Strasbourg vs Toulouse – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
03/05/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 32
  • Referee: Angoula G. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilCaze TV
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 1, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFranceDAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
italyItalyLigue 1+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoFOX One, Tubi TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV4
romaniaRomaniaVoyo
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 1, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 4
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.321.17
Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
916
Shots on target
46
Big chances
03
Corner kicks
83
Passes
88% (415/472)87% (346/399)
Yellow cards
13
Expected goals (xG)
0.321.17
xG on target (xGOT)
0.731.86
Total shots
916
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
17
Blocked shots
43
Shots inside the box
58
Shots outside the box
48
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
03
Corner kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
2128
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
23
Free kicks
157
Passes
88% (415/472)87% (346/399)
Long passes
51% (22/43)56% (28/50)
Passes in final third
67% (66/99)70% (66/94)
Crosses
13% (2/15)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.310.78
Throw ins
1718
Fouls
715
Tackles
56% (14/25)88% (21/24)
Duels won
5750
Clearances
2423
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
31
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
43
xGOT faced
1.860.73
Goals prevented
-0.14-0.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 20', Dieme Y. 🟨,
  • 27', 1 - 0, Amo-Ameyaw S. ⚽, Doukoure I. (A),
  • 43', 1 - 1, Methalie D. ⚽, Casseres C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Ouattara A. ↓, El Mourabet S. ↑,
  • 56', Methalie D. 🟨,
  • 63', Russell-Rowe J. ↓, Emersonn ↑,
  • 63', Amougou M. ↓, Moreira D. ↑,
  • 71', Doukoure I. ↓, Omobamidele A. ↑,
  • 72', Dieme Y. ↓, Enciso J. ↑,
  • 75', Vossah A. 🟨,
  • 78', Methalie D. ↓, Kamanzi W. ↑,
  • 78', Hidalgo S. ↓, Sidibe D. ↑,
  • 82', Gboho Y. ↓, Azizi I. ↑,
  • 82', Vossah A. ↓, Sauer M. ↑,
  • 82', Nanasi S. ↓, Emegha E. ↑,
  • 84', 1 - 2, Emersonn ⚽, Casseres C. (A),
  • 90+7', Donnum A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Strasbourg
32.2%		Draw
27.2%		Toulouse
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.8% 27.6% 31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1% 25.8% 33.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Strasbourg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Strasbourg's form might have worsened.
  • Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toulouse's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Strasbourg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toulouse, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Strasbourg - Toulouse Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.96 ↑
    (2.3)    		 3.51 ↑
    (3.4)    		 2.35 ↓
    (2.97)    		 4.8%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Strasbourg - Toulouse?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Strasbourg will win (votes: 15 - 50%). Toulouse will win (votes: 9 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Strasbourg: 32.1% – 67.9%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 3.
    • Strasbourg has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Toulouse has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Strasbourg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Strasbourg: Anselmino A. (Knee Injury) Panichelli J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Toulouse: Francis A. (Broken Leg) Magri F. (Knee Injury) Messali R. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Strasbourg: Barco V. (Ankle Injury) Doue G. (Inactive)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:15. (average 1.7:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Strasbourg won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:8. (average 2.1:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Strasbourg - Toulouse were as follows:
    06.12.2025 Toulouse - Strasbourg 1:0
    12.01.2025 Toulouse - Strasbourg 1:2
    07.04.2024 Toulouse - Strasbourg 0:0
    27.08.2023 Strasbourg - Toulouse 2:0
    29.01.2023 Strasbourg - Toulouse 1:2
    Latest results of Strasbourg
    30.04.2026 Rayo Vallecano - Strasbourg 1:0 ✺
    26.04.2026 Lorient - Strasbourg 2:3 ✺
    22.04.2026 Strasbourg - Nice 0:2 ✺
    19.04.2026 Strasbourg - Rennes 0:3 ✺
    16.04.2026 Strasbourg - Mainz 4:0 ✺
    Latest results of Toulouse
    25.04.2026 Toulouse - Monaco 2:2 ✺
    21.04.2026 Lens - Toulouse 4:1 ✺
    17.04.2026 Lens - Toulouse 3:2 ✺
    12.04.2026 Toulouse - Lille 0:4 ✺
    03.04.2026 Paris Saint-Germain - Toulouse 3:1 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG ✔ 31224570:274370
    2Lens31204761:332864
    3Lille32177851:351658
    4Lyon31176848:321657
    5Rennes31168754:421256
    6Monaco321661056:48854
    7Marseille321651159:441553
    8Strasbourg311371150:41946
    9Lorient3210121044:49-542
    10Toulouse321181345:45041
    11Paris FC3210111144:47-341
    12Brest311081341:51-1038
    13Angers32971627:46-1934
    14Le Havre326141230:43-1332
    15Nice327101536:58-2231
    16Auxerre326101630:43-1328
    17Nantes32581929:51-2223
    18Metz32372232:72-4016

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