Result
0:3
20/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.07 | 3.02 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 36 | 23 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/36) | 13.04% (3/23) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 20 | 36 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 90.91% (20/22) | 100% (36/36) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/4) | 0% (0/3) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (3/3) | 100% (4/4) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 32 | 13 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 71.11 | 28.89 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 1)
- 04:10, Lauridsen O. (2 min),
- 06:13, 0 - 1, Hartikainen T. (G), Lappalainen L. (A), Curry P. (A2)
- 20:00, Curry P. (2 min),
- 20:00, Wernblom L. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (0 - 0)
- 03:10, Gallet H. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (0 - 2)
- 03:43, Borchardt C. (2 min),
- 07:02, Maatta J. (2 min),
- 10:01, Kapanen K. (2 min),
- 12:16, 0 - 2, Borchardt C. (G), Kanak L. (A), Kapanen K. (A2)
- 18:24, 0 - 3, Klemetti A. (G), Hartikainen T. (A), Korhonen B. (A2)
Chances of winning
TPS
40.5% | Draw
23% | KalPa
36.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
TPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)KalPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting KalPa's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for TPS than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for TPS, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for KalPa than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for KalPa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
TPS - KalPa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.56 ↑
(2.15) |
4.25 ↑
(3.69) |
2.5 ↓
(3.07) |
2.5%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
What is the prediction for TPS - KalPa?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. TPS will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). KalPa will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TPS won 1.
- TPS is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- KalPa's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- KalPa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- TPS could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, TPS won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 41:55. (average 2.1:2.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, TPS won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:30. (average 2.1:2.7).
How many head-to-head matches has TPS won against KalPa?
TPS has won 5 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has KalPa won against TPS?
KalPa has won 8 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between TPS - KalPa were as follows:
12.03.2025
KalPa
-
TPS
1:0
15.01.2025
TPS
-
KalPa
3:2
20.11.2024
TPS
-
KalPa
1:3
21.09.2024
KalPa
-
TPS
5:0
28.02.2024
KalPa
-
TPS
9:1
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | TPS Turku | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17:13 | 15 |
| 2 | Kiekko-Espoo | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 21:16 | 14 |
| 3 | Assat | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:10 | 12 |
| 4 | Tappara | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:9 | 12 |
| 5 | JYP | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:14 | 12 |
| 6 | Lukko | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:19 | 9 |
| 7 | KooKoo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:22 | 8 |
| 8 | KalPa | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:25 | 8 |
| 9 | SaiPa | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19:20 | 7 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12:16 | 7 |
| 11 | Vaasan Sport | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14:15 | 6 |
| 12 | Karpat | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:18 | 6 |
| 13 | Jukurit | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:18 | 6 |
| 14 | Hameenlinna | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10:16 | 6 |
| 15 | Ilves | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:23 | 5 |
| 16 | IFK Helsinki | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14:23 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
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