Result
3:2 OT
27/01/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.05 | 2.81 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 15.79% (3/19) | 9.09% (2/22) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 90.91% (20/22) | 84.21% (16/19) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 0% (0/1) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 0% (0/2) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 25 | 29 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 46.3 | 53.7 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 02:41, Landen A. (2 min),
- 06:04, Makiniemi E. ↓, Niittymaki A. ↑,
- 06:50, Niittymaki A. ↓, Makiniemi E. ↑,
- 2nd Period (0 - 1)
- 04:07, 0 - 1, Klemetti A. (G), Curry P. (A), Okany A. (A2)
- 16:40, Borchardt C. (Penalty Shot),
- 3rd Period (2 - 1)
- 00:34, 0 - 2, Okany A. (G), Curry P. (A), Klemetti A. (A2)
- 01:01, 1 - 2, Reunanen T. (G), Wernblom L. (A), Yliniemi S. (A2)
- 11:41, Mononen V. (2 min),
- 11:47, 2 - 2, Saarela A. (G), Wernblom L. (A), Binner A. (A2)
- Overtime (1 - 0)
- 00:39, Curry P. (2 min),
- 00:46, 3 - 2, Wernblom L. (G), Saarela A. (A), Savinainen V. (A2)
Chances of winning
TPS
36.8% | Draw
24.1% | KalPa
39.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
TPS - KalPa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.53 ↓
(2.54) |
3.83 ↑
(3.63) |
2.38 ↓
(2.49) |
7.6%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
What is the prediction for TPS - KalPa?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. TPS will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). KalPa will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. TPS (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TPS won 2.
- TPS has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- KalPa is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- We predict that KalPa will win today's game, with odds of 2.37.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, TPS won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 40:57. (average 2:2.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, TPS won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:30. (average 1.9:2.7).
How many head-to-head matches has TPS won against KalPa?
TPS has won 6 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has KalPa won against TPS?
KalPa has won 9 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between TPS - KalPa were as follows:
10.10.2025
KalPa
-
TPS
3:4
20.09.2025
TPS
-
KalPa
0:3
12.03.2025
KalPa
-
TPS
1:0
15.01.2025
TPS
-
KalPa
3:2
20.11.2024
TPS
-
KalPa
1:3
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 44 | 28 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 164:104 | 90 |
| 2 | SaiPa | 45 | 22 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 151:128 | 80 |
| 3 | JYP | 42 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 147:121 | 79 |
| 4 | Lukko | 44 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 138:118 | 76 |
| 5 | KooKoo | 42 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 150:108 | 75 |
| 6 | Ilves | 44 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 139:116 | 75 |
| 7 | KalPa | 43 | 20 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 129:128 | 74 |
| 8 | Assat | 44 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 124:117 | 72 |
| 9 | IFK Helsinki | 44 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 102:143 | 58 |
| 10 | Kiekko-Espoo | 45 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 112:133 | 58 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 45 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 107:123 | 58 |
| 12 | Pelicans | 42 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 86:107 | 56 |
| 13 | Jukurit | 42 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 100:114 | 54 |
| 14 | Hameenlinna | 44 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 104:124 | 53 |
| 15 | Karpat | 44 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 133:147 | 51 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 44 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 25 | 93:148 | 38 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
