Result
1:2
26/01/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 19
- Referee: Turpin C. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | DAZN 1 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Voyo |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | DAZN 4, DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 India | GXR World |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | Caliente TV App |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 8 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 6 |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.59 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 34 | 22 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 33 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (438/536) | 64% (174/272) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 72% (131/182) | 44% (30/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 25% (2/8) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 62% (13/21) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 26 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 7', Sylla I. ↓, Sainte-Luce T. ↑,
- 17', Nzingoula R. 🟨,
- 41', Chotard J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 47', Canvot J. 🟨,
- 59', 1 - 0, Casseres C. ⚽, King J. (A),
- 61', Nzingoula R. ↓, Fayad K. ↑,
- 61', Khazri W. ↓, Maamma O. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 1, Sagnan M. ⚽,
- 69', King J. ↓, Babicka S. ↑,
- 76', Genreau D. ↓, Zajc M. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 2, Maamma O. ⚽, Savanier T. (A),
- 85', Donnum A. ↓, Magri F. ↑,
- 85', Canvot J. ↓, Messali R. ↑,
- 89', Omeragic B. ↓, Toure B. ↑,
- 89', Tamari M. ↓, Coulibaly T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Toulouse
56.8% | Draw
24.2% | Montpellier
19.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Montpellier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Toulouse - Montpellier Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↑
(1.6) |
3.96 ↓
(4) |
5.01 ↑
(5) |
4.5%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers) Network on : beIN SPORTS Xtra En Español
What is the prediction for Toulouse - Montpellier?
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Toulouse will win (votes: 13 - 50%). Montpellier will win (votes: 9 - 34.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Toulouse: 30.8% – 69.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Toulouse won 2.
- Toulouse is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Montpellier is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Montpellier could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Toulouse is a favorite.
- There will not play in Toulouse: Nicolaisen R.
(Ankle Injury)
Schmidt N.
(Knee Injury)
Sidibe D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Sierro V.
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Montpellier: Ferri J.
(Red Card)
Gueguin A.
(Ribs Injury)
Jullien C.
(Knee Injury)
Maksimovic N.
(Thigh Injury)
Mincarelli L.
(Injury)
Toure B.
(Muscle Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Toulouse won 9 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 22:27 (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Toulouse won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:8 (average 1.3:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Toulouse won against Montpellier?
Toulouse has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Montpellier won against Toulouse?
Montpellier has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toulouse - Montpellier were as follows:
27.10.2024
Montpellier
-
Toulouse
0:3
03.05.2024
Toulouse
-
Montpellier
1:2
29.10.2023
Montpellier
-
Toulouse
3:0
15.07.2023
Montpellier
-
Toulouse
3:1
09.04.2023
Montpellier
-
Toulouse
1:2
Latest results of Toulouse
Latest results of Montpellier
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Marseille | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 21:7 | 14 | 18 |
| 2 | PSG | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 17 |
| 3 | Strasbourg | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Lens | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Lyon | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | Lille | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 14 |
| 7 | Monaco | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | Toulouse | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 | Rennes | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 11:12 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 14:17 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Brest | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | Nantes | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 9 |
| 14 | Lorient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:19 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 | Auxerre | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 | Angers | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | Metz | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:20 | -15 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
