Fiorentino vs Tre Penne – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:6
17/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Campionato Sammarinese - Round 16

Match Stats

Red cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 16', 0 - 1, Berardi F. ,
  • 45+1', 0 - 2, Costantini M. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 4)
  • 50', 🟥,
  • 52', 0 - 3, Bartoli T. ,
  • 79', 0 - 4, Badalassi I. ,
  • 81', 0 - 5, Kamouni M. J. , Badalassi I. (A),
  • 87', 0 - 6, Kamouni M. J. , Pastorelli L. (A),

Chances of winning


Fiorentino
15.3%
Draw
25.9%
Tre Penne
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.2% 24.6% 57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2% 21.1% 49.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fiorentino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Tre Penne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentino than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fiorentino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tre Penne than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tre Penne, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Fiorentino - Tre Penne Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.91
    (5)
    3.5
    (3.7)
    1.54
    (1.59)
    10.5%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fiorentino won 0.
    • Fiorentino is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Tre Penne's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Tre Penne has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Tre Penne is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Fiorentino won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:25. (average 0.7:2.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fiorentino won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:9. (average 0.3:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentino - Tre Penne were as follows:
    29.08.2025 Tre Penne - Fiorentino 2:0
    01.03.2025 Fiorentino - Tre Penne 0:0
    01.11.2024 Tre Penne - Fiorentino 1:0
    02.03.2024 Fiorentino - Tre Penne 0:4
    11.11.2023 Tre Penne - Fiorentino 6:0
    Latest results of Fiorentino
    20.12.2025 Fiorentino - Murata 3:0
    13.12.2025 Faetano - Fiorentino 0:3
    30.11.2025 AC Libertas - Fiorentino 0:1
    23.11.2025 Fiorentino - Cailungo 1:0
    Latest results of Tre Penne
    21.12.2025 Tre Penne - AC Libertas 5:0
    14.12.2025 Cailungo - Tre Penne 0:2
    10.12.2025 Juvenes-Dogana - Tre Penne 1:0
    06.12.2025 Virtus - Tre Penne 2:1
    29.11.2025 Folgore - Tre Penne 1:3
    San Marino Campionato Sammarinese Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tre Fiori28216161:124969
    2Virtus28206261:194266
    3Tre Penne28197264:174764
    4La Fiorita ✔ 281511259:233651
    5Folgore ✔ 28149557:302751
    6Domagnano ✔ 28137854:292546
    7Fiorentino281341132:39-743
    8Cosmos28109927:20739
    9Libertas28981131:51-2035
    10Juvenes/Dogana28891131:36-533
    11San Giovanni287101124:37-1331
    12Pennarossa28861428:52-2430
    13Faetano28641822:52-3022
    14San Marino Academy U2228361922:56-3415
    15Cailungo28242221:64-4310
    16Murata28142317:74-57-2

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    La Fiorita is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Folgore is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Domagnano is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)