Result
1:3
29/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 23
- Referee: Swallow E. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 2.26 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (362/451) | 60% (114/191) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 2.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 2.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 50 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (362/451) | 60% (114/191) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (38/68) | 35% (19/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (135/189) | 55% (52/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (5/36) | 7% (1/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.51 | 1.04 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 71 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 59 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.52 | 1.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.48 | 0.80 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 4', Canavan N. 🟨,
- 8', 0 - 1, Jackson B. ⚽, Fletcher I. (A),
- 18', 0 - 2, Raglan C. ⚽,
- 32', 0 - 3, Fletcher I. ⚽,
- 36', Harper R. 🟨,
- 40', Turnbull J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 50', 1 - 3, Brough P. ⚽, Turnbull J. (A),
- 57', Turnbull J. ↓, Ironside J. ↑,
- 57', Brough P. ↓, Bristow E. ↑,
- 57', Norman C. ↓, Dennis K. ↑,
- 58', Gordon J. ↓, Cameron I. ↑,
- 64', Canavan N. 🟨,
- 66', Fletcher I. ↓, Shipley L. ↑,
- 77', Winterbottom B. ↓, Stanway W. ↑,
- 78', Blacker B. ↓, Davison J. ↑,
- 84', Smith N. 🟨,
- 90+7', Smith S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tranmere Rovers
46.4% | Draw
27.4% | Barrow
26.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tranmere Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Barrow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (-8.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tranmere Rovers that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barrow could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tranmere Rovers - Barrow Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02 ↓
(2.1) |
3.41 ↑
(3.2) |
3.52 ↑
(3.25) |
7.3%
(9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Tranmere Rovers - Barrow?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Tranmere will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Barrow will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tranmere: 50.5% – 99.5%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Tranmere (votes: 3 - 60%). Barrow (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 14 and 19).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tranmere won 2.
- Recent performances by Tranmere have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Barrow has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Tranmere will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Tranmere: Lowe J.
(Inactive)
McGee L.
(Hip Injury)
O'Connor L.
(Inactive)
Patrick O.
(Inactive)
Williams J.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Barrow: Foley S.
(Surgery)
Healey R.
(Knee Injury)
Smith K.
(Ankle Injury)
Walker T.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tranmere won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:18. (average 1.5:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tranmere won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:5. (average 1.6:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Tranmere Rovers won against Barrow?
Tranmere Rovers has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barrow won against Tranmere Rovers?
Barrow has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tranmere Rovers - Barrow were as follows:
09.12.2025
Barrow
-
Tranmere Rovers
0:3
07.10.2025
Barrow
-
Tranmere Rovers
1:2
21.04.2025
Barrow
-
Tranmere Rovers
0:0
29.12.2024
Tranmere Rovers
-
Barrow
1:1
06.01.2024
Barrow
-
Tranmere Rovers
1:0
Latest results of Tranmere Rovers
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 43 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 68:43 | 25 | 83 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 79:43 | 36 | 79 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 42 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 62:31 | 31 | 77 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 43 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 71:49 | 22 | 76 |
| 5 | Swindon | 43 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 67:51 | 16 | 74 |
| 6 | Salford | 43 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 57:50 | 7 | 74 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 64:53 | 11 | 69 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 41 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 62:45 | 17 | 68 |
| 9 | Barnet | 43 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 60:49 | 11 | 67 |
| 10 | Crewe | 43 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 63:53 | 10 | 66 |
| 11 | Oldham | 42 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 52:36 | 16 | 65 |
| 12 | Walsall | 43 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 52:50 | 2 | 62 |
| 13 | Colchester | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 56:45 | 11 | 60 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 53:54 | -1 | 58 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 43 | 17 | 4 | 22 | 49:63 | -14 | 55 |
| 16 | Accrington | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 41:48 | -7 | 51 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 48:60 | -12 | 50 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 43 | 13 | 8 | 22 | 40:66 | -26 | 47 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 41 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 48:67 | -19 | 46 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 49:72 | -23 | 37 |
| 21 | Crawley | 43 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 41:65 | -24 | 37 |
| 22 | Newport | 43 | 10 | 7 | 26 | 43:73 | -30 | 37 |
| 23 | Barrow | 42 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 40:68 | -28 | 33 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 43 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 35:66 | -31 | 33 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
