Foligno vs Trestina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
25/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group E - Round 21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Manfredi L. ,
  • 23', 2 - 0, Pupo Posada Y. ,
  • 45+3', 2 - 1, Tolomello F. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 81', 3 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Foligno
49.4%
Draw
27.3%
Trestina
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.6% 28.6% 30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7% 27.2% 29.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Foligno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Foligno's performance.
  • Trestina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Trestina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Foligno than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Foligno that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trestina than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Trestina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Foligno - Trestina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (2.24)
    3.32
    (3.18)
    3.88
    (2.96)
    10.6%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: ) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Foligno won 2.
    • Foligno is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Trestina is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Trestina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Foligno might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Foligno won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:21. (average 1.2:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Foligno won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Foligno - Trestina were as follows:
    24.09.2025 Trestina - Foligno 0:1
    Latest results of Foligno
    18.01.2026 Camaiore - Foligno 2:3
    11.01.2026 Foligno - Grosseto 2:1
    04.01.2026 Montevarchi - Foligno 1:1
    21.12.2025 Cannara - Foligno 2:4
    14.12.2025 Foligno - Seravezza Pozzi 1:1
    Latest results of Trestina
    18.01.2026 Trestina - Seravezza Pozzi 1:0
    11.01.2026 Ghiviborgo - Trestina 3:2
    21.12.2025 Trestina - Siena 0:2
    14.12.2025 Prato - Trestina 2:1
    Italian Serie D - Group E Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Grosseto34226658:253372
    2Tau34189753:332063
    3Prato34205949:292063
    4Siena34179857:352260
    5Seravezza Pozzi341512742:291357
    6Terranuova Traiana341491128:30-251
    7Foligno341491145:37851
    8Scandicci341115839:32748
    9Montevarchi341016828:32-446
    10Trestina3410121240:42-242
    11San Donato349131230:35-540
    12Ghiviborgo3410101442:44-240
    13Orvietana349111433:37-438
    14Follonica Gavorrano349101536:49-1337
    15Camaiore34981741:54-1335
    16Poggibonsi347101729:46-1731
    17Cannara34682024:59-3526
    18Vivi Altotevere342161620:46-2622

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )
          Relegation