Trefelin vs Gap Connahs Quay – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Welsh FA Cup
Football Welsh FA Cup Trefelin - Gap Connahs Quay
Result
1:2
16/11/2024 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WALES: FA Cup - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Red Cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 38', 0 - 1, Nash B. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 57', 0 - 2, Maher B. ⚽,
  • 77', Goldsworthy C. 🟥,
  • 78', Nash B. 🟥,
  • 90+2', 1 - 2, Clarke J. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Trefelin
11.4%		Draw
18%		Gap Connahs Quay
70.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
12.4% 20.1% 67.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.4% 16.2% 54.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Trefelin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Gap Connahs Quay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trefelin than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gap Connahs Quay than the current prediction. (-16.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gap Connahs Quay, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Trefelin - Gap Connahs Quay Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 7.98 ↑
    (7.32)    		 5.04 ↑
    (4.5)    		 1.28 ↓
    (1.34)    		 10.2%
    (10.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    •
    Latest results of Trefelin
    12.11.2024 Caerau Ely - Trefelin 2:0 ✺
    08.11.2024 Goytre United - Trefelin 1:3
    02.11.2024 Trefelin - Cambrian United 5:2
    25.10.2024 Afan Lido - Trefelin 0:0
    12.10.2024 Trefelin - Carmarthen Town 2:1
    Latest results of Gap Connahs Quay
    09.11.2024 Barry Town United - Gap Connahs Quay 3:2
    02.11.2024 Gap Connahs Quay - Cardiff Metropolitan 1:0 ✺
    30.10.2024 Gap Connahs Quay - The New Saints 1:2 ✺
    27.10.2024 Gap Connahs Quay - Briton Ferry Llansawel 2:1 ✺
    22.10.2024 Gap Connahs Quay - Aberystwyth Town 1:2
    Draw
    2024/25

    1/64-finals
    1Cardiff CorriesRisca4 : 1
    2ByeAfan Lido
    3Llantwit MajorEly Rangers3 : 2
    4CaldicotMorriston Town1 : 2
    5Cambrian UnitedBye
    6ByeGoytre Utd
    7LlandudnoLlanberis4 : 0
    8Kinmel BayBrickfield3 : 1
    9PenydarrenPorthcawl Town4 : 3
    10ByePontypridd
    11Penrhiwceiber RangersCwmbran Town3 : 1
    12ByeCarmarthen Town
    13Llandudno AmateursHolyhead0 : 4
    14ByeCaernarfon
    15LlannefyddRhydymwyn1 : 0
    16Trearddur BayNFA2 : 1
    17PenybontBye
    18ByeCardiff Metropolitan
    19TNSBye
    20St. AsaphLlangollen0 : 2
    21BuckleyBuilth W.7 : 2
    22ByeColwyn Bay
    23HolywellBye
    24ByeRuthin
    25Queens ParkPorthmadog1 : 6
    26ByeAirbus
    27Goytre AFCPencoed3 : 1
    28St Joseph'sCardiff Draconians0 : 3
    29Caersws FCCefn Albion5 : 0
    30RhylFlint Mountain2 : 1
    31Bangor 1876Bye
    32CorwenLlay Welfare0 : 1
    33BarryBye
    34ByeCaerau Ely
    35Cardiff Bay WarriorsWest End2 : 0
    36YnysygerwnRogerstone1 : 3
    37FlintBye
    38GresfordPrestatyn9 : 0
    39BalaBye
    40CarnoLlanrhaeadr0 : 4
    41Cwmbran CelticTrefelin3 : 4
    42Newport CorinthiansLlwydcoed1 : 0
    43Connahs Q.Bye
    44ByeGuilsfield
    45PenrhyncochTalysarn Celts2 : 1
    46ByeMold Alexandra
    47New InnAbertillery Bluebirds2 : 1
    48ByeBriton Ferry
    49Llanrwst UnitedMenai Bridge Tigers5 : 1
    50LlansannanCerrigydrudion0 : 2
    51DenbighBye
    52LlangefniGaerwen7 : 1
    53Penmaenmawr PhoenixLlanuwchllyn1 : 2
    54ByeNewtown
    55Aber ValleyCwmamman United3 : 1
    56Swansea UniversityBaglan Dragons5 : 0
    57AberystwythBye
    58ByeAmmanford
    59HaverfordwestBye
    60Taffs WellTrethomas Bluebirds0 : 1
    61TreherbertClwb Cymric1 : 2
    62ByeLlanelli
    63Newport CityMonmouth0 : 2
    64ChepstowPill0 : 1

