Result
2:4
03/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Turkish Cup - Round 4
- Referee: Ergun O. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | A Spor |
 Turkey | A Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Felipe Augusto ⚽, Muci E. (A),
- 38', Shomurodov E. 🟨,
- 38', Savic S. 🟨,
- 38', Ba O. 🟨,
- 45+1', Nwakaeme A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 3)
- 48', 1 - 1, Da Costa N. ⚽, Gunes U. (A),
- 59', Bulut O. ↓, Sahiner O. ↑,
- 65', Nayir U. ↓, Onuachu P. ↑,
- 65', Yokuslu O. ↓, Inao Oulai C. ↑,
- 65', Felipe Augusto ↓, Zubkov O. ↑,
- 66', 2 - 1, Brnic I. ⚽, Da Costa N. (A),
- 70', 2 - 2, Eskihellac M. ⚽, Muci E. (A),
- 72', Brnic I. ↓, Sari Y. ↑,
- 72', Da Costa N. ↓, Selke D. ↑,
- 75', Nwakaeme A. ↓, Tufan O. ↑,
- 79', Ba O. 🟥,
- 83', Kemen O. ↓, Ozdemir B. ↑,
- 83', Gunes U. ↓, Ergun O. ↑,
- 84', 2 - 3, Onuachu P. ⚽,
- 85', 2 - 4, Tufan O. ⚽,
- 90+1', Bouchouari B. ↓, Malkocoglu S. ↑,
Chances of winning
İstanbul Başakşehir
46.8% | Draw
24.1% | Trabzonspor
29.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
İstanbul Başakşehir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Trabzonspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trabzonspor than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
İstanbul Başakşehir - Trabzonspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.98 ↓
(2.17) |
3.81 ↑
(3.45) |
3.22 ↑
(3.02) |
7.7%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for İstanbul Başakşehir - Trabzonspor?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Başakşehir (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DC - Başakşehir (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
İstanbul Başakşehir will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Başakşehir (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Başakşehir won 0.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Başakşehir might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Başakşehir won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:24. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Başakşehir won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.6:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has İstanbul Başakşehir won against Trabzonspor?
İstanbul Başakşehir has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Trabzonspor won against İstanbul Başakşehir?
Trabzonspor has won 6 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between İstanbul Başakşehir - Trabzonspor were as follows:
24.11.2025
İstanbul Başakşehir
-
Trabzonspor
3:4
15.03.2025
İstanbul Başakşehir
-
Trabzonspor
0:3
19.10.2024
Trabzonspor
-
İstanbul Başakşehir
1:0
18.05.2024
İstanbul Başakşehir
-
Trabzonspor
0:1
28.02.2024
Trabzonspor
-
İstanbul Başakşehir
1:0
Latest results of İstanbul Başakşehir
Latest results of Trabzonspor
Turkish Cup Table
MainGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Trabzonspor | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:4 | 9 | 9 |
| 3 | Alanyaspor | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Basaksehir | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Karagumruk | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 6 | Boluspor | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 2 |
| 7 | Istanbulspor AS | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:9 | -7 | 2 |
| 8 | Fethiyespor | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:7 | -6 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Samsunspor | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Konyaspor | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 9 |
| 3 | Genclerbirligi | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Igdir FK | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 4 |
| 5 | Eyupspor | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Aliaga | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:13 | -9 | 1 |
| 7 | Bodrumspor | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 0 |
| 8 | Antalyaspor | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:8 | -8 | 0 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Besiktas ✔ | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 9 |
| 3 | Erzurumspor | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Gaziantep | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
| 5 | Kocaelispor | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Rizespor | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 4 |
| 7 | Beyoglu Yeni Carsi | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 8 | Keciorengucu | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:13 | -7 | 3 |
Ranking of third-placed teams | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Alanyaspor | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Genclerbirligi | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Erzurumspor | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Turkish Cup (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Besiktas is Qualified for Turkish Cup (Play Offs )
