Result
2:1
23/01/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 19
- Referee: Yilmaz A. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, Vidio |
 Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 Singapore | beIN Connect, beIN Sport 1, beIN Sports 2 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 1 |
 Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.51 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (456/504) | 82% (310/380) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (456/504) | 82% (310/380) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 74% (29/39) | 47% (28/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (97/123) | 59% (43/73) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (5/25) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.61 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.51 | 0.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.51 | -1.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Olaigbe K. ↓, Onuachu P. ↑,
- 49', Onuachu P. 🟨,
- 51', 1 - 0, Onuachu P. ⚽, Inao Oulai C. (A),
- 55', Kanatsizkus K. ↓, Gueye P. ↑,
- 61', 1 - 1, Diabate F. ⚽, Kahveci I. C. (A),
- 67', Fall M. ↓, Ustundag C. ↑,
- 78', Felipe Augusto ↓, Nwakaeme A. ↑,
- 80', Rodrigo Becao ↓, Arous A. ↑,
- 80', Kahveci I. C. ↓, Cafu ↑,
- 84', 2 - 1, Zubkov O. ⚽, Nwakaeme A. (A),
- 89', Zubkov O. ↓, Yokuslu O. ↑,
- 89', Inao Oulai C. 🟨,
- 90', Demirbay K. 🟨,
- 90', Demirbay K. 🟨,
- 90+3', Muci E. ↓, Tufan O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Trabzonspor
59.6% | Draw
22.4% | Kasımpaşa
18% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Trabzonspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Kasımpaşa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trabzonspor than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kasımpaşa than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Trabzonspor - Kasımpaşa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↓
(1.65) |
4.2 ↑
(3.97) |
5.25 ↑
(4.89) |
6.2%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Trabzonspor - Kasımpaşa?
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Trabzonspor will win (votes: 23 - 76.7%). Kasımpaşa will win (votes: 6 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Trabzonspor: 61.6% – 91.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Trabzonspor (1.96) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Trabzonspor (1.68) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Trabzonspor will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Trabzonspor (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Kasımpaşa (votes: 3 - 21.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trabzonspor won 2.
- Trabzonspor has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Kasımpaşa is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Kasımpaşa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Trabzonspor has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Trabzonspor is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Trabzonspor: Baniya R.
(Shin Injury)
Baskan B.
(Suspended)
Eskihellac M.
(Yellow Cards)
Savic S.
(Injury)
Visca E.
(Foot Injury)
- There will not play in Kasımpaşa: Baldursson A. F.
(Yellow Cards)
Cafu
(Injury)
Hajradinovic H.
(Knee Injury)
Kol A.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Trabzonspor won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 40:26. (average 2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Trabzonspor won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:18. (average 2.3:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Trabzonspor won against Kasımpaşa?
Trabzonspor has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kasımpaşa won against Trabzonspor?
Kasımpaşa has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Trabzonspor - Kasımpaşa were as follows:
18.08.2025
Kasımpaşa
-
Trabzonspor
0:1
05.05.2025
Kasımpaşa
-
Trabzonspor
1:1
06.12.2024
Trabzonspor
-
Kasımpaşa
2:2
29.01.2024
Trabzonspor
-
Kasımpaşa
2:3
01.09.2023
Kasımpaşa
-
Trabzonspor
1:5
Latest results of Trabzonspor
Latest results of Kasımpaşa
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 24 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 58:18 | 40 | 58 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 24 | 15 | 9 | 0 | 54:23 | 31 | 54 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48:28 | 20 | 51 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 45:29 | 16 | 46 |
| 5 | Goztepe | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 27:16 | 11 | 42 |
| 6 | Basaksehir | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 42:26 | 16 | 39 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 24 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 25:27 | -2 | 32 |
| 8 | Kocaelispor | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 21:25 | -4 | 30 |
| 9 | Gaziantep | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 30:40 | -10 | 29 |
| 10 | Rizespor | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 31:35 | -4 | 27 |
| 11 | Alanyaspor | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 26:30 | -4 | 26 |
| 12 | Genclerbirligi | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 28:34 | -6 | 24 |
| 13 | Antalyaspor | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 24:38 | -14 | 24 |
| 14 | Konyaspor | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 27:37 | -10 | 23 |
| 15 | Eyupspor | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 19:35 | -16 | 22 |
| 16 | Kasimpasa | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 20:35 | -15 | 20 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 24 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 18:43 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 21:45 | -24 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
