Result
6:1
26/11/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.64 | 1.32 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 29 | 22 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 20.69% (6/29) | 4.55% (1/22) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 21 | 23 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 95.45% (21/22) | 79.31% (23/29) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 33.33% (1/3) | 0% (0/3) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (3/3) | 66.67% (2/3) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 29 | 37 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 43.94 | 56.06 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 1)
- 01:57, Kivihalme T. (2 min),
- 09:17, 1 - 0, Kivenmaki O. (G), Fortier M. (A), Nikkanen H. (A2)
- 13:51, 1 - 1, Wernblom L. (G), Savinainen V. (A), Rafkin R. (A2)
- 16:27, Kivenmaki O. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (3 - 0)
- 01:00, 2 - 1, Kalapudas A. (G), Kramer B. (A), Kivihalme T. (A2)
- 01:50, 3 - 1, Salomaki M. (G), Kuusla E. (A), Kalapudas A. (A2)
- 01:56, Pikkarainen K. (2 min),
- 02:49, 4 - 1, Siikanen P. (G), Fortier M. (A), Airola S. (A2)
- 13:45, Saarela A. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (2 - 0)
- 12:11, Appelgren N. (2 min),
- 12:11, Teissala L. (2 min),
- 12:24, 5 - 1, Salomaki M. (G), Klintrup E. (A), Airola S. (A2)
- 15:34, 6 - 1, Fortier M. (G), Kivenmaki O. (A), Nikkanen H. (A2)
Chances of winning
SaiPa
42.8% | Draw
24.8% | TPS
32.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
SaiPa - TPS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.21 ↑
(2.13) |
3.74 ↑
(3.53) |
2.91 ↓
(3.27) |
6.4%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SaiPa won 5.
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- SaiPa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- SaiPa will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, SaiPa won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 48:61. (average 2.4:3.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, SaiPa won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:26. (average 2.5:2.6).
How many head-to-head matches has SaiPa won against TPS?
SaiPa has won 10 of their last 20 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has TPS won against SaiPa?
TPS has won 9 of their last 20 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SaiPa - TPS were as follows:
01.11.2025
TPS
-
SaiPa
1:6
01.08.2025
TPS
-
SaiPa
0:2
24.03.2025
SaiPa
-
TPS
3:2
22.03.2025
TPS
-
SaiPa
1:2
21.03.2025
SaiPa
-
TPS
3:0
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 30 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 106:71 | 60 |
| 2 | Assat | 31 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 95:77 | 55 |
| 3 | Lukko | 30 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 94:76 | 55 |
| 4 | KooKoo | 30 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 103:81 | 53 |
| 5 | JYP | 27 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 104:82 | 52 |
| 6 | SaiPa | 30 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 103:81 | 52 |
| 7 | KalPa | 29 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 92:95 | 46 |
| 8 | Ilves | 29 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 81:86 | 44 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 31 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 81:91 | 44 |
| 10 | TPS Turku | 32 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 75:82 | 43 |
| 11 | Pelicans | 29 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 60:69 | 41 |
| 12 | Jukurit | 31 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 69:85 | 39 |
| 13 | IFK Helsinki | 31 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 63:100 | 37 |
| 14 | Hameenlinna | 30 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 73:83 | 37 |
| 15 | Karpat | 30 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 92:103 | 33 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 28 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 63:92 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
