Ynyshir Albions vs Trefelin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Welsh Cymru South Ynyshir Albions - Trefelin
Result
0:5
27/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Cymru South - Round 8

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Ware L. ,
  • 7', 0 - 2, Brock T. ,
  • 13', 0 - 3, Bowen L. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 76', 0 - 4, Bowen L. ,
  • 89', 0 - 5, Bowen L. ,

Chances of winning


Ynyshir Albions
12.6%
Draw
14.2%
Trefelin
73.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.1% 20.7% 58.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3% 19.9% 60.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ynyshir Albions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ynyshir Albions's form might have worsened.
  • Trefelin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Trefelin's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ynyshir Albions than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ynyshir Albions, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trefelin than the current prediction. (-12.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Trefelin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ynyshir Albions - Trefelin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    8.21
    (4.31)
    7.29
    (4.39)
    1.42
    (1.56)
    -3.4%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 4).
    • Ynyshir Albions has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Trefelin is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Ynyshir Albions may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Trefelin is the team to beat.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ynyshir Albions won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Ynyshir Albions won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ynyshir Albions - Trefelin were as follows:
    26.11.2022 Ynyshir Albions - Trefelin 2:3
    29.08.2022 Trefelin - Ynyshir Albions 0:3
    Latest results of Ynyshir Albions
    Latest results of Trefelin
    12.09.2025 Trefelin - Ammanford 2:0
    06.09.2025 Baglan Dragons - Trefelin 1:1
    25.08.2025 Trefelin - Llantwit Major 3:3
    22.08.2025 Trefelin - Cwmbran Celtic 4:0
    16.08.2025 Treowen Stars - Trefelin 1:3
    Welsh Cymru South Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cambrian United971123:32022
    2Trefelin953120:81218
    3Caerau Ely852117:61117
    4Cardiff Draconians951313:8516
    5Carmarthen Town944110:5516
    6Ammanford94419:7216
    7Newport City843113:8515
    8Aberystwyth84228:6214
    9Trethomas Bluebirds924314:17-310
    10Baglan Dragons915310:1008
    11Pontypridd922513:17-48
    12Llantwit Major91449:13-47
    13Afan Lido92169:18-97
    14Treowen913511:22-116
    15Ynyshir Albions81257:20-135
    16Cwmbran Celtic90367:25-183

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