KalPa vs TPS – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey Finnish SM-liiga KalPa - TPS
Result
1:0
12/03/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FINLAND: Liiga
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
swedenSwedenTV4 Play

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.782.46
Shots on Goal
1416
Shots off Goal
1315
Shooting PCT
7.14% (1/14)0% (0/16)
Blocked Shots
512
Goalkeeper Saves
1613
Saves PCT
100% (16/16)92.86% (13/14)
Penalties
711
PIM
3543
Power-play Goals
10
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
9.09% (1/11)0% (0/7)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (7/7)90.91% (10/11)
Faceoffs Won
2527
Faceoffs %
48.0851.92
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 0)
  • 01:52, Korhonen B. (2 min),
  • 04:55, Marjala V. (2 min),
  • 15:00, Intonen A. (2 min),
  • 15:00, Teissala L. (5 min),
  • 15:00, Salmela T. (2 min),
  • 19:04, 1 - 0, Kiiskinen T. (G), Rissanen J. (A), Ruotsalainen V. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (0 - 0)
  • 10:49, Wernblom L. (2 min),
  • 13:11, Sevanen R. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (0 - 0)
  • 03:05, Lantta J. (5 min),
  • 03:05, Westerlund F. (2 min),
  • 03:05, Simontaival K. (2 min),
  • 03:05, Intonen A. (2 min),
  • 03:05, Lehtonen S. (2 min),
  • 03:05, Haapanen T. (2 min),
  • 06:24, Korhonen B. (2 min),
  • 08:54, Talvitie A. (2 min),
  • 12:10, Pakkila E. (2 min),

Chances of winning


KalPa
63.2%
Draw
18.5%
TPS
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.6% 21% 20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2% 19.8% 19.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • KalPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • TPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for KalPa than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for TPS than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • KalPa - TPS Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.62)
    5.05
    (4.52)
    5.12
    (4.67)
    6.6%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches KalPa won 3.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • In this match KalPa is a favorite.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches KalPa won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 59:44 (average 3:2.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams KalPa won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 29:21 (average 3.2:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between KalPa - TPS were as follows:
    15.01.2025 TPS - KalPa 3:2
    20.11.2024 TPS - KalPa 1:3
    21.09.2024 KalPa - TPS 5:0
    28.02.2024 KalPa - TPS 9:1
    19.12.2023 TPS - KalPa 4:3
    Latest results of KalPa
    08.03.2025 Mikkelin Jukurit - KalPa 2:9
    07.03.2025 KalPa - Kiekko-Espoo 2:4
    05.03.2025 Ilves - KalPa 2:3
    01.03.2025 KalPa - Pelicans 6:3
    27.02.2025 SaiPa - KalPa 3:2
    Latest results of TPS
    08.03.2025 TPS - Vaasan Sport 3:2
    07.03.2025 Vaasan Sport - TPS 3:4
    05.03.2025 Kiekko-Espoo - TPS 2:1
    01.03.2025 TPS - Tappara 2:7
    28.02.2025 Tappara - TPS 2:5
    Finnish SM-liiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Assat000000:00
    2Hameenlinna000000:00
    3IFK Helsinki000000:00
    4Ilves000000:00
    5JYP000000:00
    6KalPa000000:00
    7Lukko000000:00
    8Pelicans000000:00
    9SaiPa000000:00
    10Tappara000000:00
    11TPS Turku000000:00
    12Karpat000000:00
    13KooKoo000000:00
    14Vaasan Sport000000:00
    15Jukurit000000:00
    16Kiekko-Espoo000000:00

          Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Liiga (Play Out: )