Result
2:0
24/08/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eliteserien - Round 19
- Referee: Saggi R. (Nor)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Norway | TV2, TV2 Play |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 0.49 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (333/406) | 87% (454/523) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 0.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (333/406) | 87% (454/523) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (26/59) | 45% (21/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (57/94) | 70% (80/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 33% (8/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 1.38 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (15/24) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 8 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.06 | 1.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.06 | -0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 27', 1 - 0, Gulbrandsen F. (Pen),
- 31', Jenssen R. 🟨,
- 39', Skjaervik V. 🟨,
- 45+3', Karlstrom J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Norheim R. ↓, Thongla-Iad Warneryd A. ↑,
- 46', Braut D. ↓, Ieltsin Camoes ↑,
- 54', Linnes M. ↓, Stenevik H. ↑,
- 60', Kabini S. 🟨,
- 64', Gulbrandsen F. ↓, Hestad E. ↑,
- 64', Zady C. ↓, Eikrem M. ↑,
- 72', Hjerto-Dahl J. ↓, Larsen L. O. ↑,
- 73', 2 - 0, Stenevik H. (Pen),
- 81', Daehli M. ↓, Oyvann C. ↑,
- 81', Spiten-Nysaeter O. ↓, Nyheim G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Molde
44.1% | Draw
27.2% | Tromsø
28.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Molde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Molde's form might have worsened.Tromsø has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Molde than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Molde, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tromsø than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Molde - Tromsø Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↑
(1.94) |
3.46 ↓
(3.76) |
3.31 ↓
(3.74) |
5.8%
(5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Molde - Tromsø?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Molde will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Tromsø will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Molde: 56.3% – 96.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Molde will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Molde won 2.
- Molde is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Tromsø has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Molde is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Molde: Abdullai J.
(Yellow Cards)
Eriksen K.
(Groin Injury)
- There will not play in Tromsø: Mikkelsen A.
(Heel Injury)
- There are questionable in Tromsø: Skjaervik V.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Molde won 13 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 44:23. (average 2.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Molde won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 29:11. (average 2.9:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Molde won against Tromsø?
Molde has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tromsø won against Molde?
Tromsø has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Molde - Tromsø were as follows:
05.07.2025
Tromsø
-
Molde
1:0
28.09.2024
Molde
-
Tromsø
5:3
28.06.2024
Tromsø
-
Molde
0:2
30.10.2023
Molde
-
Tromsø
1:4
10.04.2023
Tromsø
-
Molde
1:0
Norwegian Eliteserien Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bodo/Glimt | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 59:20 | 39 | 49 |
| 2 | Viking | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 52:29 | 23 | 49 |
| 3 | Brann | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 41:30 | 11 | 43 |
| 4 | Tromso | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 35:27 | 8 | 42 |
| 5 | Rosenborg | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 29:24 | 5 | 34 |
| 6 | Fredrikstad | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28:24 | 4 | 31 |
| 7 | Valerenga | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 37:36 | 1 | 31 |
| 8 | KFUM Oslo | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 34:27 | 7 | 29 |
| 9 | Sandefjord | 21 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 37:33 | 4 | 28 |
| 10 | Sarpsborg 08 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 34:33 | 1 | 28 |
| 11 | Molde | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 29:29 | 0 | 27 |
| 12 | Kristiansund | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 26:42 | -16 | 27 |
| 13 | Bryne | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 26:38 | -12 | 21 |
| 14 | HamKam | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 23:37 | -14 | 21 |
| 15 | Stromsgodset | 22 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 30:47 | -17 | 19 |
| 16 | Haugesund | 22 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 12:56 | -44 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen
