Result
7:3
03/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 4.00 | 2.12 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 25 | 20 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 28% (7/25) | 15% (3/20) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 85% (17/20) | 72% (18/25) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 16.67% (1/6) | 0% (0/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 83.33% (5/6) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 36 | 22 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 62.07 | 37.93 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 1)
- 00:09, 0 - 1, Pakkila E. (G), Binner A. (A), Wernblom L. (A2)
- 00:26, 1 - 1, Ruotsalainen V. (G), Kapanen K. (A), Saarelainen J. (A2)
- 05:50, Binner A. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (4 - 1)
- 01:49, Borchardt C. (2 min),
- 04:40, 2 - 1, Curry P. (G),
- 10:25, 3 - 1, Okany A. (G), Klemetti A. (A), Curry P. (A2)
- 13:20, 3 - 2, Koivu A. (G), Landen A. (A), Nassen L. (A2)
- 14:55, Saarelainen J. (2 min),
- 14:55, Koivu A. (2 min),
- 15:06, Lehtonen S. (2 min),
- 17:20, 4 - 2, Korhonen B. (G), Okany A. (A), Kanak L. (A2)
- 19:14, 5 - 2, Okany A. (G), Klemetti A. (A), Tornberg A. (A2)
- 3rd Period (2 - 1)
- 02:19, 5 - 3, Binner A. (G), Elo S. (A), Myllymaa K. (A2)
- 04:15, 6 - 3, Soderlund T. (G), Ketola J. (A), Karlsson A. (A2)
- 09:41, Wernblom L. (2 min),
- 11:15, Lauridsen O. (2 min),
- 11:15, Lauridsen O. (2 min),
- 11:35, 7 - 3, Ruotsalainen V. (G), Curry P. (A), Ketola J. (A2)
Chances of winning
KalPa
52% | Draw
22.9% | TPS
25.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KalPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)TPS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for KalPa than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for TPS than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
KalPa - TPS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.8 ↑
(1.75) |
4 ↑
(3.94) |
3.69 ↓
(4.07) |
7.6%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
What is the prediction for KalPa - TPS?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. KalPa will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. KalPa (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KalPa won 2.
- KalPa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- TPS is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, KalPa is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KalPa won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 57:43. (average 2.9:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, KalPa won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:19. (average 3:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has KalPa won against TPS?
KalPa has won 9 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has TPS won against KalPa?
TPS has won 7 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KalPa - TPS were as follows:
27.01.2026
TPS
-
KalPa
3:2
10.10.2025
KalPa
-
TPS
3:4
20.09.2025
TPS
-
KalPa
0:3
12.03.2025
KalPa
-
TPS
1:0
15.01.2025
TPS
-
KalPa
3:2
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 51 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 188:125 | 100 |
| 2 | KooKoo | 50 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 181:123 | 96 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 51 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 173:139 | 94 |
| 4 | Lukko | 52 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 160:132 | 92 |
| 5 | KalPa | 51 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 153:144 | 90 |
| 6 | Ilves | 51 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 158:129 | 90 |
| 7 | JYP | 49 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 165:147 | 88 |
| 8 | Assat | 52 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 145:143 | 82 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 51 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 128:145 | 71 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 51 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 113:135 | 69 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 52 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 123:143 | 67 |
| 12 | IFK Helsinki | 50 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 116:162 | 66 |
| 13 | Hameenlinna | 52 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 124:145 | 64 |
| 14 | Karpat | 53 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 157:172 | 60 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 51 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 115:140 | 59 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 51 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 99:174 | 39 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
