Trival Valderas vs Alcalá – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
16/02/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Moussa R. ,
  • 41', 1 - 1, Portero A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 70', 1 - 2, Portero A. ,

Chances of winning


Trival Valderas
24%
Draw
28.2%
Alcalá
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.6% 26.7% 45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8% 26% 47%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Trival Valderas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • Alcalá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trival Valderas than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Trival Valderas - Alcalá Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.8
    (3.31)
    3.23
    (3.43)
    1.9
    (2)
    9.8%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Trival Valderas won 1.
    • Recent matches Trival Valderas is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Alcalá in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Alcalá could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Alcalá will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Trival Valderas won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:7 (average 0.9:0.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Trival Valderas won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.4:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Trival Valderas - Alcalá were as follows:
    06.10.2024 Alcalá - Trival Valderas 1:0
    25.02.2024 Alcalá - Trival Valderas 1:1
    08.10.2023 Trival Valderas - Alcalá 2:2
    04.03.2023 Alcalá - Trival Valderas 1:0
    29.10.2022 Trival Valderas - Alcalá 3:1
    Latest results of Trival Valderas
    Latest results of Alcalá
    09.02.2025 Alcalá - Aravaca 2:0
    01.02.2025 México - Alcalá 1:2
    26.01.2025 Alcalá - Parla 3:0
    12.01.2025 Las Rozas - Alcalá 0:0
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Madrid C27158466:363053
    2Las Rozas27148547:291850
    3CD Mostoles27146743:311248
    4AD Torrejon27136844:37745
    5Leganes B27128749:242544
    6Trival Valderas271341037:31643
    7San Sebastian Reyes B27910834:29537
    8Pozuelo de Alarcon27910826:24237
    9Union Adarve271071032:36-437
    10Mexico FC271061134:34036
    11Galapagar27812728:35-736
    12Villaverde San Andres27811825:30-535
    13Alcorcon B27881124:28-432
    14Siello27851426:38-1229
    15Tres Cantos27831624:47-2327
    16Carabanchel27691221:27-627
    17Parla27741622:46-2425
    18Ciudad de Madrid27571527:47-2022

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