Result
4:2
24/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 28
- Referee: Martin R. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.73 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (301/410) | 58% (152/261) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 1.78 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (301/410) | 58% (152/261) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (26/84) | 38% (35/92) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (86/147) | 47% (55/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (6/25) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.66 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 39 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 75 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 60 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.78 | 1.98 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.22 | -2.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 15', Smith N. 🟨,
- 19', Hoddle G. 🟨,
- 21', Joseph J. ↓, McGowan A. ↑,
- 35', Brophy J. 🟨,
- 45', 0 - 1, Jones D. ⚽, Brough P. (A),
- 2nd Half (4 - 1)
- 54', Blacker B. 🟨,
- 55', Jones D. ↓, Whitaker C. ↑,
- 57', Bennett L. ↓, Lavery S. ↑,
- 58', Hoddle G. ↓, Ball D. ↑,
- 58', 1 - 1, Lavery S. ⚽, Brophy J. (A),
- 63', 1 - 2, Whitaker C. ⚽, Ironside J. (A),
- 67', 2 - 2, Watts K. ⚽, Brophy J. (A),
- 72', Appere L. ↓, Nevitt E. ↑,
- 74', Jennings C. ↓, Patrick O. ↑,
- 74', Blacker B. ↓, Kenneh N. ↑,
- 77', 3 - 2, Watts K. ⚽, Gibbons J. (A),
- 83', Kaikai S. ↓, Purrington B. ↑,
- 84', Brophy J. ↓, Ibsen Rossi Z. ↑,
- 86', McGowan A. 🟨,
- 90+6', 4 - 2, Knight B. ⚽, Mpanzu P. (A),
Chances of winning
Cambridge United 56% | Draw 25.6% | Tranmere Rovers 18.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cambridge United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cambridge United's performance.Tranmere Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Cambridge United - Tranmere Rovers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.68 ↓ (1.83) |
3.66 ↑ (3.37) |
5.06 ↑ (4.27) |
6.8% (7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cambridge United - Tranmere Rovers?
Users Predictions:
Cambridge United will win
(10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cambridge United will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cambridge won 0.
- Cambridge is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Tranmere has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Tranmere has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Cambridge is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Cambridge: Smith K.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Tranmere: Lowe J.
(Inactive)
McGee L.
(Hip Injury)
O'Connor L.
(Inactive)
Patrick O.
(Inactive)
Williams J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Cambridge: Bradshaw Z.
(Inactive)
Kouassi K.
(Hamstring Injury)
Mayor A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Tranmere: Turnbull J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cambridge won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.4:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cambridge won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Cambridge United won against Tranmere Rovers?
Cambridge United has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tranmere Rovers won against Cambridge United?
Tranmere Rovers has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cambridge United - Tranmere Rovers were as follows:
27.09.2025
Tranmere Rovers
-
Cambridge United
0:0
Latest results of Cambridge United
Latest results of Tranmere Rovers
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:35 | 23 | 68 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 64 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 63:34 | 29 | 62 |
| 4 | Swindon | 35 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 57:41 | 16 | 62 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:33 | 19 | 61 |
| 6 | Crewe | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 52:41 | 11 | 56 |
| 7 | Salford | 33 | 17 | 4 | 12 | 46:43 | 3 | 55 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 52:44 | 8 | 53 |
| 9 | Barnet | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 44:37 | 7 | 53 |
| 10 | Walsall | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 42:36 | 6 | 53 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 46:37 | 9 | 52 |
| 12 | Colchester | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 48:35 | 13 | 49 |
| 13 | Accrington | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 37:36 | 1 | 46 |
| 14 | Oldham | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 36:30 | 6 | 45 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 43:42 | 1 | 45 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 44 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 34:54 | -20 | 38 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 34:55 | -21 | 36 |
| 19 | Tranmere | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 46:59 | -13 | 35 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 33:57 | -24 | 31 |
| 21 | Crawley | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33:56 | -23 | 28 |
| 22 | Barrow | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 33:51 | -18 | 27 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25:52 | -27 | 27 |
| 24 | Newport | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 32:60 | -28 | 25 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League