İstanbul Başakşehir vs Trabzonspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:4
03/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Turkish Cup - Round 4
  • Referee: Ergun O. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
austriaAustriaA Spor
turkeyTurkeyA Spor

Match Stats

Ball possession
57%43%
Total shots
1710
Shots on target
86
Corner kicks
45
Yellow cards
22
Red cards
10
Total shots
1710
Shots on target
86
Shots off target
94
Corner kicks
45
Free kicks
1315
Throw ins
1215

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Felipe Augusto , Muci E. (A),
  • 38', Shomurodov E. 🟨,
  • 38', Savic S. 🟨,
  • 38', Ba O. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Nwakaeme A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 3)
  • 48', 1 - 1, Da Costa N. , Gunes U. (A),
  • 59', Bulut O. , Sahiner O. ,
  • 65', Nayir U. , Onuachu P. ,
  • 65', Yokuslu O. , Inao Oulai C. ,
  • 65', Felipe Augusto , Zubkov O. ,
  • 66', 2 - 1, Brnic I. , Da Costa N. (A),
  • 70', 2 - 2, Eskihellac M. , Muci E. (A),
  • 72', Brnic I. , Sari Y. ,
  • 72', Da Costa N. , Selke D. ,
  • 75', Nwakaeme A. , Tufan O. ,
  • 79', Ba O. 🟥,
  • 83', Kemen O. , Ozdemir B. ,
  • 83', Gunes U. , Ergun O. ,
  • 84', 2 - 3, Onuachu P. ,
  • 85', 2 - 4, Tufan O. ,
  • 90+1', Bouchouari B. , Malkocoglu S. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


İstanbul Başakşehir
46.8%
Draw
24.1%
Trabzonspor
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.6% 26.8% 30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44% 25.9% 29.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • İstanbul Başakşehir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Trabzonspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trabzonspor than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • İstanbul Başakşehir - Trabzonspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.98
    (2.17)
    3.81
    (3.45)
    3.22
    (3.02)
    7.7%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for İstanbul Başakşehir - Trabzonspor?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Başakşehir (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - Başakşehir (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: İstanbul Başakşehir will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 55.21%100%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Başakşehir (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Başakşehir won 0.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Başakşehir might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Başakşehir won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:24. (average 1.3:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Başakşehir won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.6:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between İstanbul Başakşehir - Trabzonspor were as follows:
    24.11.2025 İstanbul Başakşehir - Trabzonspor 3:4
    15.03.2025 İstanbul Başakşehir - Trabzonspor 0:3
    19.10.2024 Trabzonspor - İstanbul Başakşehir 1:0
    18.05.2024 İstanbul Başakşehir - Trabzonspor 0:1
    28.02.2024 Trabzonspor - İstanbul Başakşehir 1:0
    Latest results of İstanbul Başakşehir
    Latest results of Trabzonspor
    Turkish Cup Table
    Main

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray44008:3512
    2Trabzonspor430113:499
    3Alanyaspor42118:447
    4Basaksehir42028:716
    5Karagumruk41215:6-15
    6Boluspor40221:6-52
    7Istanbulspor AS40222:9-72
    8Fethiyespor40131:7-61


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Samsunspor330010:379
    2Konyaspor33008:179
    3Genclerbirligi32106:427
    4Igdir FK31119:454
    5Eyupspor31115:504
    6Aliaga30124:13-91
    7Bodrumspor30033:7-40
    8Antalyaspor30030:8-80


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Besiktas32106:247
    2Gaziantep32018:626
    3Fenerbahce32015:326
    4Rizespor31116:514
    5Kocaelispor31114:314
    6Erzurumspor31024:6-23
    7Keciorengucu31024:9-53
    8Beyoglu Yeni Carsi30122:5-31


    Ranking of third-placed teams
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Alanyaspor42118:447
    2Genclerbirligi32106:427
    3Fenerbahce32015:326

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