Result
3:1
25/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group E - Round 21
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 20', 1 - 0, Manfredi L. ⚽,
- 23', 2 - 0, Pupo Posada Y. ⚽,
- 45+3', 2 - 1, Tolomello F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 81', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Foligno
49.4% | Draw
27.3% | Trestina
23.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Foligno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Foligno's performance.Trestina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Trestina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Foligno than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Foligno that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trestina than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Trestina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Foligno - Trestina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↓
(2.24) |
3.32 ↑
(3.18) |
3.88 ↑
(2.96) |
10.6%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: ) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Foligno won 2.
- Foligno is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Trestina is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Trestina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Foligno might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Foligno won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:21. (average 1.2:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Foligno won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Foligno won against Trestina?
Foligno has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Trestina won against Foligno?
Trestina has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Foligno - Trestina were as follows:
24.09.2025
Trestina
-
Foligno
0:1
Latest results of Foligno
Latest results of Trestina
Italian Serie D - Group E Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Grosseto | 28 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 51:18 | 33 | 66 |
| 2 | Tau | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 43:25 | 18 | 52 |
| 3 | Seravezza Pozzi | 28 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 38:22 | 16 | 52 |
| 4 | Siena | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 40:25 | 15 | 48 |
| 5 | Prato | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 39:29 | 10 | 45 |
| 6 | Terranuova Traiana | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 23:23 | 0 | 45 |
| 7 | Foligno | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 42:34 | 8 | 43 |
| 8 | Scandicci | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 31:23 | 8 | 40 |
| 9 | Montevarchi | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 25:29 | -4 | 39 |
| 10 | Trestina | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 33:33 | 0 | 37 |
| 11 | Ghiviborgo | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 39:36 | 3 | 33 |
| 12 | Camaiore | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 36:44 | -8 | 32 |
| 13 | San Donato | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 23:30 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | Orvietana | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 29:34 | -5 | 29 |
| 15 | Follonica Gavorrano | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 29:43 | -14 | 29 |
| 16 | Poggibonsi | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 24:41 | -17 | 24 |
| 17 | Vivi Altotevere | 27 | 2 | 12 | 13 | 15:36 | -21 | 18 |
| 18 | Cannara | 28 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19:54 | -35 | 18 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )
Relegation
