Result
4:2
03/07/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ykkosliiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', Kawakita E. 🟨,
- 37', Helen O. 🟨,
- 39', 1 - 0, Hietalahti P. ⚽, Lindberg P. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 2)
- 49', 2 - 0, Manneh F. ⚽,
- 53', Kawakita E. ↓, Riski Ri. ↑,
- 54', 3 - 0, Lika Y. ⚽, Kallio E. (A),
- 56', Muzaci A. 🟨,
- 59', Ikonen L. ↓, Vakiparta T. ↑,
- 61', 3 - 1, Pippola T. (Pen),
- 67', Huovinen J. ↓, Leinonen N. ↑,
- 69', Cukici D. 🟨,
- 69', Pippola T. 🟨,
- 72', 4 - 1, Manneh F. ⚽, Jouhi A. (A),
- 78', Anini S. ↓, Haapiainen W. ↑,
- 79', Nurmi N. 🟨,
- 85', Haggstrom O. ↓, Aitos J. ↑,
- 85', Pippola T. ↓, Rajamaki N. ↑,
- 87', Cukici D. ↓, Valakari T. ↑,
- 90', 4 - 2, Helen O. ⚽,
Chances of winning
KaPa
16% | Draw
16.8% | TPS
67.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KaPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)TPS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for KaPa than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for TPS than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
KaPa - TPS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.76 ↑
(5.19) |
5.48 ↑
(4.98) |
1.37 ↓
(1.46) |
8.5%
(7.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 4.00
What is the prediction for KaPa - TPS?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. KaPa will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). TPS will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for TPS: 68.4% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): TPS will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:3.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 9 in the zone Ykkosliiga (Relegation) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KaPa won 0.
- KaPa has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- TPS is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- TPS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, TPS is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, KaPa won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:20. (average 1.9:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, KaPa won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has KaPa won against TPS?
KaPa has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has TPS won against KaPa?
TPS has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KaPa - TPS were as follows:
14.05.2025
TPS
-
KaPa
4:2
17.08.2024
TPS
-
KaPa
5:3
06.07.2024
KaPa
-
TPS
0:0
04.05.2024
TPS
-
KaPa
2:1
09.03.2024
TPS
-
KaPa
3:2
Finnish Ykkosliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | TPS | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 46:28 | 18 | 38 |
| 2 | Lahti | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 31:17 | 14 | 37 |
| 3 | Ekenas | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 33:21 | 12 | 30 |
| 4 | PK-35 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25:18 | 7 | 22 |
| 5 | Klubi 04 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 31:28 | 3 | 22 |
| 6 | JIPPO | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 22:23 | -1 | 19 |
| 7 | SJK Akatemia | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 28:30 | -2 | 15 |
| 8 | JaPS | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 26:40 | -14 | 15 |
| 9 | KaPa | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 25:46 | -21 | 10 |
| 10 | SalPa | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12:28 | -16 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Promotion: )
Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Ykkonen