    1/32-finals
    1Cardiff CorriesAfan Lido3 : 4
    2Llantwit MajorMorriston Town1 : 2
    3Cambrian UnitedGoytre Utd1 : 0
    4LlandudnoKinmel Bay4 : 3
    5PenydarrenPontypridd2 : 0
    6Penrhiwceiber RangersCarmarthen Town3 : 4
    7HolyheadCaernarfon1 : 0
    8LlannefyddTrearddur Bay1 : 2
    9PenybontCardiff Metropolitan0 : 1
    10TNSLlangollen16 : 0
    11BuckleyColwyn Bay2 : 3
    12HolywellRuthin1 : 2
    13PorthmadogAirbus0 : 2
    14Goytre AFCCardiff Draconians1 : 0
    15Caersws FCRhyl7 : 4
    16Bangor 1876Llay Welfare2 : 1
    17BarryCaerau Ely3 : 4
    18Cardiff Bay WarriorsRogerstone2 : 4
    19FlintGresford5 : 1
    20BalaLlanrhaeadr3 : 1
    21TrefelinNewport Corinthians5 : 0
    22Connahs Q.Guilsfield5 : 0
    23PenrhyncochMold Alexandra1 : 3
    24New InnBriton Ferry0 : 3
    25Llanrwst UnitedCerrigydrudion2 : 1
    26DenbighLlangefni4 : 2
    27LlanuwchllynNewtown1 : 0
    28Aber ValleySwansea University0 : 2
    29AberystwythAmmanford0 : 1
    30HaverfordwestTrethomas Bluebirds1 : 0
    31Clwb CymricLlanelli0 : 3
    32MonmouthPill2 : 3

    1/16-finals
    1Afan LidoMorriston Town2 : 1
    2Cambrian UnitedLlandudno3 : 2
    3PenydarrenCarmarthen Town2 : 3
    4HolyheadTrearddur Bay1 : 0
    5Cardiff MetropolitanTNS1 : 3
    6Colwyn BayRuthin2 : 1
    7AirbusGoytre AFC7 : 1
    8Caersws FCBangor 18762 : 1
    9Caerau ElyRogerstone8 : 1
    10FlintBala2 : 3
    11TrefelinConnahs Q.1 : 2
    12Mold AlexandraBriton Ferry2 : 1
    13Llanrwst UnitedDenbigh0 : 3
    14LlanuwchllynSwansea University3 : 0
    15AmmanfordHaverfordwest1 : 2
    16LlanelliPill4 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Afan LidoCambrian United0 : 1
    2Carmarthen TownHolyhead1 : 0
    3TNSColwyn Bay4 : 1
    4AirbusCaersws FC2 : 0
    5Caerau ElyBala1 : 0
    6Connahs Q.Mold Alexandra1 : 0
    7DenbighLlanuwchllyn7 : 1
    8HaverfordwestLlanelli0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Cambrian UnitedCarmarthen Town3 : 1
    2TNSAirbus5 : 0
    3Caerau ElyConnahs Q.0 : 2
    4DenbighLlanelli0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Cambrian UnitedTNS0 : 5
    2Connahs Q.Llanelli2 : 1

    Final
    1TNSConnahs Q.2 : 1
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