Result
3:1
28/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campionato Sammarinese - Round 23
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 1', 1 - 0, Peluso L. ⚽, Pastorelli L. (A),
- 20', 2 - 0, Pieri R. ⚽, Mosquera S. (A),
- 26', 3 - 0, Berardi F. ⚽, Casadio P. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 80', 3 - 1, Benedetti G. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Tre Penne
69% | Draw
21.4% | Juvenes-Dogana
9.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tre Penne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Juvenes-Dogana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tre Penne than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juvenes-Dogana than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Tre Penne - Juvenes-Dogana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.32 ↓
(1.42) |
4.23 ↑
(4.04) |
9.46 ↑
(6.77) |
10.2%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tre Penne won 2.
- Tre Penne is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Juvenes-Dogana has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Tre Penne is the undisputed favorite.
- We predict that Tre Penne will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Tre Penne won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 34:19. (average 2.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tre Penne won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:10. (average 3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Tre Penne won against Juvenes-Dogana?
Tre Penne has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Juvenes-Dogana won against Tre Penne?
Juvenes-Dogana has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tre Penne - Juvenes-Dogana were as follows:
10.12.2025
Juvenes-Dogana
-
Tre Penne
1:0
26.11.2025
Tre Penne
-
Juvenes-Dogana
1:1
01.11.2025
Juvenes-Dogana
-
Tre Penne
1:1
26.04.2025
Tre Penne
-
Juvenes-Dogana
4:2
11.01.2025
Juvenes-Dogana
-
Tre Penne
1:2
Latest results of Tre Penne
Latest results of Juvenes-Dogana
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tre Fiori | 26 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 55:12 | 43 | 63 |
| 2 | Virtus | 26 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 56:17 | 39 | 62 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 57:15 | 42 | 60 |
| 4 | Folgore | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 55:28 | 27 | 49 |
| 5 | La Fiorita | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 55:22 | 33 | 47 |
| 6 | Domagnano | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 52:28 | 24 | 42 |
| 7 | Fiorentino | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 28:37 | -9 | 40 |
| 8 | Cosmos | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 27:19 | 8 | 38 |
| 9 | Juvenes/Dogana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 29:33 | -4 | 32 |
| 10 | Libertas | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 30:48 | -18 | 32 |
| 11 | San Giovanni | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 23:34 | -11 | 28 |
| 12 | Pennarossa | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 25:51 | -26 | 24 |
| 13 | Faetano | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 20:50 | -30 | 19 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy U22 | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22:52 | -30 | 15 |
| 15 | Cailungo | 26 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 19:56 | -37 | 10 |
| 16 | Murata | 26 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 16:67 | -51 | -2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
