Result
2:1 OT
15/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.55 | 1.17 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 24 | 11 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 10.53% (2/19) | 5.26% (1/19) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 94.74% (18/19) | 89.47% (17/19) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/1) | 0% (0/3) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (3/3) | 100% (1/1) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 25 | 23 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 52.08 | 47.92 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 16:00, Ylitalo O. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (0 - 1)
- 12:11, 0 - 1, Tuhkala A. (G), Reunanen T. (A), Maatta J. (A2)
- 14:58, Martel D. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 18:13, 1 - 1, Olofsson J. (G), Tammela J. (A), Maatta R. (A2)
- 19:42, Martel D. (2 min),
- 19:42, Landen A. (2 min),
- Overtime (1 - 0)
- 03:50, 2 - 1, Lipiainen V. (G), Juhola P. (A), Jarvinen J. (A2)
Chances of winning
Ässät
49.8% | Draw
23.1% | TPS
27% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ässät has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)TPS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ässät than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for TPS than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Ässät - TPS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↑
(1.8) |
4.04 ↓
(4.45) |
3.43 ↓
(3.59) |
6.2%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ässät won 4.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Recently, Ässät has had a series of away games.
- Ässät could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ässät won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 51:53. (average 2.6:2.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ässät won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:29. (average 2.9:2.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Ässät won against TPS?
Ässät has won 11 of their last 23 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has TPS won against Ässät?
TPS has won 12 of their last 23 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ässät - TPS were as follows:
14.11.2025
TPS
-
Ässät
3:4
04.09.2025
Ässät
-
TPS
4:1
15.08.2025
TPS
-
Ässät
3:1
15.02.2025
Ässät
-
TPS
6:3
14.02.2025
TPS
-
Ässät
1:3
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 51 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 188:125 | 100 |
| 2 | KooKoo | 50 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 181:123 | 96 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 51 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 173:139 | 94 |
| 4 | Lukko | 52 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 160:132 | 92 |
| 5 | KalPa | 51 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 153:144 | 90 |
| 6 | Ilves | 51 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 158:129 | 90 |
| 7 | JYP | 49 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 165:147 | 88 |
| 8 | Assat | 52 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 145:143 | 82 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 51 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 128:145 | 71 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 51 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 113:135 | 69 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 52 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 123:143 | 67 |
| 12 | IFK Helsinki | 50 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 116:162 | 66 |
| 13 | Hameenlinna | 52 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 124:145 | 64 |
| 14 | Karpat | 53 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 157:172 | 60 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 51 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 115:140 | 59 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 51 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 99:174 | 39 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
