Quilmes vs Tristán Suárez – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
04/10/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Round 34
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
912
Shots on target
17
Corner Kicks
21
Yellow Cards
01
Red Cards
10
Total shots
912
Shots on target
17
Shots off target
85
Corner Kicks
21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 25', Bindella A. , Luna S. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Kalinski E. , Coronel J. ,
  • 46', Da Rosa J. E. , Gorosito I. ,
  • 46', Veliez A. , Sosa A. ,
  • 55', 0 - 1, Dominguez A. (Pen),
  • 62', Del Priore N. , Perez T. ,
  • 69', Villegas L. , Berges F. ,
  • 70', Vazquez G. , Mejias T. ,
  • 71', Carabajal G. , Capano J. ,
  • 77', Romeo L. , Rodriguez S. ,
  • 82', Dominguez A. , Ruiz P. ,
  • 90+1', Juarez M. 🟥,
  • 90+5', Perez T. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Quilmes
24%
Draw
33.2%
Tristán Suárez
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33% 36.3% 30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7% 35.9% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Quilmes's form might have worsened.
  • Tristán Suárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tristán Suárez's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Quilmes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tristán Suárez than the current prediction. (-11.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tristán Suárez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Quilmes - Tristán Suárez Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.89
    (2.8)
    2.81
    (2.55)
    2.18
    (3.01)
    7.3%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Tristán Suárez is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 1.7:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Quilmes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Quilmes - Tristán Suárez were as follows:
    31.05.2025 Tristán Suárez - Quilmes 0:0
    01.09.2024 Quilmes - Tristán Suárez 0:1
    14.04.2024 Tristán Suárez - Quilmes 1:3
    29.09.2023 Quilmes - Tristán Suárez 5:1
    20.05.2023 Tristán Suárez - Quilmes 0:0
    Latest results of Quilmes
    22.09.2025 Quilmes - Güemes 0:0
    14.09.2025 Patronato Parana - Quilmes 1:0
    31.08.2025 Club Almagro - Quilmes 2:2
    Latest results of Tristán Suárez
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Colon Santa Fe852111:5617
    2Def. de Belgrano83508:3514
    3Deportivo Moron842212:8414
    4Godoy Cruz83418:6213
    5Deportivo Madryn833211:7412
    6Los Andes83326:3312
    7San Miguel83328:8012
    8Racing Cordoba83235:8-311
    9Ciudad Bolivar81705:3210
    10Ferro82336:7-19
    11Acassuso83058:10-29
    12All Boys82334:6-29
    13Central Norte82333:5-29
    14CA Estudiantes83055:8-39
    15CA Mitre81527:9-28
    16San Telmo822410:13-38
    17Almirante Brown82245:8-38
    18Chaco For Ever81258:14-65


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia Jujuy860212:10218
    2Tristan Suarez74309:2715
    3San Martin T835010:5514
    4Nueva Chicago74218:4414
    5Temperley83417:5213
    6Midland73316:3312
    7Quilmes832311:7411
    8Atl. Rafaela73226:5111
    9Gimnasia y Tiro83238:9-111
    10Club A. Guemes82339:11-29
    11Almagro82244:6-28
    12Chacarita Juniors82248:11-38
    13Agropecuario82246:9-38
    14Patronato82244:9-58
    15San Martin S.J71426:7-17
    16Atletico Atlanta72146:7-17
    17Deportivo Maipu821510:13-37
    18Colegiales82155:11-67

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation