Result
1:2
26/01/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 19
- Referee: Turpin C. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Argentina | Disney+ |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8, TOD |
Austria | DAZN |
Belgium | DAZN 1 |
Canada | beIN Connect |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go |
Czech-republic | Voyo |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay |
France | DAZN 4, DAZN France |
Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
India | GXR World |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Mexico | Caliente TV App |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
Norway | Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+ |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Serbia | Arena Sport 8 |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Spain | beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 6 |
United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, Tubi TV |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.00 | 0.59 |
Ball Possession |
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66% | 34% |
Goal Attempts |
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15 | 6 |
Shots on Goal |
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6 | 4 |
Shots off Goal |
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4 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
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5 | 1 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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6 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
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10 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
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5 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
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0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 5 |
Free Kicks |
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15 | 9 |
Offsides |
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2 | 1 |
Fouls |
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9 | 15 |
Yellow Cards |
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1 | 2 |
Throw-ins |
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34 | 22 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
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33 | 8 |
Passes |
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82% (438/536) | 64% (174/272) |
Passes in the final third |
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72% (131/182) | 44% (30/68) |
Crosses |
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24% (5/21) | 25% (2/8) |
Tackles |
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76% (13/17) | 62% (13/21) |
Clearances Total |
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26 | 35 |
Interceptions |
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5 | 15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 7', Sylla I. ↓, Sainte-Luce T. ↑,
- 17', Nzingoula R. 🟨,
- 41', Chotard J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 47', Canvot J. 🟨,
- 59', 1 - 0, Casseres C. ⚽, King J. (A),
- 61', Nzingoula R. ↓, Fayad K. ↑,
- 61', Khazri W. ↓, Maamma O. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 1, Sagnan M. ⚽,
- 69', King J. ↓, Babicka S. ↑,
- 76', Genreau D. ↓, Zajc M. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 2, Maamma O. ⚽, Savanier T. (A),
- 85', Donnum A. ↓, Magri F. ↑,
- 85', Canvot J. ↓, Messali R. ↑,
- 89', Omeragic B. ↓, Toure B. ↑,
- 89', Tamari M. ↓, Coulibaly T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Toulouse 56.8% | Draw 24.2% | Montpellier 19.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Montpellier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Toulouse - Montpellier Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.69 ↑ (1.6) |
3.96 ↓ (4) |
5.01 ↑ (5) |
4.5% (7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers) Network on : beIN SPORTS Xtra En Español
What is the prediction for Toulouse - Montpellier?
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Toulouse will win (votes: 13 - 50%). Montpellier will win (votes: 9 - 34.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Toulouse: 30.8% – 69.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Toulouse won 2.
- Toulouse is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Montpellier is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Montpellier could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Toulouse is a favorite.
- There will not play in Toulouse: Nicolaisen R.
(Ankle Injury)
Schmidt N.
(Knee Injury)
Sidibe D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Sierro V.
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Montpellier: Ferri J.
(Red Card)
Gueguin A.
(Ribs Injury)
Jullien C.
(Knee Injury)
Maksimovic N.
(Thigh Injury)
Mincarelli L.
(Injury)
Toure B.
(Muscle Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Toulouse won 9 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 22:27 (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Toulouse won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:8 (average 1.3:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Toulouse won against Montpellier?
Toulouse has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Montpellier won against Toulouse?
Montpellier has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toulouse - Montpellier were as follows:
27.10.2024
Montpellier
-
Toulouse
0:3
03.05.2024
Toulouse
-
Montpellier
1:2
29.10.2023
Montpellier
-
Toulouse
3:0
15.07.2023
Montpellier
-
Toulouse
3:1
09.04.2023
Montpellier
-
Toulouse
1:2
Latest results of Toulouse
Latest results of Montpellier
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Auxerre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Le Havre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Lille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Lorient | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Metz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Monaco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Nantes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Nice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | PSG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Strasbourg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Angers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Brest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Paris FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Marseille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Toulouse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Lens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Rennes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Lyon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2