181107596:46751
    5Bordeaux Begles181008591:48350
    6Stade Francais Paris18918513:44849
    7RC Toulonnais18918465:53645
    8Racing 92181017514:55845
    9Castres Olympique18909431:50142
    10Stade Rochelais188010551:48741
    11Lyon18819521:50239
    12Aviron Bayonnais188010467:59536
    13USA Perpignan184014344:51118
    14Montauban181116338:8607

          Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Top 14 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Pro D2