Result
2:1
19/04/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 11
- Referee: Acita F. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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 Argentina | TyC Sports Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Ostachuk P. (Pen),
- 15', Nouet F. 🟨,
- 18', Monzon L. 🟨,
- 23', 2 - 0, Sosa A. ⚽, Fernandez M. (A),
- 31', Gobetto J. ↓, Mansilla M. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Borgnino M. ↓, Susvielles J. ↑,
- 60', Sosa A. 🟨,
- 60', Ascacibar J. 🟨,
- 61', Magnotta S. ↓, Steimbach A. ↑,
- 62', Ortiz D. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
- 62', Becker D. ↓, Bolzicco T. ↑,
- 66', 2 - 1, Bolzicco T. (Pen),
- 72', Taron M. ↓, Boasso F. ↑,
- 72', Villegas L. ↓, Pantaleone N. ↑,
- 75', Susvielles J. 🟨,
- 85', Werro V. ↓, Ortale M. ↑,
- 85', Ascacibar J. ↓, Aleo A. ↑,
- 87', Fernandez M. ↓, Ruiz P. ↑,
- 87', Berges F. ↓, Guzman M. ↑,
- 90+2', Bergara M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tristán Suárez
49.3% | Draw
30.2% | Alvarado
20.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tristán Suárez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Alvarado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristán Suárez than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tristán Suárez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Tristán Suárez - Alvarado Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.88 ↑
(1.75) |
3.07 ↓
(3.45) |
4.52 ↓
(4.75) |
7.8%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Tristán Suárez - Alvarado?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Tristán Suárez will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Alvarado will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 15).
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- In this match Tristán Suárez is a favorite.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Tristán Suárez won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:6 (average 2.3:2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Tristán Suárez won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:5 (average 2.5:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Tristán Suárez won against Alvarado?
Tristán Suárez has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alvarado won against Tristán Suárez?
Alvarado has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tristán Suárez - Alvarado were as follows:
20.07.2024
Alvarado
-
Tristán Suárez
1:2
02.03.2024
Tristán Suárez
-
Alvarado
2:2
Latest results of Tristán Suárez
Latest results of Alvarado
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2025Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Martin T | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 22:16 | 6 | 39 |
| 2 | Atletico Atlanta | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 21:15 | 6 | 39 |
| 3 | Deportivo Madryn | 23 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 27:19 | 8 | 37 |
| 4 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 22:14 | 8 | 36 |
| 5 | San Miguel | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 22:15 | 7 | 36 |
| 6 | Tristan Suarez | 24 | 8 | 12 | 4 | 21:16 | 5 | 36 |
| 7 | Patronato | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 27:23 | 4 | 35 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 32 |
| 9 | Racing Cordoba | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 29:30 | -1 | 30 |
| 10 | Colegiales | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 14:19 | -5 | 30 |
| 11 | Los Andes | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23:24 | -1 | 28 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 22:20 | 2 | 27 |
| 13 | Almagro | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 17:21 | -4 | 27 |
| 14 | All Boys | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 19:21 | -2 | 26 |
| 15 | Ferro | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 15:22 | -7 | 26 |
| 16 | Club A. Guemes | 23 | 4 | 13 | 6 | 19:22 | -3 | 25 |
| 17 | Alvarado | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 13:22 | -9 | 21 |
| 18 | Arsenal Sarandi | 23 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 18:33 | -15 | 18 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Chacarita Juniors | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 32:17 | 15 | 43 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 23 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 24:11 | 13 | 43 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 22 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 22:11 | 11 | 40 |
| 4 | Deportivo Moron | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 25:13 | 12 | 39 |
| 5 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 23 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 23:14 | 9 | 38 |
| 6 | Temperley | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 22:17 | 5 | 38 |
| 7 | Chaco For Ever | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 25:18 | 7 | 37 |
| 8 | CA Estudiantes | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 23:18 | 5 | 36 |
| 9 | CA Mitre | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 17:16 | 1 | 31 |
| 10 | Agropecuario | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 26:27 | -1 | 31 |
| 11 | Def. de Belgrano | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 18:17 | 1 | 30 |
| 12 | Nueva Chicago | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 21:21 | 0 | 29 |
| 13 | Colon Santa Fe | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 20:25 | -5 | 27 |
| 14 | San Telmo | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 27 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 20:29 | -9 | 25 |
| 16 | Almirante Brown | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 16:26 | -10 | 21 |
| 17 | Talleres (R.E) | 24 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 9:28 | -19 | 11 |
| 18 | Defensores Unidos | 23 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 9:38 | -29 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
